Market Trust
Decide whether a market price is worth citing.
Convexly turns a prediction-market price into a market-quality rating: coherence, liquidity, depth, resolution reliability, participant quality, manipulation-risk flags, and an audit trail. v0.1 is intentionally experimental; the point is to make the evidence and caveats visible before the rating model matures.
Rating language
Use
Market appears citable on v0.1 inputs.
Use with caveats
Evidence is useful but incomplete.
Discount
Signals say the price needs caution.
Do not cite
Too thin, incoherent, or unreliable.
Experimental rating caveat
Market Trust Cards v0.1 are experimental market-quality diagnostics, not compliance certifications or validated credit ratings.
Market-quality rating
One score and one plain-English status for whether a market is currently usable, citable, discounted, or not citeable.
Visible caveats
v0.1 separates measured inputs from heuristics, so a buyer can see which parts of the rating are mature and which are still evidence collection.
Audit trail
Each card carries source artifacts and a row hash, linking the public card back to the reproducible Convexly research ledger.
Current public cards
The public v0.1 run exposes a limited set of cards each day. Search is intentionally simple: market slug, question, category, or condition ID.