Convexly for Institutions

Edge Score V3b, wired into your stack.

API access to the Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold ranking dataset that powers the V1-M paper. 8,656 Polymarket wallets plus a 15,106-user Manifold cohort, refreshed daily, with cross-verified labels and three-venue category footprint. For funds, prop shops, venues, and research desks.

PricingStarts at $5,000/month, annual contract..Wallet Verification reports $500 each.

NDA available. Replies within 24 hours on business days.

What the institutional tier includes

REST API

Read-only access to Edge Score V3b, per-wallet pillar percentiles, and the three-venue wallet-labels dataset. OAuth or static API key. Rate-limited to your deal tier.

Historical snapshots

Daily CSV of the top-100 Polymarket cohort with full pillar percentiles and PnL. Gitlab-mirrored archive back to 2026-04-19 cohort freeze. Custom ranges on request.

Co-branded research

Pre-registered methodology papers under a data-access partnership. Convexly handles methodology and publication, you handle data access. Partnership template available on request.

Dedicated support

Shared Slack channel with the Convexly Research team. Priority response on methodology questions, custom cuts of the dataset, and per-deal roadmap visibility.

Who this is for

Hedge funds and prop shops exploring prediction markets as a tradable vertical. The V1-M paper shows that per-venue refit is required because fitted coefficients diverge categorically between Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Our API gives you the refit.

Venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, or newer) that want a pre-registered, reproducible skill-measurement layer for their own user base, with co-branded research that can cite the venue in regulatory filings and press.

Research desks at banks, trading firms, or universities that need a citable methodology for studies on forecasting, calibration, or incentive-regime effects on trader behavior. The data bundle is publicly reproducible; the API plus historical snapshots are not.

Regulators and legal teams who need an external, citable attestation on wallet behavior for specific case work. Request a Wallet Verification report (signed PDF on Convexly Research letterhead, 5-7 business day turnaround, NDA available).

Start with the methodology, not the sales pitch

The V1-M paper is 19 pages and the data bundle is 1.2 MB of aggregated per-user statistics with a standalone reproduction script. Read them first. If the methodology passes your risk committee, the institutional deal is just pipes on top of it.

Ready to talk

Email research@convexly.app. A Convexly Research team member replies within 24 business hours with a 30-minute call slot and any NDA you need to open deeper conversations.

Open a pre-filled email