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Browse common questions below or reach out directly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Convexly?

Convexly is an independent diligence layer for prediction-market data. It helps you decide whether a market price is strong enough to use, whether a wallet deserves study, and what evidence supports each rating. Public checks are free; paid tiers add watchlists, digests, exports, and sales-led institutional pilots.

How is this different from a spreadsheet?

A spreadsheet can hold numbers, but it does not preserve the evidence trail. Convexly links each rating to source freshness, caveats, method versions, and receipts so a market or wallet check can be reused in a research note, memo, or review process.

What's a Brier Score?

A Brier score measures how close your probability estimates are to actual outcomes. Lower is better: 0 is perfect, 0.25 is chance level. On Polymarket the median wallet sits around 0.20; below 0.15 is strong, below 0.10 is elite on the reference cohort.

Do I need a Polymarket wallet to use the free tier?

No. You can paste any public Polymarket 0x address into the analyzer, inspect public Market Trust snapshots, and save one wallet for a weekly email. No signature, wallet connection, or private key is required.

Is my data private?

Your trade history is private. Polymarket wallets are public on-chain by construction, but Convexly never re-publishes them and never links your Convexly account to a wallet without your explicit opt-in. You control whether your Edge Score and calibration stats are visible on a public profile via a single toggle in Settings.

Is there a free plan?

Yes. Free includes the public Polymarket wallet analyzer, one saved-wallet email watch, public Market Trust snapshots, and research receipts. Researcher ($99/mo) adds a 50-wallet watchlist, weekly digest, sizing replay, Kalshi market-quality context where rights permit, and time-series wallet diagnostics. Sales-led institutional pilots live on /enterprise.

How do I cancel my subscription?

Go to Settings > Billing > Manage Subscription. You can cancel anytime through the Stripe customer portal in two clicks. You will keep access until the end of your billing period.

Can I export my data?

Yes. Go to the Export page in the sidebar to download your trade history, calibration breakdowns, and Edge Score time-series as CSV or JSON.

Do you offer team or enterprise plans?

Yes. The Design Partner Pilot is a sales-led lane for market-quality evidence packets, data-rights-aware cohort work, and scoped API access. Custom Enterprise adds a bespoke cohort, API access, and a dedicated research liaison once data access is confirmed. See /enterprise for details, or email support@convexly.app.

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