Canary proof

Market Trust v0.2 is gated by measured coverage, not vibes.

This surface shows the current internal canary gate: whether source freshness, v0.2 cards, account-score snapshots, and market-level scored-flow coverage are sufficient for a candidate card to be used internally.

Blocked

Fresh canonical reports

241/241

Lightweight touches

9

Dropped source events

0

24h ready runs

22/110

Latest canonical coverage

Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?

canonical - 0h old

Trades

4

Accounts

4

Scored

0

Unknown flow

100%

Latest lightweight touch

Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?

lightweight_touch - 0.1h old

Trades

50

Accounts

26

Scored

1

Unknown flow

99.3%

Best current candidate

Open card

Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?

0xc3ff5462722d803352fb9e89d90c0bef29d01cb9e1c0ceae5b2ed2fd219253bd

Scope

canonical

Trades

7

Accounts

6

Scored accounts

1

Scored notional

48.4%

Caveats

insufficient_scored_accountsmissing_venue_reported_volumethin_trade_sample

Gate output

Score hydration progress

Accounts left

2

Scored gap

24.3%

Unknown over

24.3%

Blockers

  • no_canary_eligible_market

Warnings

  • required_source_degraded

Next actions

  • Prioritize score intake for the best active candidate market's participants, then rerun coverage and v0.2 materialization.
  • Best current candidate: 0xc3ff5462722d803352fb9e89d90c0bef29d01cb9e1c0ceae5b2ed2fd219253bd (7 trades, 1 scored accounts).

Evidence boundary

The participant-quality pillar uses current wallet/account score snapshots as a diagnostic join. It is not a person-level identity claim, not retroactive at-trade alpha evidence, and not complete venue-wide coverage.

A card becomes internally canary-ready only when a market has enough observed trades, enough observed accounts, at least three publishable scored accounts, and at least 25% scored notional with no failing required source watermark. Eligibility uses fresh canonical coverage only; lightweight canary touches are visible here for hydration progress, but they do not clear the gate.

Card age

0.1h

Orderbook age

0.1h

Realtime health

ready

Dropped events

0

Card hash

88d3b3b0...634f2a

24h stability

collecting

Ready share

20%

Consecutive ready

0

Latest ledger state

blocked