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Press
Convexly publishes Polymarket wallet checks, market prices and collected resolution records. Its research includes methods, data limits and negative results; registration status is shown for each study. No venue buys coverage: no venue pays Convexly for a rating, reviews one before publication, or has editorial input. That commitment, and a dated statement of what Convexly has received from any venue to date, are stated at /independence.
research@convexly.appWhat we offer journalists
- Embargoed pre-briefs of scheduled readouts. Convexly's forward tests are registered externally before their observation windows open and publish whatever the result is, so readout timing is known in advance. Reporters can be briefed under embargo before a readout publishes.
- Receipts you can verify before writing. Every forward test is registered with a third party and carries a filing timestamp. For the tests with verified public receipts, the receipt PDF is linked and checkable without taking Convexly's word for it; the remainder are filed with their receipt status (including not-yet-public receipts) tracked entry by entry on the receipt manifest. The objects to check are listed below.
- Founder access for methodology questions. Questions about how a number was produced go directly to the person who runs the pipeline, not through a comms layer.
- Response within one business day. All press, embargo, and methodology requests go to research@convexly.app.
How to cite Convexly
Every read is dated. Cite the as-of date printed on the page, never the date you retrieved it; each market page also carries a prefilled citation block with the exact sentence for that read.
Convexly Market Trust read: "<market question>" (Polymarket), rated <verdict> as of <YYYY-MM-DD> (UTC). https://www.convexly.app/markets/<market-slug>
Per-market daily reads live at /markets/<market-slug>. The verdict and its as-of date are printed at the top of the page.
Convexly wallet check: Polymarket wallet <address>, <verdict> on the resolved record as of <YYYY-MM-DD>. https://www.convexly.app/w/<address>
The analyzer at /tools/polymarket-wallet-analyzer is free for any Polymarket wallet; published wallet pages live at /w/<address>.
Convexly Research, "<paper title>", <YYYY-MM-DD>. https://www.convexly.app/research/<paper-slug>
Methodology pages, result writeups, and the negative-result registry live under /research.
Verifiable objects
These are the receipts a reporter can check independently before quoting anything.
- aspredicted.org/xq76gq.pdf: third-party registration receipt for the wallet-skill forward-persistence test, filed 2026-06-01 before its observation window opened. The window closes 2026-08-30; the readout computes on or after 2026-08-31 and publishes either way.
- aspredicted.org/228s3x.pdf: registration receipt for the follow-on window of the same design, 2026-08-31 to 2026-11-28, filed before that window opens. It publishes when the window closes, whatever the verdict.
- /research/preregistrations: the full receipt index, with each filing's external-receipt status and its outcome record where the test has concluded.
- /independence: the independence commitment, including that no venue buys coverage and a dated statement of venue funding received to date, stated with the structural reasons.