Pay for the market evidence you need to use.

Free covers one-off wallet and market checks. Researcher ($99/mo) is the self-serve analyst loop: a 50-wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, the full analyzer, and evidence exports, with a Market Trust packet preview included. Trader (waitlisted) and Enterprise pilots are sales-led.

Product claim caveat

Paid features provide monitoring, data access, reports, and exports. Convexly does not execute trades, provide financial advice, or guarantee signal or wallet performance.

MonthlyAnnual

For individuals

Check one thing for free, then upgrade when you need a repeatable diligence workflow.

Free

$0forever

Check a public market or wallet once, with caveats visible before you rely on it.

  • Audit public sample markets and wallet evidence
  • See verdicts, caveats, and public receipts
  • Read public methods, failed tests, and track-record status
Most Popular

Researcher

$99/month

For analysts citing prediction-market prices in regular work.

Researcher replaces manual screenshots and ad hoc checks with the full wallet analyzer, a wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, earlier access to the experimental signal feed, and exportable evidence: your repeatable diligence loop.

  • Wallet watchlist: monitor up to 50 wallets with delta context
  • Monday digest: weekly Edge Score and new-position changes by email
  • Earlier access to the experimental signal feed (track record still maturing)
  • Export evidence notes for memos, dashboards, or internal review
  • Full wallet analyzer with per-category calibration and Kelly replay
  • Market Trust packets included as a preview (experimental, canary)
Ask for founder onboarding

Trader

$499/month

Waitlist only. Nothing is billable until the realtime lane ships.

For desks that act on signal changes in minutes, not days.

  • Sub-5-minute signal delivery (in development)
  • Everything in Researcher, plus priority refresh and higher export limits (planned)
  • First access when the realtime lane opens
Join realtime pilot

For institutions

Citing market prices in client work, memos, or regulated reporting? That belongs here: market-quality evidence packets, participant diagnostics, and scoped API pilots for analysts, funds, venues, and compliance teams.

Design Partner Pilot

Custom

Scoped market-quality evidence packets for institutions and serious research teams.

  • Scoped Market Trust packet set for a defined market category
  • Receipt-linked exports and buyer-specific caveat language
  • 90-day pilot; annual licenses on request
Contact Sales

Custom Enterprise

Custom

Bespoke cohort + API access + dedicated research liaison.

  • Custom evidence packets, cohorts, and API access
  • Data-rights-aware implementation notes and export logs
  • Dedicated research liaison and support path
Contact Sales
See an example Market Trust evidence packet (experimental preview)
Polymarket card / v0.2 preview
illustrative example

Market

Will this market price be strong enough to use in a memo?

Use with caveatsEvidence confidence / medium

Why

Liquidity and freshness are reviewable, but participant evidence and outcome validation still travel as caveats.

Caveat

Cite the market as directional evidence, not as an authoritative probability.

Checks

Freshness, liquidity, depth, participant quality, resolution risk, integrity flags, and related-market coherence.

Receipt

Method version, source labels, validation state, row hash, and replay path stay attached.

This is the packet format. Most live prediction-market prices are not yet citable: Market Trust grades each one (use, use with caveats, discount, or do not cite) and shows why. It stays a canary-preview surface until resolved outcomes and v1 promotion gates mature. Open the live flagship for the current top-graded card.
Open the live flagship packet
How Researcher changes your week

What changes on Monday morning?

Researcher turns Convexly into a repeatable diligence loop.

First customers should not have to guess how to get value. Send a wallet list, market theme, or signal question, and we will help set up the first Researcher workflow.

Request founder onboarding

Staying current

Before: Manually revisit wallets, tabs, and screenshots.

With Researcher: Use watchlists, wallet alerts, and the Researcher digest as the operating loop.

Finding participant evidence

Before: Sort PnL screenshots and hope the largest winner is relevant.

With Researcher: Use Edge Score cohorts as supporting evidence for participant quality.

Checking a market

Before: Quote a price without knowing whether the market is thin, stale, or incoherent.

With Researcher: Use the Market Trust preview's caveats and related-market checks before deciding whether to cite it.

Compare all plans
FeatureFreeResearcherEnterprise Pilot
Public wallet analyzer
Market and wallet monitoring - Pilot-scoped
Digest and alert context - Scoped by pilot
Evidence exports -
Kalshi market contextPublic where availableRights-aware contextContract-scoped
Market Trust packets (preview)Public previewPreview includedCustom packet set
API and data delivery - - Scoped
Founder onboarding -
Price$0$99/moSales-led

Annual billing saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Design Partner and Custom Enterprise pilots are sales-led - see the for-institutions section above or contact us.

Frequently asked

Can I cancel anytime?+

Yes. Every paid plan is month-to-month and cancellable from your billing portal in two clicks. No support ticket, no retention call, no minimum-term commitment. The 14-day free trial means you can run the full Researcher feature set with no charge if you decide it's not for you.

What's the difference between Researcher and an enterprise pilot?+

Researcher is the analyst tier: the wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, earlier access to the experimental signal feed (track record still maturing), the full wallet analyzer, and evidence exports for regular work, with a Market Trust packet preview included. Enterprise pilots are scoped around a buyer problem: one market theme, cohort, data-rights path, API surface, or evidence packet.

Does the free tier require a Polymarket wallet?+

No. The free tier lets you inspect public Market Trust previews, paste any public Polymarket wallet into the analyzer, and sign up for one weekly single-wallet email. You only need your own wallet if you want to track your score over time.

Annual or monthly billing?+

Both. Annual saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Toggle at the top of the pricing cards. Variance-sensitive users tend to prefer annual; trial-curious users tend to prefer monthly with the 14-day free trial.

What's the Kalshi integration?+

Kalshi is treated differently from Polymarket because it does not expose a public wallet graph. Researcher uses Kalshi only where rights and data shape support it: market rules, settlement metadata, orderbook context, and user-authorized account imports. We do not claim market-wide Kalshi wallet scoring without partner or user-authorized account data.

What's the methodology behind Edge Score?+

Edge Score is a three-pillar composite: posture (baseline-adjusted Brier), conviction (PnL concentration), and discipline (resolved position count). The methodology is fitted on a reference Polymarket cohort, tested under cross-validation, and evaluated against a permutation null. The full methodology paper, public data bundle, and reproduction script are at /research/edge-score-methodology-v1m.

All paid plans include a 14-day free trial. Cancel anytime.

Questions? Contact us