Pay for the market evidence you need to use.

Free covers one-off wallet and market checks. Researcher ($49/mo) is the self-serve analyst loop: a 10-wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, the full analyzer, and evidence exports, with a Market Trust packet preview included. Trader ($499/mo) adds wallet-move alerts polled every minute; Enterprise pilots are sales-led.

Product claim caveat

Paid features provide monitoring, data access, reports, and exports. Convexly does not execute trades, provide financial advice, or guarantee signal or wallet performance.

MonthlyAnnual

For individuals

Check one thing for free, then upgrade when you need a repeatable diligence workflow.

Free

$0forever

Check a public market or wallet once, with caveats visible before you rely on it.

  • Audit public sample markets and wallet evidence
  • See verdicts, caveats, and public receipts
  • Read public methods, failed tests, and track-record status
Most Popular

Researcher

$49/month

For analysts citing prediction-market prices in regular work.

Researcher replaces manual screenshots and ad hoc checks with the full wallet analyzer, a wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, earlier access to the experimental signal feed, and exportable evidence: your repeatable diligence loop.

  • Wallet watchlist: monitor up to 10 wallets with delta context
  • Monday digest: weekly Edge Score and new-position changes by email
  • Earlier access to the experimental signal feed (track record still maturing)
  • Export your decision journal (CSV/JSON) for memos or internal review
  • Full wallet analyzer with per-category calibration and Kelly replay
  • Reconcile any wallet against the on-chain Polygon settlement record, not just the recent-trade window.
  • Market Trust packets included as a preview (experimental, canary)
Ask for founder onboarding

Trader

$499/month

For desks that act on signal changes in minutes, not days.

  • Live activity stream + wallet-move email alerts, the moment we detect them
  • Whole-cohort watch: alerted when several registry-screened wallets trade the same market
  • Live market-integrity read on any market, with a confidence interval on every estimate
  • Reconcile any wallet against the on-chain Polygon settlement record, not just the recent-trade window.
  • 25-wallet watchlist with per-wallet alert rules

For institutions

Citing market prices in client work, memos, or regulated reporting? That belongs here: market-quality evidence packets, participant diagnostics, and scoped API pilots for analysts, funds, venues, and compliance teams.

Design Partner Pilot

Custom

Scoped market-quality evidence packets for institutions and serious research teams.

  • Scoped Market Trust packet set for a defined market category
  • Receipt-linked exports and buyer-specific caveat language
  • 30-day pilot; annual licenses on request
Contact Sales

Custom Enterprise

Custom

Bespoke cohort + scoped API access under engagement + dedicated research liaison.

  • Custom evidence packets, cohorts, and scoped API access under engagement
  • Data-rights-aware implementation notes and export logs
  • Named research contact and documented support path
Contact Sales
Not ready to pay? The wallet analyzer is free, no signup. Try it on any public wallet. The Free plan above covers one-off wallet and market checks.
See an example Market Trust evidence packet (experimental preview)
Polymarket card / preview
illustrative example

Market

Will this market price be strong enough to use in a memo?

Use with caveatsEvidence confidence / medium

Why

Liquidity and freshness are reviewable, but participant evidence and outcome validation still travel as caveats.

Caveat

Cite the market as directional evidence, not as an authoritative probability.

Checks

Freshness, liquidity, depth, participant quality, resolution risk, integrity flags, and related-market coherence.

Receipt

Method version, source labels, validation state, row hash, and replay path stay attached.

This is the packet format. Most live prediction-market prices are not yet citable: Market Trust grades each one (use, use with caveats, discount, or do not cite) and shows why. It stays an experimental preview until enough markets resolve to validate the scores. Every verdict and its caveats are public; the full diligence packet for a positive verdict, with its exports, is a Researcher feature, while discount / do-not-cite packets and one sample positive packet stay free. Open the live flagship for the current top-graded card.
Open today's top-graded card
How Researcher changes your week

What changes on Monday morning?

Researcher turns Convexly into a repeatable diligence loop.

First customers should not have to guess how to get value. Send a wallet list, market theme, or signal question, and we will help set up the first Researcher workflow.

Request founder onboarding

Staying current

Before: Manually revisit wallets, tabs, and screenshots.

With Researcher: Use watchlists and the Researcher digest as the operating loop.

Finding participant evidence

Before: Sort PnL screenshots and hope the largest winner is relevant.

With Researcher: Use Edge Score cohorts as supporting evidence for participant quality.

Checking a market

Before: Quote a price without knowing whether the market is thin, stale, or incoherent.

With Researcher: Use the Market Trust preview's caveats and related-market checks before deciding whether to cite it.

Compare all plans
FeatureFreeResearcherTraderEnterprise Pilot
Public wallet analyzer
Market and wallet monitoring1 wallet10 wallets25 walletsPilot-scoped
Digest and alert context - Live stream + alertsScoped by pilot
Evidence exports -
Market Trust packets (preview)Public previewPreview includedPreview includedCustom packet set
API and data delivery - Public APIPublic APIScoped
Founder onboarding -
Price$0$49/mo$499/moSales-led

Annual billing saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Design Partner and Custom Enterprise pilots are sales-led - see the for-institutions section above or contact us.

Frequently asked

Can I cancel anytime?+

Yes. Every paid plan is month-to-month and cancellable from your billing portal in two clicks. No support ticket, no retention call, no minimum-term commitment. Researcher requires a card at checkout and bills at the current price from day one; cancel anytime and you are not charged again.

What's the difference between Researcher and an enterprise pilot?+

Researcher is the analyst tier: the wallet watchlist, the Monday digest, earlier access to the experimental signal feed (track record still maturing), the full wallet analyzer, and evidence exports for regular work, with a Market Trust packet preview included. Enterprise pilots are scoped around a buyer problem: one market theme, cohort, data-rights path, API surface, or evidence packet.

Does the free tier require a Polymarket wallet?+

No. The free tier lets you inspect public Market Trust previews, paste any public Polymarket wallet into the analyzer, and sign up for one weekly single-wallet email. You only need your own wallet if you want to track your score over time.

Annual or monthly billing?+

Both. Annual saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Toggle at the top of the pricing cards. Variance-sensitive users tend to prefer annual; month-to-month users start on monthly and switch later from the billing portal.

What's the methodology behind Edge Score?+

Edge Score is a three-pillar composite: posture (baseline-adjusted Brier), conviction (PnL concentration), and discipline (resolved position count). The methodology is fitted on a reference Polymarket cohort, tested under cross-validation, and evaluated against a permutation null. The full methodology paper, public data bundle, and reproduction script are at /research/edge-score-methodology-v1m.

Researcher is month to month. Card required at checkout and billed at the current price from day one; cancel anytime from the billing portal.

Questions? Contact us