Free helps you inspect wallets and public scorecards. Researcher is for people who need a repeatable process: watch wallets, read the weekly digest, inspect Coherence Signals, and keep caveats attached to every market call.
Product claim caveat
Paid features provide monitoring, data access, reports, and exports. Convexly does not execute trades, provide financial advice, or guarantee signal or wallet performance.
What changes on Monday morning?
First customers should not have to guess how to get value. Send a wallet list, market theme, or signal question, and we will help set up the first Researcher workflow.
Finding traders
Before: Sort PnL screenshots and hope the largest winner is skilled.
With Researcher: Rank behavior with Edge Score, pillar breakdowns, and resolved-position context.
Checking a market
Before: Quote a price without knowing whether the market is thin, stale, or incoherent.
With Researcher: Use Market Trust caveats and Coherence Signals before deciding whether to cite it.
Staying current
Before: Manually revisit wallets, tabs, and screenshots.
With Researcher: Use watchlists, wallet alerts, and the Researcher digest as the operating loop.
Check one thing for free, then upgrade when you need a repeatable diligence workflow.
Check a public market or wallet once, with caveats visible before you rely on it.
A daily diligence loop for analysts who need to use prediction-market prices in real work.
Researcher replaces manual screenshots, scattered market notes, and ad hoc checks with one watchlist, one digest, one signal feed, and one evidence trail.
Coming Q3 2026 - waitlist open now
Planned realtime-alert tier for professional traders. Join the waitlist until the Q3 2026 pipeline ships.
Market-quality evidence packets, participant diagnostics, and scoped API pilots for analysts, funds, venues, and compliance teams.
Scoped participant-quality and market-quality evidence packets for institutions.
Bespoke cohort + API access + dedicated research liaison.
| Feature | Free | Researcher | Trader |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Market Trust preview | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Public wallet analyzer | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Single-wallet email watch (no signup) | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Public Coherence Signals preview | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Wallet-ranking research surface | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Wallet Watchlist | - | 50 wallets | Extended |
| Monday wallet digest | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Watchlist alert cadence | - | 24h cron | Sub-5-min |
| Kalshi market data + user-authorized imports | - | Live market context / authorized only | Priority |
| Resolution sync cadence | - | As available | Priority |
| Kelly Replay sizing tool | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Time-series Edge Score (24-month history) | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Per-category calibration notes | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Scenario simulations + sizing sensitivity | - | ✓ | Extended |
| Position review log + pre-trade checklist | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Behavioral insights + data export | - | ✓ | ✓ |
| Priority research queue | - | - | ✓ |
| Price | $0 | $99/mo | $499/mo |
Annual billing saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Wallet-Label Pilot and Custom Enterprise are sales-led - see the for-institutions section above or contact us.
Yes. Every paid plan is month-to-month and cancellable from your billing portal in two clicks. No support ticket, no retention call, no minimum-term commitment. The 14-day free trial means you can run the full Researcher feature set with no charge if you decide it's not for you.
Researcher is the analyst tier: Market Trust review, a 50-wallet watchlist, Monday wallet digest, sizing replay, scenario checks, time-series Edge Score history, per-category calibration notes, and a direct line to the founder on in-progress research drops. Trader is the future realtime-alert tier. Most analysts should start with Researcher.
No. The free tier lets you inspect public Market Trust previews, paste any public Polymarket wallet into the analyzer, and sign up for one weekly single-wallet email. You only need your own wallet if you want to track your score over time.
Both. Annual saves roughly two months on every paid tier. Toggle at the top of the pricing cards. Variance-sensitive users tend to prefer annual; trial-curious users tend to prefer monthly with the 14-day free trial.
Kalshi is treated differently from Polymarket because it does not expose a public wallet graph. Researcher uses Kalshi only where rights and data shape support it: market rules, settlement metadata, orderbook context, and user-authorized CSV imports. We do not claim market-wide Kalshi wallet scoring without partner or user-authorized account data.
Edge Score is a three-pillar composite: posture (baseline-adjusted Brier), conviction (PnL concentration), and discipline (resolved position count). The methodology is fitted on a reference Polymarket cohort, tested under cross-validation, and evaluated against a permutation null. The full methodology paper, public data bundle, and reproduction script are at /research/edge-score-methodology-v1m.
All paid plans include a 14-day free trial. Cancel anytime.
Questions? Contact us