Subtract the luck.
See which Polymarket wallets have actually been right.
The skill-or-luck read on any Polymarket wallet. Free, no signup, in about 30 seconds.
Edge Score is a composite of calibration, conviction, and discipline against a frozen 8,656-wallet reference cohort. It describes the past record, not a forecast.
0 of the 41 wallets on today's public board have their complete resolved record rebuilt from Polygon, each carrying a block-anchored completeness proof you can check against the chain yourself. The rest are read from a window that omits positions already redeemed, and every row says which it is. Board of 2026-09-01.
What you get
Check any wallet free. Watch the ones you choose.
Free
The skill-or-luck read on any Polymarket wallet, then watch one free. A daily recap when it opens new positions, plus a Monday Edge Score delta digest. Diagnostics, not advice.
Researcher
Ten wallets kept current instead of one, with the same recaps and Monday digest, plus the full reconciled read that prices a wallet's complete history and can return a verdict a windowed read can't.
Receipts, including the misses
We publish our own failed tests.
Most analytics tools show you only what works. We publish the misses too: Edge Score follow-up tests that missed the bar we set for them in advance, a 24-aggregator study where none beat the market, and the finding that calibration barely predicts profit. Every serious claim points back to a frozen method and a receipt you can open.