Wallet Ratings
LivePositive-PnL Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score V3b, a descriptive behavioral composite of calibration, conviction, and discipline. It describes the resolved record, not a forecast of future returns. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare against the cohort.
Wallets ranked
37
clear the positive-PnL gate
Top Edge Score
99.5
Median Edge Score
54.7
Reference cohort
50
frozen fit
Edge Score vs same-window PnL (in-sample diagnostic)
Monthly rolling rank correlation between Edge Score V3b and signed-log PnL computed on the SAME in-window positions. This is an in-sample contemporaneous diagnostic, not a forward test: the score and the realized PnL share the same positions and the dominant input (conviction) is PnL-derived, so it overstates predictive skill. The honest forward result is the ex-ante per-wallet temporal holdout (out-of-sample Spearman +0.11, 95% CI [0.05, 0.18], which did not clear the +0.30 threshold it was filed against). Brier-only baseline shown for contrast.
median ρ = 0.375
26 monthly windows
Edge Score distribution
How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.
median = 54.6
n = 50
Showing 23 wallets with 30+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 14 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.
Leaderboard caveat
Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.
How to read this board. Edge Score is a descriptive behavioral composite of how a wallet positioned on its resolved public history (calibration, conviction, and discipline). It describes the past record; out-of-sample forward-skill validation is still pending, so a rank is not a forecast of future returns.
This board is shown for wallets with positive realized PnL. 13 cohort wallets are held back from the public view because realized PnL is not positive or is unavailable.
0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $1.5M PnL
Cal
83
Conv
93
Disc
53
95
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $93.8K PnL
Cal
20
Conv
81
Disc
61
81
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $41.7K PnL
Cal
41
Conv
75
Disc
53
78
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 66 positions · $51.7K PnL
Cal
60
Conv
74
Disc
31
75
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 31 positions · $19.2K PnL
Cal
74
Conv
54
Disc
60
72
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 34 positions · $32.2K PnL
Cal
71
Conv
44
Disc
56
60
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 61 positions · $476.9K PnL
Cal
57
Conv
56
Disc
34
58
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $95.2K PnL
Cal
47
Conv
50
Disc
53
57
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 43 positions · $66.1K PnL
Cal
49
Conv
52
Disc
47
57
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $139.8K PnL
Cal
20
Conv
56
Disc
53
55
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 70 positions · $145.4K PnL
Cal
83
Conv
46
Disc
29
55
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $335.2K PnL
Cal
45
Conv
38
Disc
61
49
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 49 positions · $146.6K PnL
Cal
14
Conv
56
Disc
42
48
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 41 positions · $51.8K PnL
Cal
42
Conv
41
Disc
49
47
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $65.6K PnL
Cal
24
Conv
39
Disc
53
39
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 134 positions · $951.4K PnL
Cal
25
Conv
54
Disc
12
33
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 214 positions · $1.6M PnL
Cal
30
Conv
58
Disc
5
31
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 79 positions · $487.2K PnL
Cal
34
Conv
36
Disc
25
27
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 84 positions · $86.7K PnL
Cal
53
Conv
29
Disc
23
22
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 74 positions · $64.5K PnL
Cal
18
Conv
33
Disc
27
17
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 126 positions · $130.5K PnL
Cal
33
Conv
34
Disc
13
15
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 181 positions · $268.5K PnL
Cal
26
Conv
31
Disc
7
7
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 111 positions · $172.9K PnL
Cal
6
Conv
32
Disc
16
6
Edge
Watch up to 50 rated wallets.
Researcher gives you a Monday digest of score movement, concentration drift, and new-position context for wallets you choose to monitor.