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Positive-PnL Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score V3b, a descriptive behavioral composite of calibration, conviction, and discipline. It describes the resolved record, not a forecast of future returns. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare against the cohort.

Updated yesterdayRanked from a frozen 50-wallet fit; 37 currently clear the positive-PnL gate. Next refresh 06:00 UTC.
Edge Score V3b · descriptive behavioral composite

Wallets ranked

37

clear the positive-PnL gate

Top Edge Score

99.5

Median Edge Score

54.7

Reference cohort

50

frozen fit

Edge Score vs same-window PnL (in-sample diagnostic)

Monthly rolling rank correlation between Edge Score V3b and signed-log PnL computed on the SAME in-window positions. This is an in-sample contemporaneous diagnostic, not a forward test: the score and the realized PnL share the same positions and the dominant input (conviction) is PnL-derived, so it overstates predictive skill. The honest forward result is the ex-ante per-wallet temporal holdout (out-of-sample Spearman +0.11, 95% CI [0.05, 0.18], which did not clear the +0.30 threshold it was filed against). Brier-only baseline shown for contrast.

median ρ = 0.375

26 monthly windows

0.00.20.40.6Oct 25Dec 25Mar 26
Edge Score V3b ρBrier-only baseline

Edge Score distribution

How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.

median = 54.6

n = 50

0-10: 2 wallets (4%)10-20: 3 wallets (6%)20-30: 2 wallets (4%)30-40: 6 wallets (12%)40-50: 10 wallets (20%)50-60: 9 wallets (18%)60-70: 5 wallets (10%)70-80: 5 wallets (10%)80-90: 3 wallets (6%)90-100: 5 wallets (10%)0255075100
Wallets per binMedianp25-p75 band

Showing 23 wallets with 30+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 14 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.

Venue footprint snapshot:Polymarket live 100.Kalshi live 1,000

Leaderboard caveat

Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.

How to read this board. Edge Score is a descriptive behavioral composite of how a wallet positioned on its resolved public history (calibration, conviction, and discipline). It describes the past record; out-of-sample forward-skill validation is still pending, so a rank is not a forecast of future returns.

This board is shown for wallets with positive realized PnL. 13 cohort wallets are held back from the public view because realized PnL is not positive or is unavailable.

Skilled Wallet #1politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $1.5M PnL

95

Edge

Skilled Wallet #2crypto· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $93.8K PnL

81

Edge

Skilled Wallet #3politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $41.7K PnL

78

Edge

4
Skilled Wallet #4politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 66 positions · $51.7K PnL

75

Edge

5
Skilled Wallet #5crypto· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 31 positions · $19.2K PnL

72

Edge

6
Skilled Wallet #6crypto· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 34 positions · $32.2K PnL

60

Edge

7
Skilled Wallet #7politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 61 positions · $476.9K PnL

58

Edge

8
Skilled Wallet #8crypto· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $95.2K PnL

57

Edge

9
Skilled Wallet #9Usable sample

0x••••…•••• · 43 positions · $66.1K PnL

57

Edge

10
Skilled Wallet #10Usable sample

0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $139.8K PnL

55

Edge

11
Skilled Wallet #11geopolitics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 70 positions · $145.4K PnL

55

Edge

12
Skilled Wallet #12tech· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $335.2K PnL

49

Edge

13
Skilled Wallet #13politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 49 positions · $146.6K PnL

48

Edge

14
Skilled Wallet #14politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 41 positions · $51.8K PnL

47

Edge

15
Skilled Wallet #15crypto· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 37 positions · $65.6K PnL

39

Edge

16
Skilled Wallet #16crypto· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 134 positions · $951.4K PnL

33

Edge

17
Skilled Wallet #17crypto· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 214 positions · $1.6M PnL

31

Edge

18
Skilled Wallet #18geopolitics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 79 positions · $487.2K PnL

27

Edge

19
Skilled Wallet #19sports· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 84 positions · $86.7K PnL

22

Edge

20
Skilled Wallet #20politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 74 positions · $64.5K PnL

17

Edge

21
Skilled Wallet #21politics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 126 positions · $130.5K PnL

15

Edge

22
Skilled Wallet #22geopolitics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 181 positions · $268.5K PnL

7

Edge

23
Skilled Wallet #23tech· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 111 positions · $172.9K PnL

6

Edge

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