Markets

Live odds with Convexly's read attached. Click a market for its Market Trust breakdown and structural coherence read.

Citation-grade diligence table
1%yesread 9m ago

Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

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68%yesread 9m ago

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

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3%yesread 9m ago

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?

Discountpolymarket
0%yesread 9m ago

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

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16%yesread 9m ago

Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

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1%yesread 9m ago

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?

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59%yesread 9m ago

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

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31%yesread 9m ago

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

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14%yesread 9m ago

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

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38%yesread 9m ago

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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5%yesread 9m ago

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

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23%yesread 9m ago

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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23%yesread 9m ago

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

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97%yesread 9m ago

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

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30%yesread 9m ago

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

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42%yesread 9m ago

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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76%yesread 9m ago

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

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1%yesread 9m ago

Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?

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48%yesread 9m ago

Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?

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61%yesread 9m ago

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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41%yesread 9m ago

Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

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17%yesread 9m ago

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?

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5%yesread 9m ago

Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

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10%yesread 9m ago

Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?

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58%yesread 24m ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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0%yesread 24m ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

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42%yesread 24m ago

Discord IPO before 2027?

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0%yesread 24m ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

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96%yesread 24m ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

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11%yesread 39m ago

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?

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20%yesread 39m ago

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

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92%yesread 39m ago

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?

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0%yesread 54m ago

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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1%yesread 1h ago

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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No live quoteread 1h ago

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

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7%yesread 1h ago

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

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9%yesread 1h ago

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

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32%yesread 1h ago

Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?

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4%yesread 2h ago

Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026?

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0%yesread 2h ago

Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

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48%yesread 2h ago

Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?

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0%yesread 2h ago

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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100%yesread 2h ago

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

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2%yesread 2h ago

Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?

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0%yesread 2h ago

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

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No live quoteread 3h ago

LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

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No live quoteread 4h ago

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

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No live quoteread 4h ago

Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

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No live quoteread 5h ago

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

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No live quoteread 6h ago

LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

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No live quoteread 6h ago

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

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4%yesread 7h ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

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2%yesread 8h ago

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

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0%yesread 9h ago

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

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0%yesread 9h ago

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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3%yesread 10h ago

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?

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0%yesread 10h ago

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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3%yesread 11h ago

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

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7%yesread 11h ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

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No live quoteread 14h ago

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

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1%yesread 15h ago

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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No live quoteread 16h ago

Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

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1%yesread 18h ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

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No live quoteread 19h ago

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

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No live quoteread 20h ago

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

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No live quoteread 22h ago

Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?

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No live quoteread 22h ago

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

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Odds are implied YES probabilities via the Polymarket public API, cached about a minute; a missing quote renders as missing. Verdicts are experimental market-quality diagnostics from Market Trust v0.2 with visible caveats on each market page. None of this is investment advice.