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Daily market read
This market is no longer in the daily monitored set.
This is the most recent Convexly read for it, as of 2026-05-19 (UTC). The read has not been refreshed since then, so later market activity is not reflected here.
Certainty reflects how much of this market we measured, not how good the market is.
Resolution-rule text is missing, so the card cannot receive a clean citation verdict.
Monitor, but do not cite as current. The evidence is useful as an archived read until the data freshness window refreshes.
Freshness gate: Market Trust snapshot is more than the staleness window old. Read it as archived evidence, not as a current run.
The diligence packet carries the memo language, audit chain, and the Markdown, PDF, and JSON exports for this market.
Open the diligence packetWhy this rating
Composite 50 · Do not cite
Measurement certainty
Low
3 measured · 3 modeled · 1 not assessed
Certainty reflects how much of this market we measured, not how good the market is.
1 full-provenance Coherent Markets Engine signal linked to this condition; 6 price-observation checkpoints recorded.
Resolution rules
Rules as stated by Polymarket, reproduced verbatim. Convexly has not independently reviewed them and does not endorse them; the rating's resolution-reliability pillar treats rule text as present but not independently reviewed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Solstice (https://x.com/solsticefi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Solstice, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Experimental rating caveat
Market Trust Cards are experimental market-quality diagnostics, not compliance certifications or validated credit ratings.
What travels with this read
Market Trust is a canary preview: verdict cutpoints are operator-set, and each read is a dated, descriptive diagnostic of market quality, not a prediction of the outcome and not a claim about what the probability should be. A prospective calibration test is filed and matures on resolved outcomes.
Sign in to see recent trades our collectors observed here: side, size, price, and time for every recorded fill.
Create a free accountNone of the wallets in Convexly's provably-complete set has been observed trading this market. That is a statement about this set's observed footprint, not about who trades here.
Check any Polymarket wallet →Quote it verbatim. The number and how the set was chosen travel together; the method is frozen and the per-wallet table is public.
Convexly rates this polymarket market "Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?" as Do not cite, as of 2026-05-19 (UTC).
Per Convexly Market Trust, the polymarket market "Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?" is rated Do not cite as of 2026-05-19T10:26:32.732Z (UTC). The rating describes whether the quoted market price was a clean enough data object to cite at that timestamp. This citation is market diligence, not investment advice, not a trading instruction, not a forecast, and not proof that the market probability is correct. Daily read: https://www.convexly.app/markets/will-solstice-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2026
Canonical URL: https://www.convexly.app/markets/will-solstice-launch-a-token-by-june-30-2026
Boundary of this page
This daily read is market diligence, not investment advice, not a claim of absolute truth, and not proof that any trader should buy or sell. It answers whether this market price had enough substrate to cite, monitor, discount, or ignore at the as-of timestamp, with receipts attached in the diligence packet.
Tight top-of-book; small to mid orders trade close to mid.
Effectively untradeable size; small orders only.
Partial resolution metadata is present; manual rule review remains pending.
Participant-quality inputs exist but do not meet coverage floors.
Heavy concentration / wash-pattern signals; treat with caution.
3 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 80.0.
Caveat: 1 pillar not assessed yet; the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.
Convexly is independent and is not affiliated with or endorsed by Polymarket or Manifold. Wallet and market data are derived from publicly available venue sources.
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