Daily market read
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
This market is no longer in the daily monitored set.
This is the most recent Convexly read for it, as of 2026-07-29 (UTC). The read has not been refreshed since then, so later market activity is not reflected here.
Some quality checks score low, so the rating is held at its floor even though the price is easy to trade and the data is fresh.
Monitor, but do not cite as current. The evidence is useful as an archived read until the data freshness window refreshes.
Freshness gate: Market Trust snapshot is outside the current daily window. Show as latest archived evidence until the next fresh run lands.
The diligence packet carries the memo language, audit chain, and the Markdown, PDF, and JSON exports for this market.
Open the diligence packetWhy this read
Why this rating
Composite 63 · Do not cite
- Coherenceheuristicweight 25.0
No full-provenance CME signal is linked to this condition in the current ledger window; absence of a signal is not proof of coherence.
- · no linked cme signal in window
- · absence of signal not proof of coherence
- · cme signal window days: 7
- · recent full provenance signals: 138
50+20.8 - Executabilitypendingweight 20.0
Executability scored as worse-of(spread, depth) from a single orderbook snapshot; the two were merged from the former liquidity + depth pillars to stop double-counting one correlated source.
- · executability worse of spread depth
- · spread: one_sided_orderbook_boundary
- · spread: direct_bid_ask_spread_missing
- · spread: visible $1k ladder slippage 0.73pp
55no contrib - Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 20.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution metadata present manual review pending
70+23.3 - Participant flowmeasuredweight 20.0
5/8 accounts identifiable; identity coverage 91%; top-account flow share 79%; net directional flow net buy 99%. Descriptive participant flow only; not a skill or smart-money signal.
- · below publishable sample floor
- · current account score join
- · edge score composite descriptive not skill
- · high participant concentration
n/ano contrib - Integrity risk screenheuristicweight 10.0
Mild concentration or coordination signals; review before citing.
- · top-3 wallets control 92% of notional flow
- · flow events: 10
- · distinct wallets: 8
- · wash round trips: 0
75+12.5 - Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
7 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact hashes present
- · source watermarks healthy
100+8.3
How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 60.0.
Caveat: 1 pillar pending; the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.
Experimental rating caveat
Market Trust Cards are experimental market-quality diagnostics, not compliance certifications or validated credit ratings.
What travels with this read
Market Trust is a canary preview: verdict cutpoints are operator-set, and each read is a dated, descriptive diagnostic of market quality, not a prediction of the outcome and not a claim about what the probability should be. A prospective calibration test is filed and matures on resolved outcomes.
- Current card issue: Not enough pillars on this card are measured yet.
- Current card issue: Some pillars on this card are still gathering evidence.
- Current card issue: The rating moves under leave-one-out or weight-perturbation checks.
- absence of signal not proof of coherence
- artifact hashes present
- below publishable sample floor
Cite this reading
Quote it verbatim. The number and its bound travel together; the method is frozen and the per-wallet table is public.
Convexly rates this polymarket market "Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets" as Do not cite, as of 2026-07-29 (UTC).
Per Convexly Market Trust, the polymarket market "Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets" is rated Do not cite as of 2026-07-29T20:00:54.962Z (UTC). The rating describes whether the quoted market price was a clean enough data object to cite at that timestamp. This citation is market diligence, not investment advice, not a trading instruction, not a forecast, and not proof that the market probability is correct. Daily read: https://www.convexly.app/markets/mlb-atl-nym-2026-07-29
Canonical URL: https://www.convexly.app/markets/mlb-atl-nym-2026-07-29
Boundary of this page
This daily read is market diligence, not investment advice, not a claim of absolute truth, and not proof that any trader should buy or sell. It answers whether this market price had enough substrate to cite, monitor, discount, or ignore at the as-of timestamp, with receipts attached in the diligence packet.