0%yes · live odds
Do not cite
Odds via Polymarket public API. Verdict is an experimental market-quality diagnostic, not advice.

Market Trust diagnostic · v0.2 candidate

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.

Why this rating

Why this rating

Composite 55 · Do not cite

1 measured2 heuristic3 pending
  • Coherenceheuristicweight 25.0

    No full-provenance CME signal is linked to this condition in the current ledger window; absence of a signal is not proof of coherence.

    • · no linked cme signal in window
    • · absence of signal not proof of coherence
    • · cme signal window days: 7
    • · recent full provenance signals: 42
    50+25.0
  • Executabilitypendingweight 20.0

    Executability scored as worse-of(spread, depth) from a single orderbook snapshot; the two were merged from the former liquidity + depth pillars to stop double-counting one correlated source.

    • · executability worse of spread depth
    • · spread: one_sided_orderbook_boundary
    • · spread: direct_bid_ask_spread_missing
    • · spread: visible $1k ladder slippage 4.85pp
    40no contrib
  • Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 20.0

    Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.

    • · resolution metadata present manual review pending
    70+28.0
  • Participant flowpendingweight 20.0

    No participant flow rollup materialized yet.

    • · participant flow pending
    n/ano contrib
  • Integrity risk screenpendingweight 10.0

    No participant concentration rollup materialized yet.

    • · missing input
    n/ano contrib
  • Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0

    3 linked artifacts; 1 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.

    • · artifact hash missing
    • · source watermarks healthy
    85+8.5

How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 50.0.

Caveat: 3 pillars pending; the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.

Structural coherence read

The Coherent Markets Engine checks this market's pricing for structural inconsistencies against related markets. Whether a current signal exists, and its construction, is included with Researcher.

See Researcher