Wallet Ratings
LivePositive-PnL Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score, a descriptive behavioral composite of calibration, conviction, and discipline. It describes the resolved record, not a forecast of future returns. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare against the cohort.
Wallets ranked
39
clear the positive-PnL gate
Top Edge Score
98.4
Median Edge Score
63.1
Reference cohort
50
frozen fit
Showing 18 wallets with 30+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 21 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.
Leaderboard caveat
Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.
How to read this board. Edge Score is a descriptive behavioral composite of how a wallet positioned on its resolved public history (calibration, conviction, and discipline). It describes the past record; out-of-sample forward-skill validation is still pending, so a rank is not a forecast of future returns.
Each row also carries a skill read (skilled on the record / not separable from luck / thin sample) with the wallet's realized-edge sign and 95% interval, so a high Edge Score never stands alone. A skilled read renders only past two floors: 30 resolved positions and 20 independent resolved events. Style notes such as "concentrated" describe how the edge was earned; they never change the verdict, and a concentrated record keeps the caveat that the dollar outcome rode on a few events. The board Edge Score is a snapshot from 2026-07-19; a live analyzer read may differ as new positions resolve, so a board score and a live analyzer score read as snapshot-vs-live, not a contradiction.
This board is shown for wallets with positive realized PnL. 11 cohort wallets are held back from the public view because realized PnL is not positive or is unavailable.
Board changes
Since the 2026-07-18 snapshot- 0x••••…•••• #36 → #27
- 0x••••…•••• #20 → #15
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 88.0 → 79.2
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 35.5 → 41.2
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 58.0 → 63.1
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 43.8 → 46.6
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 55.1 → 57.4
- 0x••••…•••• Edge Score 83.2 → 85.3
Descriptive board movement between dated snapshots; ranks are positions in the published top-50 cohort artifact. Edge Score · descriptive behavioral composite. It describes the resolved record, not a forecast of future returns. Movements of wallets not clearing the board's positive-PnL gate are not shown.
0x••••…•••• · 168 positions · $1.6M PnL
Realized edge -6.8pp (95% CI [-10.7, -2.6])
97.4
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 36 positions · $951.5K PnL
Realized edge -0.9pp (95% CI [-15.3, +13.8])
85
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $93.8K PnL
Skill read pending next refresh
81
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 47 positions · $145.5K PnL
Realized edge +18.3pp (95% CI [-2.5, +33.1])
73
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 49 positions · $487.2K PnL
Realized edge +0.5pp (95% CI [-5.4, +9.6])
72
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 61 positions · $172.9K PnL
Realized edge -4.0pp (95% CI [-6.1, -1.9])
71
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 31 positions · $146.6K PnL
Realized edge +0.4pp (95% CI [-11.9, +10.3])
67
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $55.9K PnL
Realized edge +0.1pp (95% CI [-5.3, +6.6])
63
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $52.4K PnL
Realized edge +1.9pp (95% CI [-7.5, +13.4])
60
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 33 positions · $5.4K PnL
Realized edge -2.2pp (95% CI [-8.9, +0.8])
57
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 41 positions · $2.8M PnL
Realized edge +10.9pp (95% CI [-7.7, +26.0])
56
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 83 positions · $132.9K PnL
Realized edge -3.4pp (95% CI [-10.4, +3.8])
54
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 39 positions · $27.6K PnL
Realized edge -3.3pp (95% CI [-9.9, +2.1])
51
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 30 positions · $19.2K PnL
Realized edge +1.0pp (95% CI [-7.6, +9.0])
51
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 93 positions · $335.7K PnL
Realized edge +0.4pp (95% CI [-8.1, +11.1])
47
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 64 positions · $148.9K PnL
Realized edge +2.4pp (95% CI [-4.5, +9.7])
47
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 40 positions · $51.4K PnL
Skill read pending next refresh
46
Edge · 2026-07-19
0x••••…•••• · 63 positions · $103.5K PnL
Realized edge -3.2pp (95% CI [-8.5, +2.8])
41
Edge · 2026-07-19
Edge Score vs same-window PnL (in-sample diagnostic)
Monthly rolling rank correlation between the original Edge Score V3b composite and signed-log PnL computed on the SAME in-window positions. This is an in-sample contemporaneous diagnostic, not a forward test: the score and the realized PnL share the same positions and the dominant input (conviction) is PnL-derived, so it overstates predictive skill. The honest forward result is the ex-ante per-wallet temporal holdout (out-of-sample Spearman +0.11, 95% CI [0.05, 0.18], which did not clear the +0.30 threshold it was filed against). Brier-only baseline shown for contrast. The series was computed under the pre-2026-07-13 V3b constants and does not describe current Edge Scores; the dated method-change note is at /methodology.
median ρ = 0.375
26 monthly windows
Edge Score distribution
How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.
median = 62.5
n = 50
Checking on a wallet that is not on this board?
Paste any public Polymarket address into the analyzer for the same descriptive Edge Score read, free and with no signup. Diagnostics, not advice.