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Ordered by scored resolved-position count. Not a skill ordering and not a profit ordering. As of 2026-09-11.
Explore the published wallet records. Compare sample size, realized-edge intervals and the historical Edge Score composite.
A closed set of Polymarket wallet addresses, selected once and never added to, rescored daily. Shown here when the dollar record is positive or the realized-edge interval lies entirely above zero.
Leaderboard caveat
Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.
How the counts fit together50 addresses are scored in today's artifact. 42 of them clear the publication gate and are listed here. 38 of those listed rows clear the default floor of 30 resolved positions and are on screen. Read in full from Polygon: 31 of the 42 listed. The other 11 are read from the recent-trade window, which omits positions already redeemed.
Closed set of wallet addresses selected once on 2026-04-19 and never added to, not a screen over Polymarket. Membership was conditioned partly on having made money.
Ordered by scored resolved-position count. Not a skill ordering and not a profit ordering.
Recent-window record only. Not a complete read, and not a skill ordering. 31 of 38 shown rows have been read in full.
0 of 38 shown rows clear correction across the set. An interval above zero alone does not establish skill.
SelectionThis board is a closed set of wallet addresses selected once on 2026-04-19, not a screen over Polymarket. No wallet has entered since. The original screen was: Polymarket wallets with >=5 resolved positions and >=$5k realized PnL (2026-04-15 snapshot). Ranked by Edge Score V3b. Membership was conditioned partly on having made money, which puts profit on the causal path into the pool, so no count taken over these rows describes Polymarket wallets generally.
IntervalsOf the 38 rows here carrying a 95% interval, 3 sit entirely above zero and 4 entirely below. Chance alone produces about 1.0 to 1.8 above zero and 1.0 to 1.7 below on rows of these sample sizes, measured by simulating this estimator rather than read off the interval's nominal width. 3 or more above turns up 7.4% to 26% of the time, so a row above zero here describes its own record and is not a finding about it. 4 or more below turns up 1.6% to 9.2% of the time, which brackets the 5% line, so whether this side's count exceeds chance depends on the null shape assumed and no claim either way is made here. 1 further row sits entirely below zero in the cohort but is not shown, and 1 further row sits entirely above zero in the cohort but is not shown: a row is shown on a positive dollar record or on an interval above zero, which admits every above-zero row automatically and admits a below-zero one only if its dollar record is positive, so the two counts above are not filtered the same way. No row is published as skilled unless its positive read survives a correction across the rows beside it, and none here does.
OrderingOrdered by scored resolved-position count, most first. Not a skill ordering, not a profit ordering, and not a ranking by record size. A position is scored only where the read recovered an entry price for it, and Polymarket's recent-trade window omits positions already redeemed, so each wallet's whole resolved record is usually larger than the count shown.
Computed fromRanked from Polymarket's recent-trade window, not from a complete read of each wallet's resolved record. That window omits positions already redeemed, so these figures describe the window and not the whole record. No skill read is published for a wallet until its record has been read in full. 31 of 38 listed wallets have been read in full.
38 of 50 shown 42 of the 50 addresses clear the publication gate. This view hides 4 listed wallets. Every note above is counted over the 38 shown.
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Position floor
Read state, counted over the 42 listed
0xf23c454838ddf6812dcf758ca81f12ca29c7ad58$76.2K PnL
Realized edge -1.1pp (95% CI [-4.7, +2.5])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=238
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0xc2fb2890612ac30ee3547b28020bcc0ce3c6b9f0$74.9K PnL
Realized edge -12.8pp (95% CI [-20.3, -6.1])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=126
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0x1c853edd4f57b9e8b52977e04f412407dcf231d4$41.8K PnL
Realized edge -3.1pp (95% CI [-10.8, +6.0])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=61
0x39a5f8b65504db7110d53dd56b8cb2087441c9a1$54.7K PnL
Realized edge -16.2pp (95% CI [-20.8, -10.2])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=124
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0xdd54538fc93ad3dbb64afc26554c20c6f6c8b245$116.5K PnL
Realized edge +0.8pp (95% CI [-1.3, +2.9])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=828
0xe3d4edebaf92c9b4d596f851bae62675ade1884e$1.3K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge -3.1pp (95% CI [-7.1, +1.2])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0xc2e7800b5af46e6093872b177b7a5e7f0563be51$7.2M PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge +7.9pp (95% CI [-1.2, +16.2])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0xe0a38c87dce37734995049dd341c3995e26e7921$22.5K PnL
Realized edge -14.3pp (95% CI [-25.1, -0.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=30
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0x1d70c34229cc35817b5cdff882b4bcd4e3088691$61.7K PnL
Realized edge +0.3pp (95% CI [-5.5, +5.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=82
0x1d8a377c5020f612ce63a0a151970df64baae842$1.1M PnL
Realized edge +4.1pp (95% CI [-5.4, +13.1])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=92
0x30c92fd3e0fc02128194e470a94f807bdc858770$24.8K PnL
Realized edge -1.8pp (95% CI [-6.0, +1.6])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=90
0xffa4349612223372452dffcdc39ada0714bd1f7f$47.4K PnL
Realized edge +4.2pp (95% CI [+1.0, +8.2])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=90
0xa02e4a5922951cba57d71db258a6ae2ae1d78331$666 PnL
Realized edge +0.7pp (95% CI [-2.2, +4.5])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=204
0x5afa18da414db7c1f887e7b36ca37349a184dba8$42.5K PnL
Realized edge -3.7pp (95% CI [-10.0, +0.5])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=82
0x220abcb8bf9ff3a4e3d8769cb4ffd735d907923b$33.3K PnL
Realized edge +8.1pp (95% CI [+0.9, +16.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=43
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0x2cc5404d4e0623395f507ab1c0fd4b250bbe91d7$55.0K PnL
Realized edge -1.7pp (95% CI [-7.4, +2.8])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=62
0xc139038491da1e6039a88a4395bf1325ffa62fab$10.9K PnL
Realized edge -1.8pp (95% CI [-6.9, +1.4])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=61
0x0d83cab43372a9c4524841c00b3fa7067df4c7c8$33.1K PnL
Realized edge +0.4pp (95% CI [-4.6, +5.8])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=54
0xb0f651fbafa72846ae3bceedb13383bdb56641d9$16.9K PnL
Realized edge +1.4pp (95% CI [-3.2, +6.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=53
0xfc4c47f37df58a2dbccd952e3dbc8fbab0f4392f$30.6K PnL
Realized edge +0.0pp (95% CI [-7.7, +4.6])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=41
0xaef99864d3ffe72345dc7e0fbf8fe79e59dedc3a$18.1K PnL
Realized edge +4.1pp (95% CI [-0.4, +9.1])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=52
0xff7a60d840941f4a93aef4f2f8038b72bfea4c4c$23.0K PnL
Realized edge -7.7pp (95% CI [-20.7, +6.1])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=53
0xc18e5fa67e290238c43cc118cd533ab694389b16$27.4K PnL
Realized edge +1.8pp (95% CI [-4.9, +7.4])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=52
0x15707fe17f4581b5a17b43d0d00bf12628121404$14.6K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge -1.9pp (95% CI [-14.1, +18.5])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0x4128be7113dbca57dd75e7cd2cd508dd9feddc3c$14.9K PnL
Realized edge -8.8pp (95% CI [-15.9, -1.2])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=32
The two reads of this wallet land in different places relative to zero. Both are published on the snapshot; neither is a correction of the other.
0xd1800c7faaf67c455ff2acc1dd39b0f274300c89$24.0K PnL
Realized edge -1.0pp (95% CI [-9.4, +6.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=46
0xd721ee218a84e35c2d4437bf509b2195afd1e215$109.3K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge +18.3pp (95% CI [-2.5, +33.1])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0x482002568b63d43e475b8bd18f83f33a55511c86$19.0K PnL
Realized edge -0.8pp (95% CI [-7.5, +7.2])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=43
0xb71e869f25def5bcc30860d412300b5a7ae10686$22.8K PnL
Realized edge +4.0pp (95% CI [-1.9, +11.3])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=45
0xaaaf7f5294be3f594ce4a648b957d39c69296c31$56.9K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge +12.8pp (95% CI [-0.3, +23.8])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0xeb76811679346cff93cd52a8058a6a25d0fbc435$17.6K PnL
Realized edge -1.1pp (95% CI [-7.8, +4.1])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=39
0x8988e1d0ae0d26447d5564f00d5d9d85d1305dd5$17.8K PnL
Realized edge +0.2pp (95% CI [-6.6, +6.0])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=41
0xf386fb7058f376cc16f6d59cb3cc8c406b2af22c$12.9K PnL
Realized edge -0.7pp (95% CI [-7.4, +5.0])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=38
0x00dcd75c69a475e88e186cbd36059d59dff16ab8$15.8K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge +13.3pp (95% CI [+2.3, +26.6])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
0xcdfe1e23d205266d99347b30e4b4d9b1b44efd89$17.2K PnL
Realized edge -3.6pp (95% CI [-14.4, +5.7])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=37
0xeca1330141b502eeb9e4fd9172c73dd9324ee4c7$26.1K PnL
Realized edge -2.5pp (95% CI [-11.1, +7.6])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=33
0x0e9be66fb878073dd7860139d61082629f67ce4e$32.1K PnL
Realized edge +4.8pp (95% CI [-2.1, +12.8])
From the on-chain read of the resolved record, n=34
0xb94b4d99c69420b7daf0b9814daf558626b1a02b$17.1K PnL
No complete read of this record, so no skill read is published here.
Recent-window edge +0.3pp (95% CI [-14.0, +8.5])Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
Wallets ranked
42
clear the publication gate
Top Edge Score
88.0
over 42 published rows
Median Edge Score
52.6
over 50 scored cohort rows
Reference cohort
50
frozen fit
Computed from the recent-trade window, not the full resolved record.
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How to read this board. Edge Score is a descriptive behavioral composite of how a wallet positioned on its resolved public history (calibration, conviction, and discipline). It describes the past record; out-of-sample forward-skill validation is still pending, so a rank is not a forecast of future returns.
Each row also carries a skill read (ahead of its entry prices / not separable from luck / behind its entry prices / thin sample) with the wallet's realized-edge sign and 95% interval, so a high Edge Score never stands alone. Two of those read the position of an interval that excludes zero and are deliberately not verdicts: a row is called skilled only if its positive read also survives a correction across the rows beside it, which is stated above the board. A read of any kind renders only past two floors: 30 resolved positions and 20 independent resolved events. Style notes such as "concentrated" describe how the edge was earned; they never change the verdict, and a concentrated record keeps the caveat that the dollar outcome rode on a few events. The board Edge Score is a snapshot from 2026-09-11; a live analyzer read may differ as new positions resolve, so a board score and a live analyzer score read as snapshot-vs-live, not a contradiction.
A wallet is shown here when its realized PnL is positive, or when its realized-edge 95% interval lies entirely above zero. The second route was added 2026-08-10 so that a wallet with a measured edge and a losing dollar record appears rather than being hidden: profit is not skill, and a board that filtered on the dollar result alone was filtering as though it were. That interval is a single unadjusted 95% BCa interval on that wallet's own record, not a screen corrected for the fifty wallets tested alongside it, so read it as a description rather than as a wallet that survived a multiple-comparison procedure. 1 cohort wallet is held back from the public view for clearing neither route. A further 7 wallets are held back for a different reason: they failed to re-score on the latest run, so the board publishes no current PnL or interval for them and they cannot clear either route by construction. That is a statement about our read, not about the wallets.
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Edge Score distribution
How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.
median = 52.6
n = 50
Checking on a wallet that is not on this board?
Paste any public Polymarket address into the Polymarket wallet analyzer for the same descriptive Edge Score read. Your first check is free and needs no signup; more wallets are free with an account. Diagnostics, not advice.