Convexly Edge Score
Not just another PnL dashboard.
A wallet leaderboard tells you who made money. Convexly Edge Score asks the harder question: does the wallet show behavior worth studying, and what caveats travel with that answer?
Executive summary
PnL is not enough. A large win can be one event, one tail draw, or one lucky sizing decision.
Receipts matter. Every serious Convexly claim points back to a method version, data artifact, or caveat.
Failures stay visible. Tests that miss their threshold stay part of the product record instead of disappearing.
What Convexly Edge Score measures
Convexly Edge Score is a three-part wallet diagnostic. It looks at posture, conviction, and discipline across public resolved Polymarket activity. That means it is not simply a profit rank. It asks whether the wallet's behavior looks repeatable enough to use as supporting evidence.
Posture
Was the wallet better calibrated than a simple baseline?
Conviction
Did returns come from purposeful sizing or one oversized spike?
Discipline
Is there enough resolved activity to treat the readout as usable?
What it does not claim
Edge Score does not say a wallet will win tomorrow. It does not tell you to mirror a position. It does not turn a market into an investment recommendation. The current methodology is most useful as a cross-sectional way to study public wallet behavior and as one input into Market Trust participant-quality evidence.
Why the Convexly version is different
| Ordinary wallet dashboard | Convexly Edge Score |
|---|---|
| Ranks wallets by visible profit. | Separates profit from posture, conviction, discipline, and sample quality. |
| Shows attractive charts first. | Shows caveats beside the score, including concentration and low-sample warnings. |
| Usually keeps methodology private. | Links to method pages, data artifacts, and reproduction notes where available. |
| Hides or ignores failed tests. | Publishes negative and weak results as part of the product record. |
Why this matters for Market Trust
Markets are not only prices. They are also participants, liquidity, rules, sources, and resolution paths. Edge Score gives Convexly one way to describe participant quality without pretending that raw volume or profit alone is enough. That is why the score belongs inside Market Trust as evidence, not as a standalone hype metric.
Try it
Paste a public Polymarket wallet, inspect the caveats, then compare the score with the underlying method page.