Experimental

Show HN: Convexly

Convexly is a prediction-market diligence tool. It scores public Polymarket wallets by behavioral skill profile and publishes Market Trust cards that explain when market odds are citeable, caveated, discounted, or too thin to use.

Experimental rating caveat

Market Trust Cards are experimental market-quality diagnostics, not compliance certifications or validated credit ratings.

Score a wallet

Paste a public Polymarket address and get calibration, sizing, concentration, and Edge Score diagnostics.

Inspect Market Trust

See v0.2 market-quality cards with evidence levels, source health, and caveats attached.

Read the evidence

Review methodology, claim status, and what is still experimental before treating the numbers as signal.

What is ready to test today

The public wallet analyzer is the strongest demo path. Market Trust v0.2 is deliberately labeled as a candidate diagnostic: it is useful for inspection, but its freshness and coverage should be checked before broad claims or customer outreach.