Show HN: Convexly
Convexly is a prediction-market diligence tool. It scores public Polymarket wallets by behavioral skill profile from their resolved record, and publishes the method and the receipts behind every number. The Market Trust rating surfaces were frozen on 2026-09-05.
Analyzer caveat
Wallet analysis uses public resolved positions only. Results are noisy for thin samples and should be read as diagnostics, not investment advice.
Score a wallet
Paste a public Polymarket address and get calibration, sizing, concentration, and Edge Score diagnostics.
Browse markets
Live odds and venue facts for Polymarket and Kalshi markets, side by side.
Read the evidence
Review methodology, claim status, and what is still experimental before treating the numbers as signal.
What is ready to test today
The public wallet analyzer is the strongest demo path. The Market Trust rating surfaces were frozen on 2026-09-05.