Cross-venue consensus PoC

One probability, multiple venues, visible tolerances.

This proof page is a bounded public test for venue-neutral probability review: normalize the same underlying question across venues, read each venue's top-of-book probability, and publish the match basis, spread weighting, dispersion, caveats, and row hash before calling anything a signal.

markets read500
price snapshots1000
publishable groups0

Experimental rating caveat

Market Trust Cards are experimental market-quality diagnostics, not compliance certifications or validated credit ratings.

Current proof output

No two-venue consensus group is publishable yet

honest pending

The route is live and reading the productionvenue_marketsandvenue_market_price_snapshotsledgers. It intentionally refuses to publish a consensus until at least two venues share an explicitcross_venue_keyor a conservative normalized question key.

Next unblock: add one reviewed Polymarket/Kalshi mapping key during ingestion, then this page will render the spread-weighted consensus and hash automatically.