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polymarket
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Facts above are read from Polygon logs by Convexly and dated by the block they were emitted in. They are not a review of the market and not investment advice.
Resolution rules
Resolution text decoded by Convexly from the on-chain question payload emitted at Polygon block 91,092,736, reproduced verbatim; not reviewed or endorsed by Convexly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 3205508 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:f43d55f3a8b7484ed4b6931f93cb6f9ef5dd369d
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None of the wallets in Convexly's provably-complete set has been observed trading this market. That is a statement about this set's observed footprint, not about who trades here.
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This page carries the market question and resolution text as decoded from its on-chain payload, and the settlement recorded on chain when one exists. Venue prices, rules and observed fills are shown to signed-in accounts. It is not investment advice and not a claim about how this market will resolve.
Reading this page with a script? The market question text, the on-chain settlement and dispute records and the wallet records are available in a documented form with an API key. API documentation, or write to research@convexly.app.