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Wallet Ratings

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Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score V3b. Calibration, conviction, and discipline. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare a resolved record against the cohort.

CalibrationWallets
Updated yesterdayCohort size 50 wallets. Next refresh 06:00 UTC.
Edge Score V3b · frozen-coefficient methodology

Edge Score predictive power over time

Monthly rolling Spearman correlation between Edge Score V3b and out-of-sample wallet performance. Higher is better. Brier-only baseline shown for contrast.

median ρ = 0.375

26 monthly windows

0.00.20.40.6Oct 25Dec 25Mar 26
Edge Score V3b ρBrier-only baseline

Edge Score distribution

How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.

median = 95.8

n = 50

0-10: 0 wallets (0%)10-20: 0 wallets (0%)20-30: 1 wallets (2%)30-40: 0 wallets (0%)40-50: 4 wallets (8%)50-60: 3 wallets (6%)60-70: 4 wallets (8%)70-80: 1 wallets (2%)80-90: 4 wallets (8%)90-100: 33 wallets (66%)0255075100
Wallets per binMedianp25-p75 band

Showing 13 wallets with 50+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 37 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.

All wallets30+ positions50+ positions100+ positions
Venue footprint snapshot:Polymarket live 100.Kalshi live 1,000

Leaderboard caveat

Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.

Skilled Wallet #1crypto· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 156 positions · $1.7K PnL

97.7

Edge

Skilled Wallet #2geopolitics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 77 positions · $34.0K PnL

97.4

Edge

Skilled Wallet #3politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 61 positions · $82.9K PnL

96.5

Edge

4
Skilled Wallet #4tech· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 95 positions · $6.6K PnL

96.4

Edge

5
Skilled Wallet #5geopolitics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 70 positions · $32.5K PnL

96.0

Edge

6
Skilled Wallet #6crypto· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 220 positions · $30.0K PnL

95.9

Edge

7
Skilled Wallet #7politics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 125 positions · $9.3K PnL

95.8

Edge

8
Skilled Wallet #8Usable sample

0x••••…•••• · 63 positions · $39.4K PnL

70

Edge

9
Skilled Wallet #9tech· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 128 positions · $15.8K PnL

63

Edge

10
Skilled Wallet #10geopolitics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 81 positions · $49.8K PnL

55

Edge

11
Skilled Wallet #11geopolitics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 174 positions · $56.7K PnL

54

Edge

12
Skilled Wallet #12politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 68 positions · -$9.5K PnL

44

Edge

13
Skilled Wallet #13politics· 3vUsable sample

0x••••…•••• · 74 positions · -$19.2K PnL

25

Edge

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