Market Trust diagnostic · v0.2 candidate
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.
Why this rating
Why this rating
Composite 45 · Do not cite
- Coherencemeasuredweight 25.0
7 full-provenance Coherent Markets Engine signals linked to this condition; 41 price-observation checkpoints recorded.
- · full provenance cme signal linked
- · signal price observations linked
- · no observed checkpoint yet
30+9.4 - Executabilitypendingweight 20.0
Executability scored as worse-of(spread, depth) from a single orderbook snapshot; the two were merged from the former liquidity + depth pillars to stop double-counting one correlated source.
- · executability worse of spread depth
- · spread: one_sided_orderbook_boundary
- · spread: direct_bid_ask_spread_missing
- · spread: visible $1k ladder slippage 0.35pp
65no contrib - Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 20.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution metadata present manual review pending
70+17.5 - Participant qualitymeasuredweight 20.0
13/76 accounts scored; scored notional share 41%; Wilson-LB coverage factor 0.19 (not yet calibrated).
- · below publishable sample floor
- · current account score join
- · high unknown flow share
- · low edge flow present
0no contrib - Integrity risk screenmeasuredweight 10.0
Heavy concentration / wash-pattern signals; treat with caution.
- · top-3 wallets control 73% of notional flow
- · 98% of wallet/side pairs appear repeatedly
- · flow events: 1000
- · distinct wallets: 76
55+6.9 - Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
5 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact hashes present
- · source watermarks healthy
100+6.3
How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 80.0.
Caveat: 1 pillar pending; the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.