Calibration Challenge Result

Calibration Score Card

Completed April 9, 2026

Brier Score

0.009

lower is better · 0 = perfect

Well Calibrated

Correct

10/10

Avg Human

0.250

vs Average

-0.241

0 (perfect)Avg benchmark (0.25)0.50

Generated by Convexly , Calibration + Sizing Intelligence