Market Trust diagnostic · v0.2 candidate
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.
Why this rating
Why this rating
Composite 42 · Do not cite
- Coherencemeasuredweight 20.0
2 full-provenance Coherent Markets Engine signals linked to this condition; 11 price-observation checkpoints recorded.
- · full_provenance_cme_signal_linked
- · signal_price_observations_linked
- · no_observed_checkpoint_yet
30+7.5 - Liquiditymeasuredweight 15.0
Workable spread; large orders pay slippage.
- · top-of-book spread 3.2c
- · spread is 123% of mid — heavy slippage on size
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
65+12.2 - Depthmeasuredweight 15.0
Effectively untradeable size; small orders only.
- · min-side depth $28 within ±5c of mid
- · bid $28 / ask $28
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
15+2.8 - Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 15.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution_metadata_present_manual_review_pending
70+13.1 - Participant qualitypendingweight 20.0
Participant-quality inputs exist but do not meet coverage floors.
- · below_publishable_sample_floor
- · high_participant_concentration
- · high_unknown_flow_share
- · insufficient_scored_accounts
—no contrib - Integrity risk screenheuristicweight 10.0
Top account flow share is 100%.
- · high_participant_concentration
0no contrib - Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
5 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact_hashes_present
- · source_watermarks_healthy
100+6.3
How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 80.0.
Caveat: 1 pillar pending — the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.