Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?

This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.

Why this rating

Composite 40 · Do not cite

2 measured1 heuristic4 pending

Coherencependingweight 20.0
Coherence evidence not linked yet.
- · missing_input
—no contrib
Liquiditypendingweight 15.0
Top-of-book unavailable; pillar pending.
- · No bid/ask snapshot in the lookback window.
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
0no contrib
Depthpendingweight 15.0
Depth data unavailable; pillar pending.
- · No depth snapshot in the lookback window.
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
0no contrib
Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 15.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution_metadata_present_manual_review_pending
70+35.0
Participant qualitypendingweight 20.0
Participant-quality inputs exist but do not meet coverage floors.
- · below_publishable_sample_floor
- · current_account_score_join
- · high_unknown_flow_share
- · insufficient_scored_accounts
—no contrib
Integrity risk screenmeasuredweight 10.0
Flow patterns clean; no wash-trade or coordination signals.
- · top-3 wallets control 61% of notional flow
- · flow_events:76
- · distinct_wallets:62
- · wash_round_trips:0
85+28.3
Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
15 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact_hashes_present
- · source_watermarks_healthy
100+16.7

How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 30.0.

Caveat: 4 pillars pending — the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.