Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.

Why this rating

Composite 48 · Do not cite

6 measured1 heuristic0 pending

Coherencemeasuredweight 20.0
4 full-provenance Coherent Markets Engine signals linked to this condition; 24 price-observation checkpoints recorded.
- · full_provenance_cme_signal_linked
- · signal_price_observations_linked
- · no_observed_checkpoint_yet
30+6.0
Liquiditymeasuredweight 15.0
Tight top-of-book; small to mid orders trade close to mid.
- · top-of-book spread 1.0c
- · spread is 3% of mid — tight relative to price
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
100+15.0
Depthmeasuredweight 15.0
Thin book; orders >$1K shift mid by more than 5c.
- · min-side depth $2,079 within ±5c of mid
- · bid $2,079 / ask $2,079
- · pp-band-to-cents-band approximation in effect (depth_5pct_usd/2 per side); per-side decomposition pending substrate work
- · scorer_version:M2
45+6.8
Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 15.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution_metadata_present_manual_review_pending
70+10.5
Participant qualitymeasuredweight 20.0
5/20 accounts scored; scored notional share 88%.
- · below_publishable_sample_floor
- · current_account_score_join
- · high_participant_concentration
- · low_edge_flow_present
2+0.4
Integrity risk screenmeasuredweight 10.0
Heavy concentration / wash-pattern signals; treat with caution.
- · 1 possible wash round-trip detected
- · top-3 wallets control 96% of notional flow
- · 95% of wallet/side pairs appear repeatedly
- · flow_events:536
45+4.5
Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
5 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact_hashes_present
- · source_watermarks_healthy
100+5.0

How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 100.0.