Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.

Why this rating

Composite 72 · Do not cite

2 measured3 heuristic2 pending

Coherenceheuristicweight 20.0
No full-provenance CME signal is linked to this condition in the current ledger window; absence of a signal is not proof of coherence.
- · no_linked_cme_signal_in_window
- · absence_of_signal_not_proof_of_coherence
- · cme_signal_window_days:7
- · recent_full_provenance_signals:250
50+14.3
Liquidityheuristicweight 15.0
One-sided visible ladder; direct spread unavailable, so liquidity is capped and caveated.
- · one_sided_orderbook_boundary
- · direct_bid_ask_spread_missing
- · visible $1k ladder slippage 0pp
- · scorer_version:M2
65+13.9
Depthmeasuredweight 15.0
$1k visible-ladder slippage estimate is 0pp.
- · visible_ladder_slippage_measured
100+21.4
Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 15.0
Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.
- · resolution_metadata_present_manual_review_pending
70+15.0
Participant qualitypendingweight 20.0
Participant-quality inputs exist but do not meet coverage floors.
- · below_publishable_sample_floor
- · high_participant_concentration
- · high_unknown_flow_share
- · insufficient_scored_accounts
—no contrib
Integrity risk screenpendingweight 10.0
Mild concentration or coordination signals; review before citing.
- · top-3 wallets control 100% of notional flow
- · flow_events:4
- · distinct_wallets:4
- · wash_round_trips:0
75no contrib
Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0
3 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.
- · artifact_hashes_present
- · source_watermarks_healthy
100+7.1

How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 70.0.

Caveat: 2 pillars pending — the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.