Market Trust diagnostic · v0.2 candidate

Spurs vs. Thunder

This market is not in the v0.1 daily card set yet. The v0.2 diagnostic scorecard below shows the per-pillar contribution from the latest materializer run, with visible caveats and evidence-status separation.

Why this rating

Why this rating

Composite 71 · Do not cite

3 measured3 heuristic1 pending
  • Coherenceheuristicweight 20.0

    No full-provenance CME signal is linked to this condition in the current ledger window; absence of a signal is not proof of coherence.

    • · no_linked_cme_signal_in_window
    • · absence_of_signal_not_proof_of_coherence
    • · cme_signal_window_days:7
    • · recent_full_provenance_signals:250
    50+12.5
  • Liquidityheuristicweight 15.0

    One-sided visible ladder; direct spread unavailable, so liquidity is capped and caveated.

    • · one_sided_orderbook_boundary
    • · direct_bid_ask_spread_missing
    • · visible $1k ladder slippage 0pp
    • · scorer_version:M2
    65+12.2
  • Depthmeasuredweight 15.0

    $1k visible-ladder slippage estimate is 0pp.

    • · visible_ladder_slippage_measured
    100+18.8
  • Resolution reliabilityheuristicweight 15.0

    Resolution source and rule text are present but not independently reviewed.

    • · resolution_metadata_present_manual_review_pending
    70+13.1
  • Participant qualitypendingweight 20.0

    Participant-quality inputs exist but do not meet coverage floors.

    • · below_publishable_sample_floor
    • · current_account_score_join
    • · high_participant_concentration
    • · high_unknown_flow_share
    no contrib
  • Integrity risk screenmeasuredweight 10.0

    Mild concentration or coordination signals; review before citing.

    • · 1 possible wash round-trip detected
    • · top-3 wallets control 93% of notional flow
    • · flow_events:716
    • · distinct_wallets:254
    65+8.1
  • Audit completenessmeasuredweight 5.0

    17 linked artifacts; 0 missing hashes; 0 stale/failing sources.

    • · artifact_hashes_present
    • · source_watermarks_healthy
    100+6.3

How it adds up: composite = Σ(score × weight) / Σ(weight) across measured + heuristic pillars only. Pending and data-rights-blocked pillars are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Total contributing weight = 80.0.

Caveat: 1 pillar pending — the score will recompute as the substrate fills in.