Wallet positions
0x4d1b…1419
Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.
Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -3.3 pp across 147 resolved positions, 95% CI [-7.4, -0.1], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current holdings
39 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.
Checked 2026-10-08 04:23:14 UTC.
About this snapshot
Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.
| Held | 0.3908 | 19.7¢ | 17.05¢ | $0.07 | $4.1K | -13.5% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Held | 0.4474 | 49.99¢ | 48.55¢ | $0.22 | $1.3K | -2.9% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Held | 323.2336 | 19.86¢ | 15.15¢ | $48.97 | $454.35 | -23.7% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Held | 1,016.83 | 90.94¢ | 98.3¢ | $999.54 | $74.84 | +8.1% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Held | 357.32 | 50.8¢ | 60.6¢ | $216.54 | $35.02 | +19.3% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Held | 1,079.98 | 91.75¢ | 93.5¢ | $1.0K | $18.84 | +1.9% | 2026-11-04 | |
| Redeemable | 2.791 | 46.35¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | $12.01 | -100.0% | 2026-05-20 | |
| Held | 750.0177 | 83.57¢ | 83.95¢ | $629.64 | $8.21 | +0.4% | 2026-10-05 | |
| Held | 200 | 82¢ | 85.5¢ | $171.00 | $7.00 | +4.3% | 2026-10-26 | |
| Held | 200 | 64¢ | 65.5¢ | $131.00 | $3.00 | +2.3% | 2026-11-04 | |
| Held | 1,000 | 0.69¢ | 0.9¢ | $9.00 | $2.00 | +28.6% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Held | 999.9882 | 1.74¢ | 1.6¢ | $16.00 | -$1.50 | -8.6% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Held | 1,000 | 0.39¢ | 0.15¢ | $1.50 | -$2.50 | -62.5% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Redeemable | 100 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$8.00 | -100.0% | 2026-08-13 | |
| Held | 107.95 | 17.61¢ | 10.1¢ | $10.90 | -$8.11 | -42.7% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Held | 449 | 61.11¢ | 58.25¢ | $261.54 | -$12.84 | -4.7% | 2026-06-03 | |
| Redeemable | 199.9891 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$14.40 | -100.0% | 2026-07-29 | |
| Redeemable | 220.78 | 10.89¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$24.92 | -100.0% | 2026-05-07 | |
| Held | 750 | 78.93¢ | 74.5¢ | $558.75 | -$33.25 | -5.6% | 2028-01-01 | |
| Redeemable | 214.06 | 20.62¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$45.51 | -100.0% | 2026-06-15 | |
| Held | 899.9911 | 70.61¢ | 63.5¢ | $571.49 | -$64.00 | -10.1% | 2026-10-28 | |
| Redeemable | 150 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$69.00 | -100.0% | 2026-05-20 | |
| Redeemable | 234.2203 | 40.84¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$90.09 | -100.0% | 2026-08-12 | |
| Redeemable | 199.9942 | 50.49¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$101.00 | -100.0% | 2026-06-03 | |
| Redeemable | 230.2077 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$112.10 | -100.0% | 2026-08-13 | |
| Redeemable | 200 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$116.45 | -100.0% | 2026-07-12 | |
| Held | 500 | 52.19¢ | 23¢ | $115.00 | -$146.00 | -55.9% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Held | 792.83 | 27.73¢ | 5¢ | $39.64 | -$180.26 | -82.0% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Redeemable | 500 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$250.00 | -100.0% | 2026-05-27 | |
| Redeemable | 1,264.06 | 19.37¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$386.49 | -100.0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Redeemable | 71.381 | 79.22¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$530.14 | -100.0% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Redeemable | 199.9989 | 68.49¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$569.99 | -100.0% | 2026-06-17 | |
| Redeemable | 383.2881 | 73.03¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$674.93 | -100.0% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Redeemable | 1,999.9878 | 68.99¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$1.4K | -100.0% | 2026-07-07 | |
| Redeemable | 989.9994 | 77.08¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$1.4K | -100.0% | 2026-05-24 | |
| Redeemable | 1,935.3221 | 95.34¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$1.8K | -100.0% | 2026-05-15 | |
| Held | 647.3335 | 85.77¢ | 82.05¢ | $531.14 | -$3.0K | -4.3% | 2028-11-08 | |
| Redeemable | 6,221.1805 | 67.81¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$4.1K | -100.0% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Redeemable | 5,120 | 96.58¢ | 0¢ | $0.00 | -$5.0K | -100.0% | 2026-08-11 |