Wallet

0x4d1b…1419

Recent trades from public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Trades shown

200

Buy / Sell

173 / 27

Total notional

$31.0K


3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	69	$32
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	2	$1
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	3	$1
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	2	$1
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	19	$9
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	5	$2
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	50	$23
3h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	50	$23
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	46¢	100	$46
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	5	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	4	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	4	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	4	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	5	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	4	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	6	$3
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	4	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	5	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	2	$1
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	5	$2
4h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	52¢	3	$2
5h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	53¢	80	$42
5h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Down	45¢	100	$45
5h ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24? Up	53¢	20	$11
6h ago	SELL	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes	75¢	30	$23
14h ago	BUY	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes	74¢	0	$0
14h ago	BUY	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes	74¢	1	$1
14h ago	BUY	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes	74¢	28	$21
14h ago	BUY	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? Yes	74¢	0	$0
14h ago	SELL	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? No	26¢	171	$45
14h ago	SELL	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? No	26¢	29	$7
15h ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No	76¢	100	$76
15h ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No	67¢	97	$65
16h ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No	67¢	3	$2
16h ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No	77¢	86	$67
22h ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No	77¢	14	$10
1d ago	BUY	Will Nvidia say "Token" 10+ times during earnings call? Yes	82¢	290	$240
1d ago	BUY	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? No	34¢	200	$68
1d ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No	58¢	100	$60
1d ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No	67¢	300	$206
1d ago	BUY	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No	78¢	200	$158
2d ago	SELL	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes	10¢	55	$5
2d ago	SELL	Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? No	98¢	10	$10
2d ago	SELL	Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? No	98¢	100	$98
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	4,402	$4.4K
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	660	$655
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	1,000	$993
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	168	$167
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	156	$155
2d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	16	$16
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	73	$71
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	3	$3
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	128	$124
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	72	$69
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	150	$145
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	500	$485
3d ago	SELL	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	100¢	4,215	$4.2K
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	206	$201
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	3	$3
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	291	$284
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	56	$54
3d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	75	$73
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	62	$61
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	7	$7
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	200	$195
4d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	47¢	40	$19
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	98¢	1,903	$1.9K
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	119	$116
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	44	$43
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	200	$195
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	37	$36
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	50	$48
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	73	$71
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	97¢	127	$123
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	34	$33
4d ago	SELL	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No	31¢	500	$151
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	46	$45
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	200	$195
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	30	$29
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	28	$27
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	62	$60
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	120	$117
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	80	$78
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	200	$195
4d ago	BUY	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? No	98¢	2,944	$2.9K
4d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	45¢	7	$3
4d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	50¢	16	$8
4d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	50¢	20	$10
5d ago	SELL	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	1,179	$1.2K
5d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	50¢	4	$2
5d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	55¢	20	$11
5d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	9¢	53	$5
5d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	9¢	11	$1
6d ago	SELL	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? No	100¢	780	$779
6d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes	89¢	160	$143
6d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	9¢	36	$3
6d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	10¢	100	$10
6d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	11¢	82	$9
6d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	11¢	18	$2
6d ago	BUY	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes	10¢	100	$10
6d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	54¢	80	$44
6d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? No	85¢	473	$404
6d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? No	80¢	20	$16
6d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No	55¢	111	$62
6d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	500	$493
7d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	99¢	20	$20
7d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	99¢	80	$79
7d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	99¢	200	$197
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	14	$14
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	14	$13
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	14	$14
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	14	$14
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	15	$15
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	140	$138
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	13	$13
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	13	$13
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	13	$13
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	10	$10
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	13	$13
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	27	$27
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	14	$14
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	27	$27
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	20	$20
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	30	$30
7d ago	BUY	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No	99¢	2,802	$2.8K
7d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	99¢	33	$33
7d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	99¢	83	$82
8d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	471	$8
8d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	43	$1
8d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	250	$5
9d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	7	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	200	$4
9d ago	BUY	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2¢	29	$1
9d ago	BUY	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	1¢	1,000	$7
9d ago	BUY	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1,000	$4
9d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	303	$300
9d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	1,831	$1.8K
10d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No	98¢	278	$272
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	3	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	3	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	2	$1
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	3	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Up	49¢	4	$2
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	21	$10
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	6	$3
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	15	$7
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	24	$12
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	10	$5
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	12	$6
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	12	$6
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	5	$3
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	23	$11
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	15	$7
11d ago	BUY	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13? Down	49¢	158	$77
11d ago	SELL	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No	99¢	74	$73
11d ago	SELL	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12? Down	27¢	5	$1
11d ago	SELL	Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? No	100¢	1,358	$1.4K

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →