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Prices, rules and resolution. One place to follow a market.
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What is disputed and what has settled on Polygon, each list as of the read-through date of its own chain read.
This page used to carry the Market Trust rating. Its forward test was filed in advance as AsPredicted #295174 and returned a null. A null was one of the outcomes that filing registered, not a failure.
The registered wording is "Market Trust tiers do not separate on resolution cleanliness." The registered label must not be read alone. The higher-trust arm held four markets, so no attainable outcome for that arm could clear the filed threshold, and the contrast is therefore not established. That is not the same as the arms being alike: no equivalence margin was filed, so the frozen result settles the question in neither direction.
The rating and the verdict tier came off this page and off every per-market page on 2026-09-05; the rows already written are kept, and the outcome ledger continues to record resolutions.
The calibration verdict artifact is docs/ops/evidence/market-trust-v1-calibration-verdict/2026-07-30-terminal-analysis-point.json. The methodology it tested is described, as dated history, at /research/market-trust-card, and the filing sits with the others on /research/preregistrations.
Odds, volume and the 24h change on a market page are Polymarket's own reported figures, not Convexly measurements. Diagnostics, not investment advice.
Directory names, categories, volume and status come from our collector registry, with their observation dates. Public CLOB events supply the streamed prices; Gamma supplies the labeled venue snapshots and can update a closed status. These are venue-reported metadata and prices. Per-market facts identify their own source. Scheduled end dates do not establish closure or settlement. The resolution board reads our own settlement records from Polygon and states the read-through date of each chain read.