Markets

Prices, rules and resolution. One place to follow a market.

Resolution Lab

24 markets · recently observed firstConnecting to price feed

SportsOpen

Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Seahawks

Snapshot

<0.1%

Patriots

Snapshot

>99.9%

$857.8k 24h vol.2026-09-10

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

FDVOpen

LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes

Snapshot

95%

Snapshot

5.1%

$234.9k 24h vol.2026-12-31

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

FedOpen

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes

Snapshot

53.5%

Snapshot

46.5%

$31.4k 24h vol.2026-12-09

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

NFLOpen

Will the Falcons win the season series against the Saints during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes

Snapshot

27.5%

Snapshot

72.5%

Volume unavailable2027-01-12

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

FDVOpen

LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes

Snapshot

85.9%

Snapshot

14.1%

$345.3k 24h vol.2026-12-31

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

CryptoOpen

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?

Yes

Snapshot

39.5%

Snapshot

60.5%

Volume unavailable2027-07-01

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

CPI ReleaseOpen

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes

Snapshot

45.5%

Snapshot

54.5%

$1.4m 24h vol.2026-09-16

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

CPI ReleaseOpen

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes

Snapshot

0.1%

Snapshot

99.9%

$704.4k 24h vol.2026-09-16

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

US OpenOpen

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Yes

Snapshot

<0.1%

Snapshot

>99.9%

$258.2k 24h vol.2026-09-13

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

SportsOpen

Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Cincinnati Reds

Snapshot

<0.1%

Los Angeles Dodgers

Snapshot

>99.9%

$235.4k 24h vol.2026-09-17

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

EsportsOpen

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B

Alliance

Snapshot

45.5%

TYLOO

Snapshot

54.5%

$717.5k 24h vol.2026-09-10

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

EsportsOpen

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Snapshot

<0.1%

Snapshot

>99.9%

$242.5k 24h vol.2026-09-10

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

UCL MatchdayOpen

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

Snapshot

0.1%

Snapshot

99.9%

$421.5k 24h vol.2027-05-30

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

ATHOpen

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Yes

Snapshot

0.8%

Snapshot

99.2%

$220.4k 24h vol.2026-10-01

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

EsportsOpen

Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Snapshot

51.5%

Snapshot

48.5%

$524.5k 24h vol.2026-09-10

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

NFLOpen

Will the Giants win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes

Snapshot

20%

Snapshot

80%

Volume unavailable2027-01-12

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

IranOpen

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

Yes

Snapshot

60.5%

Snapshot

39.5%

$522.9k 24h vol.2026-09-04

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

NFLOpen

Will the Lions win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes

Snapshot

35%

Snapshot

65%

$65 24h vol.2027-01-12

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

SportsOpen

Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5

Over

Snapshot

<0.1%

Under

Snapshot

>99.9%

$426.8k 24h vol.2026-09-10

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

NFLOpen

Will the Panthers win the season series against the Buccaneers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes

Snapshot

20.5%

Snapshot

79.5%

$37 24h vol.2027-01-12

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

FDVOpen

LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes

Snapshot

18%

Snapshot

82%

$1.1m 24h vol.2026-12-31

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

NFLOpen

Will the 49ers win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Yes

Snapshot

24%

Snapshot

76%

Volume unavailable2027-01-12

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

CPI ReleaseOpen

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes

Snapshot

0.8%

Snapshot

99.3%

$1.1m 24h vol.2026-09-16

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

24h volume: Polymarket Gamma, observed 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

PoliticsOpen

Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?

Yes

Snapshot

3.9%

Snapshot

96.2%

Volume unavailable2027-01-01

Data timestamps

Metadata observed: 2026-09-10 04:30:15 UTC.

Price snapshot fetched: 2026-09-10 04:55:28 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Overview Resolution

Price sources and coverage

Prices are from Polymarket. Live percentages show the outcome's midpoint, or its last trade when the spread is wide; snapshots have no quote event time. A percentage is a market price, not a Convexly forecast or score. Directory coverage follows our collectors.

Next markets

Resolution activity

What is disputed and what has settled on Polygon, each list as of the date its index has been read through.

About the retired Market Trust rating · Frozen 2026-09-05

This page used to carry the Market Trust rating. Its forward test was filed in advance as AsPredicted #295174 and returned a null. A null was one of the outcomes that filing registered, not a failure.

What the frozen rating did and did not settle

The registered wording is "Market Trust tiers do not separate on resolution cleanliness." The registered label must not be read alone. The higher-trust arm held four markets, so no attainable outcome for that arm could clear the filed threshold, and the contrast is therefore not established. That is not the same as the arms being alike: no equivalence margin was filed, so the frozen result settles the question in neither direction.

The rating and the verdict tier came off this page and off every per-market page on 2026-09-05; the rows already written are kept, and the outcome ledger continues to record resolutions.

The calibration verdict artifact is docs/ops/evidence/market-trust-v1-calibration-verdict/2026-07-30-terminal-analysis-point.json. The methodology it tested is described, as dated history, at /research/market-trust-card, and the filing sits with the others on /research/preregistrations.

Odds, volume and the 24h change on a market page are Polymarket's own reported figures, not Convexly measurements. Diagnostics, not investment advice.

Where every figure on a market page comes from

Directory names, categories, volume and status come from our collector registry, with their observation dates. Public CLOB events supply the streamed prices; Gamma supplies the labeled venue snapshots and can update a closed status. These are venue-reported metadata and prices. Per-market facts identify their own source. Scheduled end dates do not establish closure or settlement. The resolution board reads our own Polygon indexes and states each index's read-through date.