Leaderboard
Lower Brier score means better calibration. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is average.
Anonymous Forecaster #1
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.002
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #2
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.007
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #3
10/10 correct · Apr 9
0.009
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #4
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.012
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #5
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.018
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #6
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.030
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #7
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.031
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #8
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.038
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #9
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.039
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #10
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.043
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #11
10/10 correct · Apr 8
0.044
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #12
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.048
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #13
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.049
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #14
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.049
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #15
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.051
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #16
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.052
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #17
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.053
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #18
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.053
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #19
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.054
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #20
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.054
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #21
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.055
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #22
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.055
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #23
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.055
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #24
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.059
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #25
10/10 correct · Apr 10
0.059
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #26
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.059
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #27
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.062
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #28
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.062
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #29
10/10 correct · Apr 9
0.063
Exceptional
Gianlorenzo Ranieri
10/10 correct · Apr 11
0.063
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #31
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.064
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #32
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.064
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #33
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.065
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #34
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.066
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #35
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.066
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #36
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.066
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #37
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.068
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #38
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.069
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #39
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.069
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #40
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.070
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #41
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.070
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #42
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.073
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #43
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.073
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #44
10/10 correct · Apr 8
0.075
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #45
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.075
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #46
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.076
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #47
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.077
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #48
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.077
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #49
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.078
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #50
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.078
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #51
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.079
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #52
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #53
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #54
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #55
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #56
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #57
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.081
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #58
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.082
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #59
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.082
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #60
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.082
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #61
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.082
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #62
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.083
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #63
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.083
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #64
7/10 correct · Apr 6
0.084
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #65
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.084
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #66
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.084
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #67
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.084
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #68
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.084
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #69
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.085
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #70
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.085
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #71
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.085
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #72
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.086
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #73
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.086
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #74
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.086
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #75
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.087
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #76
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.087
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #77
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.087
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #78
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.088
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #79
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.089
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #80
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.090
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #81
10/10 correct · Apr 11
0.090
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #82
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.090
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #83
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.091
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #84
10/10 correct · Apr 6
0.091
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #85
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.092
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #86
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.092
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #87
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.092
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #88
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.092
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #89
10/10 correct · Apr 7
0.093
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #90
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.093
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #91
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.093
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #92
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.094
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #93
7/10 correct · Apr 6
0.094
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #94
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.094
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #95
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.095
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #96
8/10 correct · Apr 6
0.095
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #97
7/10 correct · Apr 6
0.095
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #98
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.095
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #99
9/10 correct · Apr 6
0.096
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #100
9/10 correct · Apr 7
0.096
Exceptional
Think you can make the list?
Take the 10-question Calibration Challenge. No signup required.
Take the Quiz