ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xfe78…0319
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
40
Realized PnL
-$32.5K
Win rate
45%
Realized edge
-0.014
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.014 across 40 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.14, +0.11]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (60 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 91,373 | 54¢ | $19.1K | +39% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 24,674 | 51¢ | $7.9K | +63% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 10,370 | 60¢ | $3.2K | +51% | 2026-08-23 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 13,816 | 59¢ | $2.6K | +32% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 10,557 | 44¢ | $2.5K | +54% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 25,072 | 48¢ | $2.4K | +20% | 2026-08-23 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 8,215 | 66¢ | $1.9K | +34% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 2,291 | 62¢ | $868 | +61% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 742 | 23¢ | $569 | +329% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 290 | 48¢ | $152 | +110% | 2026-08-23 | |
Boston Red Sox | Open | 3,265 | 49¢ | $114 | +7% | 2026-09-05 |
Oleksandra Oliynykova | Open | 1,880 | 45¢ | $103 | +12% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 3,000 | 59¢ | $82 | +5% | 2026-08-24 | |
Joshua Sheehy | Open | 1,189 | 96¢ | $50 | +4% | 2026-08-30 |
Washington Mystics | Open | 60 | 49¢ | $31 | +103% | 2026-08-23 |
Doosan Bears | Open | 179 | 35¢ | $25 | +40% | 2026-08-11 |
| Open | 506 | 73¢ | $5 | +1% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | +100% | 2026-08-23 | |
Yulia Starodubtseva | Open | 406 | 47¢ | $2 | +1% | 2026-08-31 |
Club Necaxa | Open | 10 | 80¢ | $1 | +8% | 2026-08-24 |
| Open | 1,113 | 64¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-08-24 | |
Kiwoom Heroes | Open | 15 | 33¢ | -$1 | -12% | 2026-07-16 |
| Open | 45 | 40¢ | -$1 | -4% | 2026-08-24 | |
Samsung Lions | Open | 15 | 57¢ | -$1 | -8% | 2026-08-12 |
NC Dinos | Open | 16 | 56¢ | -$1 | -15% | 2026-08-12 |
| Open | 4 | 37¢ | -$1 | -99% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 377 | 47¢ | -$4 | -2% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 302 | 9¢ | -$8 | -28% | 2026-08-24 | |
Club Necaxa | Open | 1,456 | 7¢ | -$12 | -11% | 2026-08-24 |
Pumas de la UNAM | Open | 464 | 7¢ | -$15 | -47% | 2026-08-24 |
LG Twins | Open | 189 | 56¢ | -$21 | -20% | 2026-07-29 |
| Open | 230 | 66¢ | -$31 | -21% | 2026-08-31 | |
Hanwha Eagles | Open | 209 | 79¢ | -$32 | -19% | 2026-07-07 |
| Open | 368 | 88¢ | -$33 | -10% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 2,862 | 37¢ | -$39 | -4% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 127 | 32¢ | -$41 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
NC Dinos | Open | 284 | 62¢ | -$44 | -25% | 2026-08-09 |
| Open | 300 | 29¢ | -$86 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 189 | 66¢ | -$125 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 215 | 60¢ | -$129 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 312 | 50¢ | -$155 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 496 | 35¢ | -$175 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,922 | 32¢ | -$222 | -36% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 2,183 | 39¢ | -$240 | -28% | 2026-10-07 | |
Portland Fire | Open | 622 | 52¢ | -$325 | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 1,186 | 36¢ | -$425 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
Darwin Blanch | Open | 10,659 | 5¢ | -$506 | -99% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 2,385 | 65¢ | -$516 | -33% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 2,565 | 68¢ | -$559 | -32% | 2026-08-24 | |
Sebastian Baez | Open | 13,348 | 33¢ | -$863 | -20% | 2026-08-31 |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 11,867 | 35¢ | -$984 | -24% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 3,718 | 31¢ | -$1.1K | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 6,149 | 21¢ | -$1.3K | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 24,262 | 75¢ | -$1.4K | -8% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 7,603 | 19¢ | -$1.5K | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
Dino Prizmic | Open | 19,348 | 61¢ | -$2.1K | -18% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 4,687 | 47¢ | -$2.2K | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 14,464 | 25¢ | -$2.3K | -64% | 2026-08-23 |
Washington Mystics | Open | 4,790 | 50¢ | -$2.4K | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 10,747 | 33¢ | -$3.5K | -100% | 2026-08-24 |