Wallet positions

0xfbfd…0029

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

118

Realized PnL

-$56.56M

Win rate

0.9%

Realized edge

n/a

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

180 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:20:38 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No	Held	0.2512	17.99¢	16.5¢	$0.04	$72.0K	-8.4%	2026-10-29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	8.8028	—	0¢	$0.00	$6.6K	-99.9%	2026-04-29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	357.392	35.03¢	34.5¢	$123.30	$5.7K	-1.5%	2026-11-04
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No	Held	6,996.4846	78.92¢	98.45¢	$6.9K	$1.6K	+24.7%	2026-11-01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No	Held	7,654.0305	86.74¢	97.45¢	$7.5K	$819.21	+12.3%	2026-11-01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No	Held	4,365.81	74.66¢	88.5¢	$3.9K	$604.19	+18.5%	2027-01-01
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No	Held	84.1256	61.17¢	93.2¢	$78.41	$367.48	+52.4%	2027-01-01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No	Held	1,266.8395	76.77¢	95.5¢	$1.2K	$237.26	+24.4%	2026-12-31
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? No	Redeemable	328.8123	13.01¢	0¢	$0.00	$140.88	-100.0%	—
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	767.1	84.5¢	94.15¢	$722.22	$73.99	+11.4%	2027-01-01
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No	Held	22.62	51.19¢	55.5¢	$12.55	$65.19	+8.4%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	108.83	89.6¢	93.5¢	$101.76	$61.26	+4.3%	2027-01-01
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? Yes	Redeemable	0.1671	70¢	0¢	$0.00	$59.88	-99.9%	2025-04-29
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No	Held	451	75.38¢	87.5¢	$394.63	$54.63	+16.1%	2026-12-31
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? No	Held	150	66¢	94.5¢	$141.75	$42.75	+43.2%	2027-01-01
Natural Disaster in 2026? No	Held	200.5646	74.38¢	93.5¢	$187.53	$38.35	+25.7%	2027-03-01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No	Held	901.67	87.87¢	92.05¢	$829.99	$37.63	+4.7%	2026-12-31
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? No	Held	338.18	76¢	86.5¢	$292.53	$35.51	+13.8%	2026-11-01
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31? No	Held	220	67¢	80¢	$176.00	$28.60	+19.4%	2026-11-01
Obama federally charged before 2027? No	Held	370.84	88.83¢	95.5¢	$354.15	$25.36	+7.5%	2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? No	Held	80.68	71.57¢	93.5¢	$75.44	$17.49	+30.6%	2027-01-01
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? No	Held	495.14	96.24¢	99.45¢	$492.42	$15.89	+3.3%	2026-11-01
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No	Held	115	65.6¢	77.5¢	$89.13	$13.68	+18.1%	2027-01-01
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	291.33	85.24¢	89.5¢	$260.74	$12.41	+5.0%	2027-01-01
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No	Held	150.34	88.66¢	95.5¢	$143.57	$10.27	+7.7%	2027-01-01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No	Held	2,261.27	92.2¢	92.35¢	$2.1K	$6.32	+0.2%	2027-01-01
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	120.5	92¢	96.75¢	$116.58	$5.72	+5.2%	2027-01-01
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	286.45	91.09¢	93.05¢	$266.54	$5.61	+2.2%	2027-01-01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No	Held	200	89¢	93.5¢	$187.00	$5.50	+5.1%	2027-03-01
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? No	Held	150	94¢	97.25¢	$145.88	$4.88	+3.5%	2027-01-01
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No	Held	17.01	74.29¢	88.5¢	$15.05	$2.42	+19.1%	2027-01-02
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	9.96	79.99¢	98¢	$9.76	$1.79	+22.5%	2027-01-01
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? No	Held	5	86¢	95.3¢	$4.76	$0.47	+10.8%	2027-01-01
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31? No	Held	200	98¢	98.1¢	$196.20	$0.20	+0.1%	2026-11-01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No	Held	4.72	95¢	98.35¢	$4.64	$0.16	+3.5%	2026-12-31
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No	Held	108.04	89.92¢	89.9¢	$97.13	-$0.03	-0.0%	2027-01-01
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Tether be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will another company be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Helius be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Base be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Kraken be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Jito be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will OKX be accused of insider trading? Yes	Redeemable	5	1.76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.09	-99.9%	—
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? No	Redeemable	5	61¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.05	-100.0%	2025-02-01
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No	Held	262.96	90.99¢	89.5¢	$235.35	-$3.94	-1.6%	2026-12-31
HYPE Up or Down - May 31, 2PM ET Down	Redeemable	20	30¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.00	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No	Held	396.99	47.72¢	45.95¢	$182.42	-$7.06	-3.7%	2027-01-02
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	146.19	47.97¢	42.5¢	$62.13	-$8.00	-11.4%	2027-01-02
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes	Held	2.6285	68.4¢	1.6¢	$0.04	-$8.08	-97.7%	2026-12-31
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January? No	Redeemable	47	29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.63	-100.0%	2026-01-30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes	Redeemable	25.0067	22.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.92	-100.0%	2026-07-20
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31? Yes	Redeemable	46.26	47.64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.04	-100.0%	2026-03-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up	Redeemable	49.6898	47.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.50	-100.0%	2026-02-12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No	Redeemable	100	24¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.00	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	49.2195	51.74¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.47	-100.0%	2026-02-12
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	35¢	9.5¢	$9.50	-$25.50	-72.9%	2027-01-01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? No	Redeemable	43.85	64.71¢	0¢	$0.00	-$28.50	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August? No	Redeemable	33.34	96.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$32.41	-100.0%	2026-09-01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? Yes	Redeemable	1,008	3.48¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.15	-100.0%	2026-01-01
Will Elizabeth Warren be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,284.3859	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$36.90	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Amy Klobuchar be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? Yes	Redeemable	1,601.7759	2.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.22	-100.0%	2024-08-22
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31? No	Redeemable	198.91	24.59¢	0¢	$0.00	-$48.92	-100.0%	2026-01-31
Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18? No	Redeemable	380	13.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$52.60	-100.0%	2024-10-18
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? Yes	Redeemable	1,028	5.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$60.26	-100.0%	2026-01-01
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? Yes	Redeemable	755.5	4.31¢	0¢	$0.00	-$65.98	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June? No	Redeemable	100	66.64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$67.54	-100.0%	2026-07-01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? No	Redeemable	10,000	0.89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$89.92	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will Solana reach $90 in August? No	Redeemable	100	92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$92.52	-100.0%	2026-09-01
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? No	Redeemable	773	14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$108.22	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No	Redeemable	101.52	89.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$114.14	-100.0%	2027-01-01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No	Held	1,429.23	90.37¢	80.4¢	$1.1K	-$123.20	-11.0%	2027-01-01
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26? No	Redeemable	112.3	78.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$130.42	-100.0%	2025-12-26
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	265.88	65.41¢	2.2¢	$5.85	-$168.09	-96.6%	2027-01-01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? No	Redeemable	344.22	52.23¢	0¢	$0.00	-$180.44	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? Yes	Redeemable	1,243.12	15.13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$188.19	-100.0%	2026-01-01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? No	Redeemable	200	94.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$189.00	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? No	Held	501.55	82.72¢	55¢	$275.85	-$189.95	-33.5%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? No	Redeemable	485	41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$208.85	-100.0%	2026-02-01
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September? No	Redeemable	191.72	96.68¢	0¢	$0.00	-$305.58	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No	Redeemable	319.99	78.13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$317.38	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January? Yes	Redeemable	750	45.26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$339.50	-100.0%	2026-01-30
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? No	Held	221.13	86.45¢	11¢	$24.32	-$351.71	-87.3%	2026-12-31
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026? No	Redeemable	1,074.95	36.03¢	0¢	$0.00	-$387.41	-100.0%	2026-01-31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No	Held	3,449.84	85.71¢	73.1¢	$2.5K	-$411.94	-14.7%	2026-12-31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes	Redeemable	0.1558	40.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$438.40	-99.9%	2026-07-20
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? Yes	Redeemable	4,933.9473	15.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$758.44	-100.0%	2024-08-11
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? Yes	Redeemable	4,933.9473	15.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$758.44	-100.0%	2024-08-11
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? Yes	Redeemable	4,933.9473	15.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$758.44	-100.0%	2024-08-11
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? Yes	Redeemable	4,933.9473	15.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$758.44	-100.0%	2024-08-11
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September? No	Redeemable	477.5	92.53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$845.01	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? No	Redeemable	332.32	81.23¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.2K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No	Held	42,828.5797	88.58¢	90.5¢	$38.8K	-$1.5K	+2.2%	2027-01-01
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No	Held	2,490.35	88.1¢	34.4¢	$856.68	-$1.6K	-61.0%	2026-12-31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No	Redeemable	3,024.4922	34.36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.2K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	109,359.9018	1.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.6K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	115,710.7718	1.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? Yes	Redeemable	142,238.8818	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.7K	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	1,618,411.4261	0.08¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.1K	-100.0%	2026-06-17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? No	Redeemable	1,769.996	20.04¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.1K	-100.0%	2025-09-17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	4,400,675.5795	0.1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.6K	-100.0%	2026-06-17
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? No	Redeemable	0.9397	45.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? No	Redeemable	0.2006	66.25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.3K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	4,895.7397	4.45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	4,895.7331	4.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.6K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	4,895.7331	3.25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	4,895.7331	3.79¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	35,151.8331	3.35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Biden wins the Popular Vote? Yes	Redeemable	35,151.8331	3.26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.8K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	128,882.1231	3.17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.9K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	128,882.1231	3.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.9K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	187,230.4831	3.14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.0K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	189,023.5431	3.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.0K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	312,635.0231	3.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	319,326.2131	3.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	2,621.7552	19.99¢	0.55¢	$14.42	-$24.3K	-97.2%	2026-10-29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	2,621.7562	19.99¢	0.35¢	$9.18	-$24.4K	-98.2%	2026-10-29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	51,820.7462	18.52¢	0.15¢	$77.73	-$24.7K	-99.2%	2026-10-29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	186.4365	0.16¢	0¢	$0.00	-$32.5K	-100.0%	2026-01-28
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	1.0016	0¢	0¢	$0.00	-$132.6K	0.0%	2025-10-29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	1,473,933.0078	0.15¢	0¢	$0.00	-$133.2K	-100.0%	2026-03-18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	242,845.8881	16.36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$156.3K	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	7,248,068.0114	0.08¢	0¢	$0.00	-$158.1K	-100.0%	2026-04-29
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	45,698.0811	32.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$211.8K	-100.0%	2025-07-30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	29,880.8801	19.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$288.2K	-100.0%	2026-07-29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	1.005	0¢	0¢	$0.00	-$354.9K	0.0%	2025-10-29
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	1,546,295.6183	3.6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$380.3K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	5,345,041.3987	3.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$391.9K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	5,288,589.9523	3.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$397.7K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	5,288,589.9555	3.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$400.6K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	7,426,213.9921	3.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$405.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	7,712,565.2255	3.47¢	0¢	$0.00	-$407.0K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	9,094,330.9355	3.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$409.4K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	10,544,432.5455	3.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$410.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	13,747,939.1517	3.31¢	0¢	$0.00	-$413.3K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,533,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,533,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,533,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,533,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,533,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes	Redeemable	15,534,877.2955	3.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$415.1K	-100.0%	2024-11-05
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? Yes	Redeemable	1,451,940.4369	14.27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$417.1K	-100.0%	2025-10-29
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? No	Redeemable	0.11	38.69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.19M	-99.9%	2024-11-05

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