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Convexly

Polymarket wallet record

0xfbfd...0029

Get a deeper record of this wallet

$19 one-time · no subscription

One-time access to this wallet’s reconciled settled-position record from Polygon. The wallet page shows the latest available record, with its block and date.

Expected within about a day. We email you when it is ready.

A longer record may still be inconclusive. This does not prove trading skill or include ongoing monitoring.

Refund on request within 14 days. If the read cannot finish, you receive a full refund and no report.

Coverage, method and refund terms

The result covers settled positions that can be reconciled to the chain, as of a stated block. Unresolved positions and later trades are outside that read. A record receipt is available only while the underlying read meets its issuance checks.

The reader runs every eight hours. Large wallets may need more than one run; delivery time is an estimate.

Want ongoing updates? Watchlist is $9/month; this purchase is a single record read.

What previous full reads found

Of the 360 Polymarket wallets Convexly had read in full from the Polygon settlement record by 2026-08-17, most of them research candidates chosen because a shorter read had put them ahead of their entry prices, 143 came back not separable from chance, 58 behind their entry prices, and 159 ahead of their entry prices on their own record. Another 100 attempted full reads did not complete and are not counted; this is a count of the reads we have done, not a rate for Polymarket wallets.

Recent observed trades

Sign in to see the fills our collectors recorded for this wallet: side, size, price, and time for each one. Coverage is the markets our collectors follow, so this record can be empty.

Independent read

A methodology-cited read of this wallet's public Polymarket record, taken from the venue's recent-trade window. The statistics below describe that window, not the wallet's whole resolved record.

Sample quality: StrongLarge scored resolved sample. The rating is still historical and cross-sectional, but the noise floor is lower.

Diagnostics on public Polymarket behavior, not a trade-following recommendation or a per-wallet forward forecast. Not investment advice.

read from 2026-08-21, 47 days ago; run a fresh analysis for a current read

Read coverage

Covers positions this wallet held to resolution (about 118 of 118 total positions). It screens out positions traded out before a market closed and can undercount redeemed winners, so it is not the wallet's full record.

Headline statistics

Resolved positions

118

Wins / losses

1 / 117

Win rate

0.9%

Brier

0.257

Baseline Brier

0.008

Fills analyzed

3,500

Brier gap (baseline minus Brier): -0.2481. Descriptive only: no interval is computed for this gap on this surface. The interval-backed skill read on this page is the realized-edge block. Brier is scored lower-is-better against resolved outcomes; the baseline is a constant base-rate forecast on the same positions.

Frequently asked questions

What does the resolved Polymarket record show for wallet 0xfbfd...0029?
As of 2026-08-21 (47 days ago), Convexly's cached read shows 118 resolved positions, 1 win and 117 losses (win rate 0.9%). No realized-edge interval is available in the cached read. These are descriptive statistics of the past record, retrospective and in-sample, not a forecast.
Is wallet 0xfbfd...0029 skilled or just lucky on Polymarket?
Convexly has no cached read for this wallet yet, so no skill-versus-luck read is published here. Run the free wallet analyzer to compute one from Polymarket's public trade record.
Is this page a forecast or a recommendation to trade like this wallet?
No. Convexly publishes diagnostics on public Polymarket behavior. Demonstrated past skill is not a forecast, the statistics on this page are retrospective and in-sample, and nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to mirror this wallet's positions.

Share this record: copy https://www.convexly.app/w/0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029. This public link can show different or unavailable cached data. Your saved checks, notes, and watchlist are not shared.A downloaded image stays fixed. The card URL serves the public cached read, which may differ from this analysis.

How this read was produced

V1-M Edge Score paper · methods · changelog · audit chain

0xfbfd...0029 Polymarket wallet record | Convexly