ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xb3fe…4a24
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
29
Realized PnL
$418
Win rate
41.4%
Realized edge
-4.2 pp
Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -4.2 pp across 29 resolved positions, 95% CI [-23.4, +15.6], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (82 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 100 | 20¢ | $5 | +23% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | +89% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | $2 | +62% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 54¢ | $1 | +1% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | $0 | +9% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 3 | 5¢ | -$0 | -32% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 19¢ | -$0 | -3% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 100 | 38¢ | -$1 | -1% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -68% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -81% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -81% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -81% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -81% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -81% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 1¢ | -$1 | -94% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$2 | -59% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | -$2 | -85% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | -$2 | -94% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | -$2 | -94% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | -$2 | -94% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 2¢ | -$2 | -94% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -91% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -91% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -91% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -95% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -95% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 3¢ | -$3 | -95% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -89% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 4¢ | -$4 | -96% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 600 | 15¢ | -$22 | -24% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 50¢ | -$29 | -57% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 3¢ | -$30 | -95% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 3¢ | -$31 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 1¢ | -$32 | -96% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 2,000 | 3¢ | -$62 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 9,000 | 3¢ | -$277 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 11,000 | 3¢ | -$338 | -98% | 2026-10-04 |