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Convexly

Wallet

0xa8c6…44e8

Up to 200 recent trades returned by Polymarket. This is a limited activity window.

Trades shown
200
Buy / Sell
119 / 81
Notional shown
$51.2K
Latest trade in this response
Response checked

Older trades may fall outside this page.

Source
BUY
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
91¢2,000$1.8KTransaction
SELL
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢17.24$12.41Transaction
SELL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
16¢4,131.89$661.10Transaction
SELL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes
16¢472.98$75.68Transaction
SELL
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No
73¢500$365.00Transaction
BUY
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
70.8¢4.1$2.90Transaction
BUY
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
70.8¢3.4247$2.42Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes
74¢358.6154$265.38Transaction
SELL
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes
67¢9$6.03Transaction
SELL
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes
67¢5$3.35Transaction
BUY
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?
No
91¢500$455.00Transaction
BUY
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?
No
97.3¢111.1111$108.11Transaction
SELL
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes
67¢36$24.12Transaction
SELL
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes
67¢14.25$9.55Transaction
BUY
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
No
97.3¢1,441.27$1.4KTransaction
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No
82¢2,000$1.6KTransaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
78¢600$468.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
44¢34.93$15.37Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢1,051.1$945.99Transaction
BUY
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
No
93¢500$465.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes
65¢500$325.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢49.35$39.48Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
98.6¢61.85$60.98Transaction
BUY
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
No
82¢200$164.00Transaction
BUY
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
No
83¢200$166.00Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
77¢46.5$35.80Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
77¢50$38.50Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
77¢50$38.50Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
77¢79.5$61.22Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
78¢500$390.00Transaction
BUY
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes
77¢274$210.98Transaction
BUY
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
70¢580$406.00Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.6¢848.11$132.31Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.6¢980$152.88Transaction
BUY
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
70¢20$14.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢7.65$6.12Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢53$42.40Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢20$16.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢30$24.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢20$16.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
80¢20$16.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
44¢8.1429$3.58Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
44¢398.92$175.52Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
44¢58$25.52Transaction
SELL
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?
No
89¢256.92$228.66Transaction
SELL
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢0.48$0.35Transaction
SELL
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?
No
89¢12.9551$11.53Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
88¢500$440.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
81¢999.99$809.99Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
89¢800$712.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
87¢500$435.00Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes
73¢203.39$148.47Transaction
SELL
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?
No
89¢4.1$3.65Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes
34¢34.71$11.80Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes
34¢465.29$158.20Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
51.8¢745.74$386.29Transaction
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
82.6¢114.9425$94.94Transaction
BUY
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
No
91¢1,000$910.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
51.8¢54.2573$28.11Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢2,000$1.8KTransaction
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
82.6¢71.5605$59.11Transaction
BUY
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
71¢400$284.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
47¢134$62.98Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
47¢17$7.99Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
47¢349$164.03Transaction
SELL
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Yes
1.4¢1,249.03$16.80Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢65$2.60Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢113$4.52Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢15$0.60Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢15$0.60Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
91¢54$49.14Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢2$0.08Transaction
BUY
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Yes
4¢20$0.80Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
48¢106$50.88Transaction
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
82.6¢500$413.00Transaction
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
83.1¢500$415.50Transaction
BUY
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
92¢2,000$1.8KTransaction
BUY
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No
80.7¢499.26$402.90Transaction
BUY
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No
80.7¢100.74$81.30Transaction
BUY
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No
91¢2,000$1.8KTransaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
84¢1,000$840.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
48¢5$2.40Transaction
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
83¢1,000$830.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
48¢389$186.72Transaction
SELL
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢17.86$12.86Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢128.14$115.33Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢1.2444$1.12Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
83¢1,000$830.00Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢14.7$12.05Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢650.44$149.60Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢5.5556$4.56Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢12.04$9.87Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢150$135.00Transaction
BUY
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes
64¢138.49$88.63Transaction
BUY
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes
64¢21.6667$13.87Transaction
BUY
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes
64¢19.8333$12.69Transaction
BUY
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes
64¢20$12.80Transaction
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
82¢1,000$820.00Transaction
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
82¢500$410.00Transaction
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
83¢1,000$830.00Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢76.92$69.23Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
82¢5.5556$4.56Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢400$328.00Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢25.97$5.97Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
82¢91.38$74.93Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢275$225.50Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.3¢470.57$72.00Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢55.5556$50.00Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢0.05$0.04Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢21.28$17.45Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢7.93$6.50Transaction
SELL
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No
93¢3,000$2.8KTransaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢10$9.00Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢514.3733$462.94Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢6.02$4.94Transaction
SELL
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢11.04$7.95Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.3¢138.8$21.24Transaction
BUY
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Yes
46¢30$13.80Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢1.79$1.47Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢11.1111$9.11Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.2¢1,000$152.00Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢207.93$170.50Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
50.1¢950.22$476.06Transaction
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
49.4¢1,266.96$625.88Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢171.69$140.79Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢21.7391$5.00Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89¢64.48$57.39Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢1.2$0.98Transaction
SELL
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No
98.8¢198.86$196.47Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢8.97$7.36Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢6.25$1.44Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
80¢500$400.00Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89¢20$17.80Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89¢20$17.80Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89¢20.6742$18.40Transaction
SELL
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89¢20$17.80Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢6.3333$5.19Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢156.25$128.13Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
82¢643.71$527.84Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢20$17.00Transaction
SELL
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No
97.8¢204.499$200.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢117.6471$100.00Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢57.91$50.38Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?
No
92.2¢100$92.20Transaction
BUY
Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
94¢120$113.14Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢5.6$3.70Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢181.2$119.59Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢63.19$41.71Transaction
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢250$165.00Transaction
BUY
Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
89.69¢1,336.43$1.2KTransaction
BUY
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
86¢374.72$324.52Transaction
BUY
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
No
84¢657.54$556.75Transaction
BUY
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.1¢1,000$151.00Transaction
SELL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
84¢2,000$1.7KTransaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢40$34.80Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢60$52.20Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢32$27.84Transaction
BUY
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes
42¢500$210.00Transaction
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes
62¢308.48$191.26Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢300.4$198.26Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
66¢199.6$131.74Transaction
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No
67¢499.99$334.99Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢10$8.70Transaction
SELL
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No
81.4¢387.44$315.38Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢59.6308$51.88Transaction
SELL
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No
93¢1,500$1.4KTransaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢2.85$2.42Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢82.3529$70.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢15.3529$13.05Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢3.5294$3.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢92.1176$78.30Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
89¢500$445.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
86¢600$516.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢11.9882$10.19Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢47.0588$40.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢405.8824$345.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢11.7647$10.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢1.1765$1.00Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢11.12$9.45Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
85¢138.2228$117.49Transaction
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes
84¢898.78$754.98Transaction
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
84¢2,000$1.7KTransaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes
31¢227.13$70.41Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢6$1.38Transaction
BUY
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No
72¢899.1$647.35Transaction
BUY
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
72¢1,000$720.00Transaction
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes
23¢272.36$62.64Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢230.7692$200.77Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.9¢1,124.99$178.87Transaction
SELL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
15.6¢2,437.47$380.25Transaction
BUY
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No
72¢10$7.20Transaction
BUY
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
No
87¢9.68$8.42Transaction
SELL
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Yes
39¢8.71$3.40Transaction
SELL
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Yes
39¢80.64$31.45Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
47.9¢500$239.50Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
48¢500$240.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
48.1¢500$240.50Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
90¢500$450.00Transaction
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
81¢277.15$224.49Transaction
SELL
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No
81.4¢1.4988$1.22Transaction

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