ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x9f15…bdb3
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
1557
Realized PnL
$161.1K
Win rate
53.5%
Realized edge
+1.1 pp
Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +1.1 pp across 1557 resolved positions, 95% CI [-1.3, +3.4], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (95 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 7,452 | 51¢ | $2.5K | +66% | 2026-09-07 | |
Hiroshima Carp | Open | 3,196 | 47¢ | $873 | +58% | 2026-08-20 |
| Open | 2,129 | 62¢ | $818 | +62% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 2,536 | 68¢ | $810 | +47% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 3,487 | 72¢ | $785 | +31% | 2026-09-07 | |
TSG Hawks | Open | 5,460 | 62¢ | $678 | +20% | 2026-07-17 |
| Open | 3,257 | 41¢ | $525 | +39% | 2026-07-29 | |
| Open | 2,840 | 33¢ | $497 | +53% | 2026-09-07 | |
Kia Tigers | Open | 2,003 | 47¢ | $493 | +52% | 2026-07-12 |
| Open | 1,221 | 67¢ | $402 | +49% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 826 | 61¢ | $322 | +64% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 891 | 49¢ | $300 | +68% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 483 | 50¢ | $241 | +100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 877 | 54¢ | $237 | +50% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 623 | 70¢ | $187 | +43% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 785 | 58¢ | $161 | +35% | 2026-09-07 | |
Naomi Osaka | Open | 8,837 | 43¢ | $133 | +3% | 2026-09-14 |
| Open | 221 | 49¢ | $113 | +104% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 2,077 | 50¢ | $93 | +9% | 2026-09-07 | |
Doosan Bears | Open | 343 | 35¢ | $58 | +49% | 2026-08-11 |
| Open | 399 | 38¢ | $48 | +32% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 1,209 | 38¢ | $30 | +7% | 2026-09-14 | |
| Open | 76 | 71¢ | $22 | +41% | 2026-09-07 | |
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | Open | 115 | 42¢ | $17 | +35% | 2026-08-07 |
Uni-President Lions | Open | 267 | 45¢ | $15 | +12% | 2026-08-16 |
| Open | 520 | 48¢ | $11 | +5% | 2026-09-07 | |
Yokohama BayStars | Open | 41 | 51¢ | $10 | +48% | 2026-07-03 |
| Open | 121 | 68¢ | $10 | +12% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 25 | 67¢ | $8 | +49% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 66 | 39¢ | $7 | +28% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 28 | 29¢ | $6 | +78% | 2026-09-07 | |
Lotte Giants | Open | 57 | 32¢ | $5 | +28% | 2026-07-24 |
| Open | 131 | 60¢ | $5 | +6% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 10 | 55¢ | $5 | +82% | 2026-09-07 | |
Chinatrust Brothers | Open | 111 | 46¢ | $4 | +9% | 2026-07-17 |
| Open | 71 | 78¢ | $4 | +8% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 742 | 51¢ | $4 | +1% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 18 | 59¢ | $4 | +34% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 22¢ | $3 | +14% | 2026-09-13 | |
| Open | 7 | 55¢ | $3 | +81% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 5 | 40¢ | $3 | +149% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 15 | 38¢ | $2 | +34% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 3 | 45¢ | $2 | +121% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 71 | 41¢ | $1 | +5% | 2026-09-07 | |
Florida State | Open | 43 | 46¢ | $1 | +5% | 2026-09-07 |
| Open | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | +169% | 2026-09-14 | |
| Open | 172 | 46¢ | $1 | +1% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 5 | 34¢ | $1 | +47% | 2026-08-27 | |
| Open | 6 | 38¢ | $1 | +32% | 2026-07-27 | |
| Open | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | +52% | 2026-09-07 | |
Wei Chuan Dragons | Open | 123 | 51¢ | $1 | +1% | 2026-08-16 |
| Open | 29 | 51¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 44 | 46¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 4 | 56¢ | $0 | +5% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 5 | 96¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-09-07 | |
Francesco Forti | Open | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | +15% | 2026-09-15 |
| Open | 10 | 50¢ | $0 | 0% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 2 | 59¢ | -$0 | -2% | 2026-09-08 | |
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | Open | 4 | 52¢ | -$0 | -4% | 2026-07-05 |
| Open | 1 | 24¢ | -$0 | -60% | 2026-09-14 | |
| Open | 5 | 55¢ | -$0 | -9% | 2026-07-26 | |
Nigeria | Open | 13 | 53¢ | -$0 | -6% | 2026-09-07 |
| Open | 3 | 66¢ | -$0 | -24% | 2026-09-07 | |
Karen Khachanov | Open | 25,781 | 37¢ | -$1 | -0% | 2026-09-14 |
Saitama Seibu Lions | Open | 5 | 48¢ | -$1 | -38% | 2026-07-11 |
| Open | 15 | 34¢ | -$5 | -99% | 2026-09-07 | |
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | Open | 69 | 55¢ | -$6 | -15% | 2026-07-03 |
Francisco Cerundolo | Open | 1,271 | 40¢ | -$6 | -1% | 2026-09-13 |
| Open | 58 | 64¢ | -$8 | -22% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 956 | 45¢ | -$10 | -2% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 2,494 | 53¢ | -$12 | -1% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 967 | 66¢ | -$15 | -2% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 74 | 73¢ | -$15 | -28% | 2026-08-01 | |
| Open | 772 | 58¢ | -$19 | -4% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 53 | 91¢ | -$22 | -45% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 189 | 16¢ | -$30 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 289 | 12¢ | -$35 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 158 | 46¢ | -$48 | -66% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 941 | 65¢ | -$52 | -8% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 101 | 55¢ | -$55 | -99% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 1,117 | 22¢ | -$73 | -30% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 176 | 42¢ | -$74 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
Rakuten Monkeys | Open | 1,084 | 34¢ | -$92 | -25% | 2026-07-17 |
| Open | 30,303 | 66¢ | -$152 | -1% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 3,655 | 48¢ | -$171 | -10% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 1,169 | 20¢ | -$233 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 649 | 69¢ | -$247 | -55% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 1,951 | 51¢ | -$283 | -28% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 948 | 91¢ | -$389 | -45% | 2026-09-05 | |
| Open | 795 | 55¢ | -$437 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 2,063 | 61¢ | -$567 | -45% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 1,714 | 95¢ | -$771 | -47% | 2026-09-05 | |
| Open | 2,004 | 49¢ | -$981 | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 1,705 | 63¢ | -$1.1K | -100% | 2026-09-07 | |
| Open | 5,186 | 93¢ | -$2.3K | -48% | 2026-09-05 |