Wallet ledger

0x270a…7b78

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

317

Realized PnL

$3.2K

Win rate

45%

Realized edge

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (33 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No	Open	764	54¢	$350	+85%	2026-08-11
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes	Open	518	44¢	$289	+127%	2026-08-04
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	Open	743	18¢	$215	+157%	2026-12-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? No	Open	758	73¢	$201	+36%	2026-08-11
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	261,279	0¢	$145	+19%	2028-11-07
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes	Open	88	13¢	$75	+638%	2026-08-04
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? No	Open	290	98¢	$6	+2%	2026-08-12
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%? Yes	Open	91	93¢	$5	+6%	2026-08-13
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No	Open	19	49¢	$5	+50%	2026-12-31
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? Yes	Open	835	0¢	$5	+551%	2026-08-31
Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? No	Open	13	68¢	$2	+22%	2026-11-03
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? Yes	Open	5	44¢	$1	+60%	1970-01-01
Will Mandela Barnes win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? No	Open	148	100¢	$0	+0%	2026-08-11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	200	8¢	-$0	-1%	2028-11-07
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	80	1¢	-$0	-25%	2026-08-31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	11	17¢	-$1	-52%	2028-11-07
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	5	38¢	-$1	-61%	2027-01-01
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	4,200	1¢	-$2	-5%	2028-11-07
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	Open	232	8¢	-$2	-13%	2026-12-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? Yes	Open	521	1¢	-$6	-96%	2026-08-13
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	Open	83	14¢	-$7	-57%	2026-12-31
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	201	14¢	-$7	-24%	2027-01-01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No	Open	92	27¢	-$8	-33%	2026-12-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes	Open	624	3¢	-$19	-98%	2026-08-11
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the Alaska Senate primary by less than 3%? Yes	Open	207	11¢	-$22	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	304	24¢	-$30	-42%	2026-12-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%? Yes	Open	500	6¢	-$31	-99%	2026-08-13
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes	Open	360	11¢	-$41	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes	Open	210	38¢	-$63	-79%	2026-12-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	Open	877	8¢	-$72	-99%	2026-08-11
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes	Open	360	23¢	-$77	-93%	2026-08-11
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	Open	1,394	33¢	-$281	-62%	2026-12-31
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? No	Open	402	86¢	-$342	-99%	2026-08-11

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