Wallet

0x270a…7b78

Recent trades from public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Trades shown

200

Buy / Sell

163 / 37

Total notional

$11.7K


5d ago	BUY	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes	100¢	10	$10
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
5d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	62	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	16	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	12¢	92	$11
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	39	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
6d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	76¢	260	$197
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	59	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	76¢	1	$1
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	76¢	5	$4
7d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	76¢	234	$176
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
7d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
8d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
8d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
8d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
8d ago	BUY	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the Alaska Senate primary by less than 3%? Yes	11¢	207	$23
8d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
8d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	196	$1
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	1	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	2	$0
9d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	83¢	159	$131
9d ago	BUY	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	8¢	200	$16
9d ago	BUY	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	1¢	3,800	$40
9d ago	BUY	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	1¢	400	$4
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	61	$0
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	177,761	$555
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	50,000	$156
9d ago	BUY	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	0¢	33,000	$103
9d ago	SELL	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	88¢	341	$300
9d ago	BUY	Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes	38¢	5	$2
9d ago	BUY	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	85¢	870	$744
9d ago	BUY	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	85¢	130	$111
9d ago	BUY	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	24¢	304	$75
9d ago	BUY	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	23¢	55	$13
9d ago	BUY	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes	22¢	401	$87
9d ago	SELL	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes	90¢	299	$269
9d ago	BUY	Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? No	68¢	13	$9
9d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes	23¢	10	$2
9d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes	18¢	195	$36
10d ago	SELL	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? No	3¢	500	$13
10d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? Yes	0¢	637	$1
10d ago	BUY	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? Yes	63¢	95	$60
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	5¢	395	$18
10d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	84¢	173	$146
10d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	84¢	503	$425
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	5¢	5	$0
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	47¢	62	$29
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	47¢	38	$18
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	6¢	488	$32
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	48¢	61	$29
10d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No	46¢	155	$73
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	3¢	354	$10
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	6¢	354	$23
11d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? No	6¢	104	$6
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? No	100¢	723	$720
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? No	100¢	107	$107
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by an explosion? No	99¢	149	$148
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by an explosion? No	99¢	95	$94
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by an explosion? No	99¢	90	$89
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	100¢	195	$194
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	100¢	5	$5
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? No	100¢	10	$10
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? No	99¢	1,012	$1.0K
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava? No	99¢	12	$12
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? No	98¢	11	$11
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by an explosion? No	98¢	334	$328
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus? No	99¢	6	$5
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper? No	98¢	32	$32
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a zombified piglin? No	97¢	16	$15
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton? No	97¢	11	$11
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava? No	97¢	15	$15
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic? No	96¢	5	$5
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	81	$69
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	2	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	2	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	2	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	2	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	85¢	2	$2
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by powder snow? No	97¢	22	$22
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden? No	89¢	18	$16
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by the void? No	82¢	48	$40
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? Yes	75¢	187	$140
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? Yes	75¢	7	$5
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? Yes	75¢	6	$5
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	70¢	294	$208
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	75¢	100	$75
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to an iron golem? No	91¢	20	$18
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden? No	86¢	25	$22
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a blaze? No	80¢	40	$32
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by drowning? No	83¢	120	$100
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to an Elder Guardian? No	97¢	25	$24
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? Yes	57¢	116	$66
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? Yes	40¢	60	$25
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? Yes	57¢	15	$8
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	15¢	19	$3
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	15¢	3	$0
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? Yes	45¢	175	$79
11d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	17¢	150	$26
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? Yes	31¢	71	$22
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	13¢	199	$26
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? Yes	13¢	1	$0
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper? No	49¢	90	$46
11d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? No	7¢	200	$15
11d ago	BUY	Will the Associated Press first call the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary before 3:00 AM ET on Aug 12, 2026? No	99¢	87	$87
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? No	99¢	80	$79
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? No	99¢	10	$10
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? No	98¢	55	$54
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? Yes	0¢	689	$1
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? Yes	0¢	146	$0
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? No	97¢	145	$141
11d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	14¢	85	$13
11d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? No	7¢	507	$34
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	2¢	35	$1
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	5¢	85	$4
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	2¢	85	$2
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	5¢	100	$5
11d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	2¢	100	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	100¢	205	$205
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	100¢	821	$819
11d ago	BUY	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%? Yes	93¢	91	$85
11d ago	BUY	Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? Yes	44¢	5	$2
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	90¢	15	$13
11d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? Yes	1¢	521	$6
11d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%? Yes	6¢	500	$32
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	90¢	489	$440
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	90¢	390	$349
11d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	9¢	390	$34
11d ago	SELL	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes	90¢	11	$10
12d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes	21¢	20	$4
13d ago	BUY	Will there be at least 2500 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? Yes	99¢	29	$29
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15? Yes	9¢	700	$66
13d ago	SELL	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes	18¢	35	$6
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	8¢	35	$3
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	8¢	10	$1
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	8¢	8	$1
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by powder snow? No	89¢	6	$5
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	12¢	171	$20
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	7¢	9	$1
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	5¢	267	$13
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	15¢	105	$15
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	62¢	600	$372
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? No	82¢	276	$228
13d ago	SELL	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	40¢	339	$134
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	20¢	377	$76
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	25¢	47	$12
13d ago	BUY	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? Yes	25¢	253	$63
13d ago	BUY	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes	23¢	360	$85
13d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	2¢	479	$12
13d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	6¢	478	$31
13d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	33¢	473	$160
13d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	2¢	330	$8
13d ago	BUY	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes	6¢	330	$20
13d ago	BUY	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes	11¢	20	$2
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%? Yes	8¢	70	$6
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%? Yes	12¢	80	$10
13d ago	BUY	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%? Yes	17¢	80	$14
13d ago	BUY	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? No	8¢	120	$10

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →