ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xfbe6…4a1b
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
348
Realized PnL
$14.6K
Win rate
51.7%
Realized edge
+18.1 pp
Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +18.1 pp across 348 resolved positions, 95% CI [+13.7, +22.8], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (99 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 1,115 | 10¢ | $390 | +366% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 392 | 11¢ | $97 | +230% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 318 | 45¢ | $52 | +36% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 100 | 10¢ | $36 | +360% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 148 | 30¢ | $33 | +75% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 183 | 19¢ | $32 | +90% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 127 | 25¢ | $32 | +100% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 213 | 16¢ | $30 | +88% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 100 | 12¢ | $27 | +225% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 169 | 56¢ | $27 | +29% | 2026-10-07 | |
Deportivo Toluca FC | Open | 50 | 10¢ | $25 | +495% | 2026-09-07 |
| Open | 56 | 23¢ | $24 | +187% | 2026-08-08 | |
| Open | 27 | 10¢ | $22 | +815% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 53 | 33¢ | $20 | +114% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 70 | 21¢ | $18 | +128% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 57 | 25¢ | $18 | +122% | 2026-08-08 | |
| Open | 98 | 6¢ | $18 | +307% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 41 | 9¢ | $16 | +427% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 34 | 10¢ | $15 | +431% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 30 | 22¢ | $15 | +219% | 2026-09-12 | |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC | Open | 56 | 2¢ | $13 | +1200% | 2026-10-07 |
| Open | 102 | 77¢ | $13 | +17% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 94 | 43¢ | $12 | +29% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 26 | 10¢ | $11 | +421% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 35 | 13¢ | $11 | +243% | 2026-08-08 | |
| Open | 46 | 11¢ | $10 | +208% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 53 | 12¢ | $10 | +157% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 28 | 26¢ | $10 | +135% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 20 | 22¢ | $9 | +206% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 20 | 10¢ | $9 | +455% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 58 | 55¢ | $9 | +28% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 60 | 61¢ | $9 | +24% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 35 | 10¢ | $8 | +240% | 2026-08-08 | |
| Open | 16 | 10¢ | $7 | +450% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 26 | 61¢ | $7 | +45% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 26 | 41¢ | $7 | +67% | 2026-09-12 | |
Wuhan San Zhen FC | Open | 22 | 49¢ | $6 | +53% | 2026-09-12 |
| Open | 38 | 52¢ | $6 | +29% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 17 | 51¢ | $5 | +61% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 24 | 5¢ | $5 | +430% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 41 | 3¢ | $5 | +417% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 12 | 10¢ | $5 | +400% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 17 | 49¢ | $5 | +56% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 49 | 5¢ | $4 | +170% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 22 | 43¢ | $4 | +43% | 2026-09-24 | |
Henan FC | Open | 18 | 3¢ | $4 | +786% | 2026-09-12 |
| Open | 88 | 18¢ | $4 | +22% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 7 | 10¢ | $3 | +400% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 16 | 78¢ | $2 | +19% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 9 | 13¢ | $2 | +192% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 12 | 11¢ | $2 | +171% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 6 | 17¢ | $2 | +215% | 2026-08-08 | |
| Open | 8 | 0¢ | $2 | +11824% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 14 | 24¢ | $2 | +56% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 9 | 10¢ | $2 | +215% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 9 | 29¢ | $2 | +72% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 5 | 11¢ | $2 | +305% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 5 | 10¢ | $2 | +350% | 2026-09-12 | |
Wuhan San Zhen FC | Open | 10 | 57¢ | $2 | +30% | 2026-09-12 |
| Open | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | +74% | 2026-10-07 | |
Chicago Fire FC | Open | 10 | 7¢ | $2 | +221% | 2026-10-07 |
| Open | 6 | 54¢ | $2 | +45% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 7 | 78¢ | $2 | +27% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 7 | 23¢ | $1 | +83% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 18 | 72¢ | $1 | +10% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 8 | 71¢ | $1 | +23% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | +220% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 2 | 5¢ | $1 | +870% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 3 | 55¢ | $1 | +53% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 21 | 20¢ | $1 | +24% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 3 | 60¢ | $1 | +58% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 5 | 50¢ | $1 | +36% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 2 | 12¢ | $1 | +317% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 7 | 61¢ | $1 | +19% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 5 | 71¢ | $1 | +21% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 5 | 50¢ | $1 | +24% | 2026-09-24 | |
| Open | 7 | 5¢ | $1 | +150% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 3 | 2¢ | $1 | +1000% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 3 | 60¢ | $0 | +27% | 2026-09-24 | |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC | Open | 3 | 65¢ | $0 | +21% | 2026-10-07 |
| Open | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | +65% | 2026-09-12 | |
| Open | 5 | 61¢ | $0 | +13% | 2026-10-07 | |
FK Dynamo Kyiv | Open | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | +365% | 2026-08-02 |
| Open | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | +760% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | +185% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | +307% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 3 | 44¢ | $0 | +26% | 2026-09-15 | |
| Open | 2 | 50¢ | $0 | +28% | 2026-08-02 | |
Real Salt Lake | Open | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | +625% | 2026-09-24 |
| Open | 5 | 45¢ | $0 | +10% | 2026-09-06 | |
Seattle Sounders FC | Open | 2 | 75¢ | $0 | +14% | 2026-09-24 |
| Open | 1 | 79¢ | $0 | +20% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 1 | 71¢ | $0 | +20% | 2026-10-07 | |
Chicago Fire FC | Open | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | +12% | 2026-10-07 |
| Open | 5 | 55¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 2 | 50¢ | $0 | 0% | 2026-08-02 | |
| Open | 6 | 56¢ | -$0 | -3% | 2026-10-07 | |
| Open | 10 | 31¢ | -$0 | -12% | 2026-11-05 | |
| Open | 21 | 30¢ | -$1 | -23% | 2026-09-12 |