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Convexly

Wallet

0xfb81…1cf3

Up to 200 recent trades returned by Polymarket. This is a limited activity window.

Trades shown
200
Buy / Sell
171 / 29
Notional shown
$11.6K
Latest trade in this response
Response checked

Older trades may fall outside this page.

Source
SELL
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
No
99.26¢30$29.78Transaction
SELL
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
No
29¢120.94$35.07Transaction
SELL
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No
74¢405.95$300.40Transaction
SELL
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No
74¢71.05$52.58Transaction
SELL
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
88¢112.86$99.32Transaction
SELL
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?
Yes
97.51¢57.88$56.44Transaction
SELL
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Yes
1.47¢2,666$39.22Transaction
SELL
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes
64.87¢220.87$143.27Transaction
SELL
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
No
95.66¢279.41$267.29Transaction
SELL
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
No
85.24¢467.67$398.64Transaction
SELL
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
No
99¢1,428$1.4KTransaction
SELL
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
No
95.4¢776$740.30Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢126.14$5.05Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢20.8333$0.83Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢84.9583$3.40Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢46.5563$1.86Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢128.16$5.13Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢20.8333$0.83Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢2.8229$0.11Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?
No
4¢69.6636$2.79Transaction
BUY
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?
No
7¢571$39.97Transaction
SELL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
Down
22.76¢333$75.79Transaction
BUY
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
Down
12¢333$39.96Transaction
BUY
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
1¢7,818.75$78.19Transaction
BUY
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
1¢181.25$1.81Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢10.18$0.61Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢2,523.7$151.42Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢106.383$6.38Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢10.01$0.60Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢8.46$0.51Transaction
BUY
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?
No
6¢7.26$0.44Transaction
BUY
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
No
16¢568.56$90.97Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 10?
Yes
9¢222$19.98Transaction
BUY
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in December?
No
14¢1,142$159.88Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Dell" or "Stellantis" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
No
1¢1,000$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "King" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
No
2¢641.57$12.83Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "King" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
No
1¢358.43$3.58Transaction
BUY
Will Braze Inc (BRZE) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes
13¢153$19.89Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 49-50°F on December 9?
No
4¢250$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 47-48°F on December 9?
Yes
1¢333$3.33Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on December 9?
Yes
11¢181$19.91Transaction
BUY
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 9?
Up
12¢4.1377$0.50Transaction
BUY
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on December 9?
Down
12¢333$39.96Transaction
BUY
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes
1.2¢2.894$0.03Transaction
BUY
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?
No
4¢250$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will Sam Altman say "Robot" or "Robotic" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Yes
2¢350.28$7.01Transaction
BUY
Will Sam Altman say "Robot" or "Robotic" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Yes
2¢649.7159$12.99Transaction
BUY
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
No
12¢1,332$159.84Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 8?
No
4¢250$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
7.1¢299.73$21.28Transaction
BUY
Will Sam Altman say "Meme" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
No
3¢53.23$1.60Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "November 5th" or "Election" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
No
5¢400$20.00Transaction
BUY
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
No
6.1¢467.6748$28.53Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 9?
No
4¢58.4548$2.34Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 8?
No
7¢166$11.62Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 8?
Yes
1¢133$1.33Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
No
9¢444$39.96Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
No
9¢222$19.98Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Yes
14¢1,142$159.88Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Yes
13¢1,230$159.90Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on December 7?
No
2¢80.6018$1.61Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on December 7?
No
2¢3.0612$0.06Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on December 7?
No
2¢10$0.20Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on December 7?
No
2¢40.8163$0.82Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 7?
Yes
13.1¢77.06$10.09Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 7?
Yes
13.1¢74.94$9.82Transaction
BUY
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
No
14¢318.8209$44.63Transaction
BUY
Will the Notre Dame Fighting Irish be the #9 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?
Yes
1¢8,000$80.00Transaction
BUY
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?
No
13¢251.4213$32.68Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 7?
Yes
9¢222$19.98Transaction
BUY
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of December 1
Down
5¢137.1$6.86Transaction
BUY
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of December 1
Down
5¢100$5.00Transaction
BUY
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of December 1
Down
5¢5$0.25Transaction
BUY
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of December 1
Down
5¢157.8947$7.89Transaction
BUY
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Down
16¢869.28$139.08Transaction
BUY
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Down
16¢100$16.00Transaction
BUY
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Down
16¢30.7143$4.91Transaction
BUY
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Up
18¢187$33.66Transaction
BUY
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Up
18¢100$18.00Transaction
BUY
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Up
18¢101$18.18Transaction
BUY
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ET
Up
18¢500$90.00Transaction
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Yes
20¢33.22$6.64Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢103.0928$3.09Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢100$3.00Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢103.0928$3.09Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢20$0.60Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢103.0928$3.09Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢103.0928$3.09Transaction
BUY
Will "Iconic trophy" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
3¢197.1156$5.91Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
11¢10$1.10Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
11¢2.2472$0.25Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
No
11¢104.0449$11.44Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
No
16.5¢968$159.72Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Yes
19¢842$159.98Transaction
BUY
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
No
11¢1,454$159.94Transaction
BUY
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
No
13¢1,230$159.90Transaction
BUY
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $110 before 2026??
Yes
11¢500$55.00Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
No
11¢1,397.96$153.78Transaction
BUY
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
No
11¢56.0399$6.16Transaction
BUY
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes
12.6¢220.87$27.83Transaction
BUY
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?
No
6¢2,666$159.96Transaction
BUY
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?
No
14¢904.3$126.60Transaction
BUY
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?
No
14¢222$31.08Transaction
BUY
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?
No
14¢15.6977$2.20Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Family" or "Friend" 3+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
Yes
8¢500$40.00Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Christmas" 8+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
Yes
10¢400$40.00Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
Yes
3¢666$19.98Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Countdown" or "Count down" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
No
1¢621.93$6.22Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Countdown" or "Count down" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
No
1¢1,378.07$13.78Transaction
BUY
Will Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?
No
4¢250$10.00Transaction
BUY
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 4?
Down
18¢45.82$8.25Transaction
BUY
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 4?
Down
18¢100$18.00Transaction
BUY
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 4?
Down
18¢76.18$13.71Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 4?
Yes
1¢95$0.95Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 4?
Yes
19¢25.62$4.87Transaction
BUY
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 30% on December 10?
Yes
1¢82.91$0.83Transaction
BUY
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1,799.5$125.97Transaction
BUY
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?
Yes
2¢4,000$80.00Transaction
BUY
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Yes
7¢484.5$33.91Transaction
BUY
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
No
2.1¢3,809$79.99Transaction
BUY
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes
9¢1,776$159.84Transaction
BUY
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes
2¢855.9573$17.12Transaction
BUY
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
No
1¢8,000$80.00Transaction
BUY
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
No
11¢1,454$159.94Transaction
BUY
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes
10¢1,600$160.00Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢154$10.78Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢9.98$0.70Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢7$0.49Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢98.68$6.91Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢2.95$0.21Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢82.7312$5.79Transaction
BUY
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
No
12¢1,332$159.84Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢2.0215$0.14Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1.1828$0.08Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1.1828$0.08Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢2.0215$0.14Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1.1828$0.08Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1.1828$0.08Transaction
BUY
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes
7¢1,919.8269$134.39Transaction
BUY
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No
15.1¢1,058$159.76Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 3?
No
4¢250$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 3?
Yes
1¢166$1.66Transaction
BUY
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?
Yes
1¢153$1.53Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢121.69$20.81Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢40.0482$6.85Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢46.5621$7.96Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢9.3124$1.59Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢14.0169$2.40Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
17.1¢1.3474$0.23Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
11¢285.65$31.42Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
11¢77.35$8.51Transaction
BUY
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?
Yes
10¢365.17$36.52Transaction
BUY
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 5–10%?
No
12¢1,332$159.84Transaction
BUY
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?
Yes
10¢1,234.83$123.48Transaction
BUY
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on December 2?
Up
6¢666$39.96Transaction
BUY
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?
No
9.8¢150.5837$14.76Transaction
SELL
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes
7.92¢278.99$22.08Transaction
SELL
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
No
13¢333$43.29Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
13¢9.8333$1.28Transaction
BUY
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 2?
Up
13¢32.2268$4.19Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Yes
11¢16.7416$1.84Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
3¢6.69$0.20Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
15¢11.6471$1.75Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Infinitesimal" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
2¢731.52$14.63Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Infinitesimal" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
2¢76.0612$1.52Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Infinitesimal" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
2¢20.4082$0.41Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Infinitesimal" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
2¢172$3.44Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
15¢11.7647$1.76Transaction
BUY
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
No
12¢167.29$20.07Transaction
BUY
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes
14.3¢110$15.73Transaction
BUY
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes
14.3¢4.83$0.69Transaction
BUY
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
No
12¢165.71$19.89Transaction
BUY
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes
14.3¢164.1657$23.48Transaction
BUY
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in December?
No
13¢1,230$159.90Transaction
BUY
Will Trump say "IQ" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
No
1¢1,000$10.00Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Yes
11¢12.4839$1.37Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Yes
11¢10$1.10Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Yes
11¢70$7.70Transaction
BUY
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Yes
11¢85.17$9.37Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢460.7$82.93Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢250$45.00Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢137.43$24.74Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢5.26$0.95Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢5$0.90Transaction
BUY
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No
18¢29.61$5.33Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
30¢330.06$99.02Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
40¢365$146.00Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
40¢225$90.00Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
40¢250$100.00Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
40¢62.07$24.83Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
40¢110$44.00Transaction
SELL
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
40¢50$20.00Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
40¢15$6.00Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
40¢20$8.00Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
40¢106$42.40Transaction
BUY
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes
16¢1,000$160.00Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
41.41¢3,399.71$1.4KTransaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
41¢10$4.10Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
50¢5$2.50Transaction
SELL
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No
50¢74.57$37.28Transaction

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