Wallet positions

0xf2cf…464b

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

607

Realized PnL

-$165.75

Win rate

21.9%

Realized edge

+0.7 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +0.7 pp across 607 resolved positions, 95% CI [-1.4, +3.0], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

500 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings. Display limit reached; more positions may exist.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:23:22 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Torey Lovullo win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No	Held	80	58.6¢	99.85¢	$79.88	$33.00	+70.4%	2027-01-01
Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? No	Held	40	0¢	80.05¢	$32.02	$32.02	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? Yes	Held	30	1.03¢	99.4¢	$29.82	$29.51	+9519.7%	2026-10-05
Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? Yes	Held	20.4	0.8¢	99.95¢	$20.39	$21.08	+12282.3%	2026-10-05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026? No	Held	60	56¢	90.5¢	$54.30	$20.70	+61.6%	2026-09-30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? No	Held	20	0¢	98.75¢	$19.75	$19.75	0.0%	2026-11-04
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? No	Held	119.9895	10.33¢	26.55¢	$31.86	$19.46	+156.9%	2027-01-01
Will SV Elversberg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes	Held	80	6.5¢	30.45¢	$24.36	$19.16	+368.5%	2027-06-06
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028? No	Held	20	0¢	89.95¢	$17.99	$17.99	0.0%	2026-12-31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No	Held	20	0¢	77.35¢	$15.47	$15.47	0.0%	2027-04-01
Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? Yes	Held	19.9483	12.23¢	92.3¢	$18.41	$15.13	+654.4%	2026-09-28
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes	Held	15.5	9¢	51¢	$7.91	$14.91	+466.7%	2027-10-01
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	29¢	98.7¢	$19.74	$13.94	+240.3%	2026-10-05
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? No	Held	20	28¢	97.5¢	$19.50	$13.90	+248.2%	2028-01-01
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? No	Held	20	26¢	95.5¢	$19.10	$13.90	+267.3%	2026-09-14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	20.8013	3.99¢	69.3¢	$14.42	$13.77	+1635.5%	2026-10-31
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? Yes	Held	23.91	16.94¢	71.15¢	$17.01	$13.72	+320.0%	2026-11-02
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Held	15	2.33¢	92.75¢	$13.91	$13.56	+3875.1%	2026-10-05
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? Yes	Held	40	35¢	66¢	$26.40	$12.40	+88.6%	2027-01-18
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? No	Held	20.6	56¢	97.15¢	$20.01	$11.97	+73.5%	2026-09-14
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? No	Held	20	0¢	59.4¢	$11.88	$11.88	0.0%	2027-01-01
Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? No	Held	19.9938	6¢	63¢	$12.60	$11.40	+950.0%	2026-12-21
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? Yes	Held	15.0767	46.73¢	90.6¢	$13.66	$10.93	+93.9%	2027-01-19
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? Yes	Held	17.43	0¢	62.5¢	$10.89	$10.89	0.0%	2026-10-18
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? Yes	Held	15.1958	29.9¢	97.8¢	$14.86	$10.32	+227.1%	2027-01-01
Will Christian Watson have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	19.9	8¢	58.5¢	$11.64	$10.05	+631.3%	2027-01-27
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? Yes	Held	54.81	2.17¢	20.1¢	$11.02	$9.82	+823.0%	2027-11-01
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Held	10	2.6¢	98.85¢	$9.88	$9.63	+3701.9%	2027-01-01
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? No	Held	20	11¢	58.5¢	$11.70	$9.50	+431.8%	2027-10-01
Will Hibernian win the 2026-27 Scottish Premiership? Yes	Held	20	0.9¢	48.4¢	$9.68	$9.50	+5277.8%	2027-08-01
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? No	Held	10	0¢	94.65¢	$9.46	$9.46	0.0%	2026-10-30
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No	Held	14.9085	67.39¢	93.75¢	$13.98	$9.22	+39.1%	2027-01-01
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	Held	20	5¢	51¢	$10.20	$9.20	+920.0%	—
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? Yes	Held	23.17	3.28¢	28.75¢	$6.66	$9.12	+776.2%	2028-01-01
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? Yes	Held	20	18¢	63¢	$12.60	$9.00	+250.0%	2026-11-10
Will Rocket Baguette Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? Yes	Held	20	0.5¢	45.15¢	$9.03	$8.93	+8930.0%	—
Will Paris FC qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	59.9855	11¢	25.5¢	$15.30	$8.70	+131.8%	2027-06-13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026? No	Held	22.4	63.66¢	97¢	$21.73	$8.57	+52.4%	2026-09-30
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No	Held	20.6	19.13¢	59.55¢	$12.27	$8.48	+211.1%	2027-01-01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? No	Held	10	15¢	98.75¢	$9.88	$8.38	+558.3%	2026-10-01
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	20	1.04¢	40.5¢	$8.10	$8.03	+3768.2%	2026-10-31
Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? No	Held	20	38¢	78¢	$15.60	$8.00	+105.3%	2027-08-01
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? No	Held	20	0¢	40¢	$8.00	$8.00	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Yes	Held	9.9974	6.1¢	84.85¢	$8.48	$8.00	+1291.0%	2027-01-01
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No	Held	20	31¢	70¢	$14.00	$7.80	+125.8%	2027-01-01
Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Patriots during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	40	3.75¢	23.15¢	$9.26	$7.76	+517.3%	2027-01-12
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	20	0¢	38¢	$7.60	$7.60	0.0%	2027-01-01
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? No	Held	20	41.5¢	78.5¢	$15.70	$7.40	+89.2%	2027-01-01
Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections? No	Held	20	63.3¢	99.2¢	$19.84	$7.18	+56.7%	2026-10-05
Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027? No	Held	12.17	54.9¢	57.5¢	$7.00	$6.93	+4.7%	2027-07-01
Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election? Yes	Held	20	8¢	42.5¢	$8.50	$6.90	+431.3%	2026-10-28
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	20.22	56.01¢	84.6¢	$17.11	$6.77	+51.0%	2027-06-07
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000? No	Held	20	63¢	96.35¢	$19.27	$6.67	+52.9%	2026-11-04
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? Yes	Held	10	12¢	77.5¢	$7.75	$6.55	+545.8%	2026-11-04
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No	Held	15	14¢	56.5¢	$8.47	$6.38	+303.6%	2027-01-01
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026? Yes	Held	15	10¢	52.45¢	$7.87	$6.37	+424.5%	2027-01-01
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? No	Held	32.36	78.57¢	97.6¢	$31.58	$6.35	+24.2%	2027-06-07
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes	Held	15	57¢	97.75¢	$14.66	$6.11	+71.5%	2028-01-01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes	Held	10.3	11.02¢	66.5¢	$6.85	$6.01	+503.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election? Yes	Held	20	2.6¢	32.65¢	$6.53	$6.01	+1155.8%	2026-11-04
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes	Held	20	7.1¢	36.6¢	$7.32	$5.90	+415.5%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	20.6	11.78¢	28.05¢	$5.78	$5.82	+138.0%	2026-11-04
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes	Held	10.01	12.38¢	69.6¢	$6.97	$5.79	+461.7%	2026-12-19
Will the Bears win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	15.7137	7.21¢	43.5¢	$6.84	$5.70	+503.2%	2027-01-27
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	20	38¢	66.5¢	$13.30	$5.70	+75.0%	2027-02-11
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? Yes	Held	20	0¢	28.5¢	$5.70	$5.70	0.0%	2026-10-27
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No	Held	10.4	31.8¢	82¢	$8.53	$5.62	+157.8%	2027-01-01
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	64¢	91.5¢	$18.30	$5.50	+43.0%	2026-10-31
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by March 31, 2027? Yes	Held	20	10¢	37.5¢	$7.50	$5.50	+275.0%	2027-04-01
Will Evangelina Moreno Guerra win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? No	Held	19.975	76.56¢	99.75¢	$19.93	$5.45	+30.3%	2027-06-07
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No	Held	20	7¢	34.15¢	$6.83	$5.43	+387.9%	2027-06-14
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	17¢	44¢	$8.80	$5.40	+158.8%	2026-10-31
Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? Yes	Held	20	7¢	33.6¢	$6.72	$5.32	+380.0%	2027-01-27
Will UL Monroe Warhawks Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship? Yes	Held	15.15	0.76¢	35.65¢	$5.40	$5.28	+4553.9%	2026-12-19
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No	Held	20	74¢	99.95¢	$19.99	$5.19	+35.1%	2027-07-01
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-08 House election by 45%-50%? Yes	Held	14.2	1.1¢	36.95¢	$5.25	$5.09	+3259.1%	2026-11-03
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? No	Held	19.9961	28¢	53¢	$10.60	$5.00	+89.3%	2026-11-03
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? Yes	Held	20	47¢	71.5¢	$14.30	$4.90	+52.1%	—
Will Colorado have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No	Held	17.78	40¢	66.5¢	$11.82	$4.89	+66.3%	2026-12-27
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM? No	Held	10.3	94.64¢	97.65¢	$10.06	$4.87	+3.2%	2028-01-01
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No	Held	10	46¢	93.5¢	$9.35	$4.75	+103.3%	2027-01-02
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No	Held	20	73¢	96.15¢	$19.23	$4.63	+31.7%	2027-01-01
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? No	Held	20	44¢	67¢	$13.40	$4.60	+52.3%	2026-09-30
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No	Held	20	74.3¢	96.9¢	$19.38	$4.52	+30.4%	2026-11-22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No	Held	60	84¢	91.5¢	$54.90	$4.50	+8.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	20	13.1¢	34.95¢	$6.99	$4.37	+166.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%? Yes	Held	20	8.4¢	30.05¢	$6.01	$4.33	+257.7%	2026-11-04
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No	Held	15.0294	73.98¢	99.85¢	$15.01	$4.32	+35.0%	2026-10-18
Will USD/BRL hit 6 (High) in 2026? Yes	Held	20	7¢	28.5¢	$5.70	$4.30	+307.1%	2027-01-01
Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next? Yes	Held	20	6¢	27.5¢	$5.50	$4.30	+358.3%	2027-07-12
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? No	Held	20	64¢	85.1¢	$17.02	$4.22	+33.0%	2027-04-01
Will the National Rally group hold 12 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? No	Held	20	79¢	99.85¢	$19.97	$4.17	+26.4%	2026-09-28
Will Veda launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes	Held	10	15¢	56¢	$5.60	$4.10	+273.3%	2027-10-01
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? No	Held	20	73¢	93¢	$18.60	$4.00	+27.4%	2027-01-01
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Held	20	73.1¢	93.05¢	$18.61	$3.99	+27.3%	2027-01-01
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	10	52¢	91.5¢	$9.15	$3.95	+76.0%	2027-01-27
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	10.3	37.73¢	74¢	$7.62	$3.92	+96.1%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	20	14.1¢	33.55¢	$6.71	$3.89	+137.9%	2026-11-04
Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? No	Held	20	80.1¢	99.35¢	$19.87	$3.85	+24.0%	2026-10-05
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes	Held	19.09	24.52¢	44.5¢	$8.49	$3.81	+81.5%	2027-07-01
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No	Held	12.3	42¢	72.5¢	$8.92	$3.75	+72.6%	2026-11-08
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? Yes	Held	30	17¢	29.5¢	$8.85	$3.75	+73.5%	2026-11-04
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Held	10	27¢	64.5¢	$6.45	$3.75	+138.9%	2026-12-21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	20	11¢	29.5¢	$5.90	$3.70	+168.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	17.42	11.09¢	29.4¢	$5.12	$3.62	+165.0%	2026-11-08
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	20	11¢	29¢	$5.80	$3.60	+163.6%	2026-11-01
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? No	Held	10	70¢	99.45¢	$9.95	$3.54	+42.1%	2026-10-12
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No	Held	15	71¢	93¢	$13.95	$3.50	+31.0%	2027-01-18
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	20	12¢	29.5¢	$5.90	$3.50	+145.8%	2026-11-04
Will Russell Yaxley win the next Glenorchy mayoral election? No	Held	15.47	56¢	78.5¢	$12.14	$3.48	+40.2%	2026-10-28
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? No	Held	20	81.5¢	98.9¢	$19.78	$3.48	+21.3%	2026-10-28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	24	15.16¢	29.5¢	$7.08	$3.44	+94.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	20	8.95¢	26.05¢	$5.21	$3.42	+191.1%	2026-11-04
Will StripChain launch a token by June 30, 2027? No	Held	20	12¢	29¢	$5.80	$3.40	+141.7%	2027-07-01
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? Yes	Held	20.3	11¢	26.5¢	$5.38	$3.34	+140.9%	2027-01-01
Will Miami (OH) RedHawks Win the 2026 MAC Championship? No	Held	20	78¢	94.5¢	$18.90	$3.30	+21.2%	2026-12-20
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	20	39¢	55.5¢	$11.10	$3.30	+42.3%	2027-07-01
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	16¢	36.5¢	$5.47	$3.25	+128.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? No	Held	20	77¢	93¢	$18.60	$3.20	+20.8%	2026-11-04
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	83¢	98.8¢	$19.76	$3.16	+19.0%	2026-11-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 20%-25%? Yes	Held	20.2	12.94¢	26.75¢	$5.40	$3.14	+106.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more? Yes	Held	20	42¢	57.5¢	$11.50	$3.10	+36.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	20	16¢	31.5¢	$6.30	$3.10	+96.9%	2026-11-04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No	Held	19.9966	52¢	67.5¢	$13.50	$3.10	+29.8%	2027-04-01
Will Brandon Smith win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? No	Held	20.3	70.74¢	85.5¢	$17.36	$3.09	+20.9%	2026-10-18
Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? No	Held	20	80¢	95.45¢	$19.09	$3.09	+19.3%	2027-01-17
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	11.33¢	26.5¢	$5.38	$3.08	+133.8%	2027-01-01
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	Held	15.0134	84.99¢	93.5¢	$14.04	$3.03	+10.0%	2027-01-01
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? No	Held	20	70¢	85¢	$17.00	$3.00	+21.4%	2026-10-30
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? No	Held	30.89	89.9¢	99.4¢	$30.70	$2.93	+10.6%	2026-11-15
Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	20	39¢	53.5¢	$10.70	$2.90	+37.2%	2027-01-27
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? Yes	Held	20	31¢	45.5¢	$9.10	$2.90	+46.8%	2027-06-07
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No	Held	10.2549	66.58¢	80.5¢	$8.26	$2.80	+20.9%	2027-01-01
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes	Held	15.0903	51.71¢	34.5¢	$5.21	$2.80	-33.3%	2026-10-18
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? No	Held	5.9298	43¢	89.5¢	$5.31	$2.76	+108.1%	2026-11-01
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? No	Held	10	47¢	74.5¢	$7.45	$2.75	+58.5%	2027-04-01
Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	48¢	61.5¢	$12.30	$2.70	+28.1%	2027-02-07
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	20	67.1¢	80.35¢	$16.07	$2.65	+19.7%	2026-11-04
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? No	Held	10	54¢	80.5¢	$8.05	$2.65	+49.1%	2027-01-01
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026? No	Held	7.62	81.11¢	99.45¢	$7.58	$2.63	+22.6%	2027-01-21
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings? Yes	Held	6.04	57¢	95.25¢	$5.75	$2.56	+67.1%	2027-01-01
Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election? No	Held	20	72.3¢	84.85¢	$16.97	$2.51	+17.4%	2026-10-28
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	68¢	80.45¢	$16.09	$2.49	+18.3%	2026-10-31
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft? No	Held	20	87¢	99.3¢	$19.86	$2.46	+14.1%	2027-04-16
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Held	30	91.5¢	99.65¢	$29.89	$2.44	+8.9%	2027-01-01
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No	Held	15.0807	86.49¢	99.85¢	$15.06	$2.42	+15.4%	2026-10-18
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Held	23.7777	95.59¢	97.8¢	$23.25	$2.36	+2.3%	2026-11-13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? Yes	Held	24.15	16¢	25.5¢	$6.16	$2.35	+59.4%	2026-11-04
Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No	Held	40	92.25¢	98.05¢	$39.22	$2.32	+6.3%	2026-11-01
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? No	Held	19.9947	16¢	27.5¢	$5.50	$2.30	+71.9%	2026-11-29
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No	Held	20	83.1¢	94.55¢	$18.91	$2.29	+13.8%	2028-01-01
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Held	20.5	91.45¢	98.45¢	$20.18	$2.25	+7.7%	2026-12-31
Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? No	Held	20	34¢	45¢	$9.00	$2.20	+32.4%	2026-11-29
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? No	Held	20	81.4¢	92.2¢	$18.44	$2.16	+13.3%	2028-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	20.2	15.98¢	26.5¢	$5.35	$2.15	+65.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	20	28.1¢	38.7¢	$7.74	$2.12	+37.7%	2026-11-01
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No	Held	17.0077	89.33¢	93.3¢	$15.87	$2.12	+4.4%	2027-01-01
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? Yes	Held	20	17¢	27.5¢	$5.50	$2.10	+61.8%	2028-01-23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027? No	Held	20.3	90.95¢	94.5¢	$19.18	$2.00	+3.9%	2027-04-01
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	41¢	51¢	$10.20	$2.00	+24.4%	2027-02-07
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No	Held	10	80¢	99.95¢	$9.99	$2.00	+24.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No	Held	10.5	52.14¢	66.5¢	$6.98	$1.95	+27.5%	2026-11-04
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Yes	Held	10	35.1¢	54.55¢	$5.46	$1.95	+55.4%	—
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	20	76¢	85.5¢	$17.10	$1.90	+12.5%	2027-02-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	20	28¢	37.5¢	$7.50	$1.90	+33.9%	2026-11-04
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No	Held	20.31	89.28¢	91.8¢	$18.64	$1.88	+2.8%	2026-12-31
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? No	Held	20.6	28.73¢	37.5¢	$7.72	$1.87	+30.5%	2026-11-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? No	Held	20	85.1¢	94.25¢	$18.85	$1.83	+10.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? No	Held	19.07	71¢	80.5¢	$15.35	$1.81	+13.4%	2026-11-04
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes	Held	9.9982	77¢	94.35¢	$9.43	$1.73	+22.5%	2027-07-01
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? No	Held	15	84¢	95.5¢	$14.32	$1.73	+13.7%	2027-06-07
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? No	Held	10.4	73.23¢	83.95¢	$8.73	$1.72	+14.6%	2027-06-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	20	85.7¢	94.25¢	$18.85	$1.71	+10.0%	2026-11-04
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? No	Held	20	90.4¢	98.9¢	$19.78	$1.70	+9.4%	2027-04-01
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? No	Held	20	90¢	98.5¢	$19.70	$1.70	+9.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6%-9%? No	Held	20	76¢	84.5¢	$16.90	$1.70	+11.2%	2026-11-04
Will Mile Svilar (Roma) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season? Yes	Held	20	27¢	35.5¢	$7.10	$1.70	+31.5%	2027-06-15
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Held	23.4728	91.53¢	98.7¢	$23.17	$1.68	+7.8%	2027-01-01
Will PSV Eindhoven be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie? Yes	Held	31.23	26.62¢	32¢	$9.99	$1.68	+20.2%	2027-08-01
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No	Held	8.71	78.31¢	93.7¢	$8.16	$1.67	+19.6%	2027-04-01
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	10	83.3¢	99.95¢	$9.99	$1.67	+20.0%	2027-07-01
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No	Held	10.4	94.13¢	99.65¢	$10.36	$1.66	+5.9%	2027-05-30
Will Sunderland qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? Yes	Held	40.6665	11.47¢	15.5¢	$6.30	$1.64	+35.1%	2027-06-08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	35.6	13¢	17.5¢	$6.23	$1.60	+34.6%	2026-11-04
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No	Held	15	89.1¢	99.7¢	$14.96	$1.59	+11.9%	2026-11-12
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes	Held	15	85¢	95.4¢	$14.31	$1.56	+12.2%	2028-01-01
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? Lockheed Martin	Held	10	59¢	74.5¢	$7.45	$1.55	+26.3%	2027-01-05
Will Michael Wilson have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	20	78¢	85.5¢	$17.10	$1.50	+9.6%	2027-01-27
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? U 9.5	Held	20	33¢	40.5¢	$8.10	$1.50	+22.7%	2027-01-05
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No	Held	10	57¢	72¢	$7.20	$1.50	+26.3%	2026-11-04
Will SER hold 65-67 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? No	Held	20	90¢	97.45¢	$19.49	$1.49	+8.3%	2026-09-28
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10.4916	87.46¢	94.55¢	$9.92	$1.45	+8.1%	2026-12-31
Will Dallas Goedert have 174.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	31	85¢	83¢	$25.73	$1.41	-2.4%	2027-01-27
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20	31¢	38¢	$7.60	$1.40	+22.6%	2027-07-01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? No	Held	30	87¢	91.5¢	$27.45	$1.35	+5.2%	2027-01-01
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? No	Held	12.6179	92.12¢	58.15¢	$7.34	$1.35	-36.9%	2027-01-09
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? No	Held	6.27	73.22¢	94.55¢	$5.93	$1.34	+29.1%	2027-01-01
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No	Held	10	77¢	90¢	$9.00	$1.30	+16.9%	2026-10-30
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? No	Held	20	75.9¢	82.15¢	$16.43	$1.25	+8.2%	2026-10-29
Will Feyenoord be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie? Yes	Held	30.93	17.96¢	22¢	$6.80	$1.25	+22.4%	2027-08-01
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? No	Held	20	55¢	61¢	$12.20	$1.20	+10.9%	2026-12-15
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? No	Held	9.2	81¢	86.5¢	$7.96	$1.18	+6.8%	2026-11-04
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No	Held	15	88¢	95.85¢	$14.38	$1.18	+8.9%	2027-01-01
Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? No	Held	20	94.1¢	99.95¢	$19.99	$1.17	+6.2%	2027-07-01
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? No	Held	20.6	84.09¢	99.1¢	$20.41	$1.17	+17.8%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more? No	Held	20	89.3¢	95.1¢	$19.02	$1.16	+6.5%	2026-11-04
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No	Held	10.5	94.2¢	99.95¢	$10.49	$1.15	+6.1%	2026-12-19
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No	Held	10	72¢	83.5¢	$8.35	$1.15	+16.0%	2027-01-01
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? Yes	Held	20.4	44.96¢	47.5¢	$9.69	$1.15	+5.6%	2026-10-25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 12%-15%? No	Held	20	89¢	94.7¢	$18.94	$1.14	+6.4%	2026-11-04
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No	Held	20.4	91.5¢	95.9¢	$19.56	$1.13	+4.8%	2027-04-01
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%? No	Held	14.8214	92.84¢	93.9¢	$13.92	$1.06	+1.1%	2027-01-19
Will Duber Alberto Fernández Silva win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? No	Held	20	94.9¢	99.95¢	$19.99	$1.01	+5.3%	2026-10-05
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Held	20	85¢	90¢	$18.00	$1.00	+5.9%	2026-12-31
Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	20	82¢	87¢	$17.40	$1.00	+6.1%	2027-02-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 15%-20%? No	Held	20	77¢	82¢	$16.40	$1.00	+6.5%	2026-11-04
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? No	Held	18.8	90.67¢	95.1¢	$17.88	$0.99	+4.9%	2027-01-04
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No	Held	10	86¢	95.5¢	$9.55	$0.95	+11.0%	2027-01-01
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? No	Held	10	74¢	83.5¢	$8.35	$0.95	+12.8%	2028-01-01
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026? No	Held	20	91.8¢	96.5¢	$19.30	$0.94	+5.1%	2026-10-31
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election? No	Held	22.02	95.15¢	99.4¢	$21.89	$0.93	+4.5%	2026-10-28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	33	19.69¢	22.5¢	$7.42	$0.93	+14.2%	2026-11-04
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No	Held	10.3873	93.95¢	96.15¢	$9.99	$0.90	+2.3%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? No	Held	15	82¢	88¢	$13.20	$0.90	+7.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes	Held	20	54¢	58.5¢	$11.70	$0.90	+8.3%	2027-01-05
Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections? No	Held	20	49¢	53.5¢	$10.70	$0.90	+9.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? No	Held	15	61¢	67¢	$10.05	$0.90	+9.8%	2026-11-04
Will Diego González (Santos Laguna) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? No	Held	20	90.4¢	94.8¢	$18.96	$0.88	+4.9%	2027-06-13
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? No	Held	15	91¢	96.85¢	$14.53	$0.88	+6.4%	2027-01-01
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? No	Held	10	89.7¢	98.35¢	$9.84	$0.86	+9.6%	2026-11-04
Will Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? No	Held	20	94.4¢	98.7¢	$19.74	$0.86	+4.6%	2027-05-31
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala? No	Held	10	81.1¢	89.5¢	$8.95	$0.84	+10.4%	2026-11-04
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No	Held	8	87.5¢	98¢	$7.84	$0.84	+12.0%	2027-05-01
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No	Held	10.7554	84.1¢	91.75¢	$9.87	$0.82	+9.1%	2026-10-28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000? No	Held	20	89.7¢	93.75¢	$18.75	$0.81	+4.5%	2026-11-04
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	15.5	31.9¢	36¢	$5.58	$0.79	+12.8%	2026-11-08
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No	Held	15	86.5¢	91.75¢	$13.76	$0.79	+6.1%	2026-11-17
Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat? No	Held	15	91.4¢	96.55¢	$14.48	$0.77	+5.6%	2026-11-04
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? No	Held	10	72¢	79.5¢	$7.95	$0.75	+10.4%	2029-01-01
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? No	Held	12	84.9¢	99.85¢	$11.98	$0.75	+17.6%	2027-01-11
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No	Held	15	96.1¢	99.65¢	$14.95	$0.73	+3.7%	2026-11-08
Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat? No	Held	10	89.1¢	96.2¢	$9.62	$0.71	+8.0%	2026-11-04
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? No	Held	20.38	90.49¢	92.75¢	$18.90	$0.71	+2.5%	2027-07-26
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? No	Held	20.66	92.15¢	95.55¢	$19.74	$0.69	+3.7%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 55% or more? No	Held	20	93¢	96.45¢	$19.29	$0.69	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? No	Held	10.9153	91.91¢	98.15¢	$10.71	$0.68	+6.8%	2027-06-07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No	Held	10.3636	94.77¢	98.95¢	$10.25	$0.68	+4.4%	2026-12-09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	20	77¢	80.25¢	$16.05	$0.65	+4.2%	2026-11-04
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? No	Held	10	84¢	90.5¢	$9.05	$0.65	+7.7%	2027-01-01
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? No	Held	10	77.05¢	83.5¢	$8.35	$0.65	+8.4%	2027-01-19
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? No	Held	20	93.1¢	96.3¢	$19.26	$0.64	+3.4%	2027-06-30
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No	Held	19.9982	94.3¢	97.5¢	$19.50	$0.64	+3.4%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No	Held	10	91¢	97.35¢	$9.73	$0.64	+7.0%	2028-01-01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No	Held	10	88.1¢	94.3¢	$9.43	$0.62	+7.0%	2028-01-01
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? No	Held	20	96.9¢	99.95¢	$19.99	$0.61	+3.1%	2026-10-05
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	10	92¢	98¢	$9.80	$0.60	+6.5%	2026-11-04
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? No	Held	19.9687	31.54¢	34.5¢	$6.89	$0.59	+9.4%	2027-10-01
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	20.6	85¢	85¢	$17.51	$0.58	0.0%	2027-01-27
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	94.9¢	97.8¢	$19.56	$0.58	+3.1%	2026-11-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 25% or more? No	Held	20	91.1¢	94¢	$18.80	$0.58	+3.2%	2026-11-04
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? No	Held	11.4574	96.22¢	97.8¢	$11.21	$0.57	+1.6%	2027-05-01
Will Tijuana win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No	Held	20	95¢	97.8¢	$19.56	$0.56	+2.9%	2027-01-01
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20	90.5¢	93.25¢	$18.65	$0.55	+3.0%	2027-01-21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%? No	Held	20	92.1¢	94.8¢	$18.96	$0.54	+2.9%	2026-11-04
Will Teach You a Lesson be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No	Held	10	91.8¢	97.1¢	$9.71	$0.53	+5.8%	2026-12-31
Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? No	Held	20	92.8¢	95.4¢	$19.08	$0.52	+2.8%	2028-01-01
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Held	15	96.5¢	99.95¢	$14.99	$0.52	+3.6%	2026-10-31
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No	Held	20	66¢	68.5¢	$13.70	$0.50	+3.8%	2026-11-04
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	10.989	90.9¢	95.35¢	$10.48	$0.49	+4.9%	2027-03-14
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20	74.1¢	76.45¢	$15.29	$0.47	+3.2%	2027-07-01
Will Jonathan Taylor be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? No	Held	19.9926	88.5¢	90.8¢	$18.15	$0.46	+2.6%	2027-01-27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 35%-40%? No	Held	20	94.1¢	96.35¢	$19.27	$0.45	+2.4%	2026-11-04
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20	90.6¢	92.85¢	$18.57	$0.45	+2.5%	2027-03-14
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? No	Held	10	81¢	85.5¢	$8.55	$0.45	+5.6%	2026-11-04
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? No	Held	10	91.5¢	95.9¢	$9.59	$0.44	+4.8%	2028-01-01
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Held	10	95.6¢	99.95¢	$9.99	$0.43	+4.6%	2026-11-13
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No	Held	10.0716	96.4¢	99.95¢	$10.07	$0.42	+3.7%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? No	Held	10	93¢	97.15¢	$9.71	$0.41	+4.5%	2026-11-03
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No	Held	10	80¢	84.1¢	$8.41	$0.41	+5.1%	2026-12-31
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No	Held	20	93.1¢	95.1¢	$19.02	$0.40	+2.1%	2028-01-01
Will Godzilla Minus Zero win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20	88.3¢	90.3¢	$18.06	$0.40	+2.3%	2027-07-01
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	20	57.5¢	59.5¢	$11.90	$0.40	+3.5%	2028-01-01
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? No	Held	10	94.9¢	98.85¢	$9.88	$0.40	+4.2%	2027-01-01
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? No	Held	20	45.82¢	47.5¢	$9.50	$0.39	+3.7%	2027-08-01
Will Rory Nisan win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? No	Held	14	80¢	81.5¢	$11.41	$0.39	+1.9%	2026-10-27
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? No	Held	15	74¢	76.5¢	$11.47	$0.38	+3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 6% or more? No	Held	15	92¢	94.45¢	$14.17	$0.37	+2.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	81.5¢	85.1¢	$8.51	$0.36	+4.4%	2026-12-31
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No	Held	10	82¢	85.5¢	$8.55	$0.35	+4.3%	2027-01-01
Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Held	6	90.8¢	96.6¢	$5.80	$0.35	+6.4%	2026-12-31
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? No	Held	20.77	88.59¢	85.15¢	$17.69	$0.34	-3.9%	2026-09-14
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat? No	Held	10	91¢	94.35¢	$9.44	$0.34	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat? No	Held	13.6597	92¢	93.95¢	$12.83	$0.33	+2.1%	2026-11-04
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? No	Held	22.76	91.84¢	93.3¢	$21.23	$0.33	+1.6%	2026-11-29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 50% or more? No	Held	20	95¢	96.65¢	$19.33	$0.33	+1.7%	2026-11-04
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? No	Held	10	88.4¢	91.7¢	$9.17	$0.33	+3.7%	2026-12-31
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	18.56	85¢	86¢	$15.96	$0.33	+1.2%	2026-11-04
Will New York Jets finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? No	Held	20	97.1¢	98.65¢	$19.73	$0.31	+1.6%	2027-01-27
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026? No	Held	20	95.7¢	97.25¢	$19.45	$0.31	+1.6%	2027-01-01
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	81¢	82.5¢	$16.50	$0.30	+1.9%	2026-10-31
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	20	77¢	78.5¢	$15.70	$0.30	+1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	93.1¢	96.1¢	$9.61	$0.30	+3.2%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No	Held	10	78¢	81¢	$8.10	$0.30	+3.8%	2026-11-04
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026? No	Held	19.995	96.2¢	97.7¢	$19.54	$0.30	+1.6%	2027-01-01
Will Wes Streeting be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? No	Held	20	95¢	96.45¢	$19.29	$0.29	+1.5%	2028-01-01
Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No	Held	10	96.7¢	99.6¢	$9.96	$0.29	+3.0%	2027-04-01
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? No	Held	14.9923	83.59¢	85.5¢	$12.82	$0.29	+2.3%	2026-12-31
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? No	Held	10	96.5¢	99.35¢	$9.94	$0.28	+3.0%	2027-01-01
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No	Held	19.94	95.07¢	95.95¢	$19.13	$0.27	+0.9%	2026-11-08
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No	Held	20	93¢	94.25¢	$18.85	$0.25	+1.3%	2027-02-07
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? No	Held	10.4	95.29¢	96.1¢	$9.99	$0.24	+0.8%	2027-01-01
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch? No	Held	12.508	95.65¢	96.8¢	$12.11	$0.24	+1.2%	2028-01-01
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No	Held	13.76	88¢	89.5¢	$12.32	$0.23	+1.7%	2027-01-01
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No	Held	10	97.6¢	99.9¢	$9.99	$0.23	+2.4%	2028-01-01
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No	Held	20.09	89.99¢	89.1¢	$17.90	$0.23	-1.0%	2026-11-04
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No	Held	15	94.2¢	94.2¢	$14.13	$0.23	0.0%	2026-11-08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 40%-45%? No	Held	20	79¢	80.1¢	$16.02	$0.22	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No	Held	10	87.3¢	89.3¢	$8.93	$0.20	+2.3%	2028-08-01
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? Yes	Held	20	32¢	33¢	$6.60	$0.20	+3.1%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	9	94.9¢	96¢	$8.64	$0.19	+1.2%	2026-11-04
Will Bayern Munich qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? No	Held	20	94.4¢	95.35¢	$19.07	$0.19	+1.0%	2027-06-07
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? No	Held	20	96.2¢	97.1¢	$19.42	$0.18	+0.9%	2027-04-01
Will Brock Bowers have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	10	92.7¢	94.45¢	$9.45	$0.17	+1.9%	2027-01-27
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No	Held	10	94.3¢	96¢	$9.60	$0.17	+1.8%	2027-04-01
Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? No	Held	9.3493	97¢	98.65¢	$9.22	$0.15	+1.7%	—
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	89¢	90.5¢	$9.05	$0.15	+1.7%	2026-12-31
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? No	Held	10	74¢	75.5¢	$7.55	$0.15	+2.0%	2027-05-02
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Held	10	70¢	71.5¢	$7.15	$0.15	+2.1%	2026-12-31
Will Cincinnati Bengals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? No	Held	20	95.2¢	95.9¢	$19.18	$0.14	+0.7%	2027-01-27
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 450,000 and 475,000? No	Held	20	95.1¢	95.75¢	$19.15	$0.13	+0.7%	2026-11-04
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No	Held	10	95.2¢	96.45¢	$9.64	$0.13	+1.3%	2027-04-18
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	74.7¢	75.9¢	$7.59	$0.12	+1.6%	2026-12-31
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	95.4¢	95.9¢	$19.18	$0.10	+0.5%	2026-10-25
Will Hanna Ekblad be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? No	Held	20	92.3¢	92.8¢	$18.56	$0.10	+0.5%	2026-09-14
Will Mkhuleko Hlengwa be the next mayor of eThekwini? No	Held	20	67¢	67.5¢	$13.50	$0.10	+0.7%	2026-11-05
Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? No	Held	20	57¢	57.5¢	$11.50	$0.10	+0.9%	2026-10-25
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? No	Held	11.43	92.5¢	90¢	$10.29	$0.10	-2.7%	2028-01-01
Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	18.83	95.1¢	95.45¢	$17.97	$0.10	+0.4%	2026-10-25
Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No	Held	20	96.2¢	96.65¢	$19.33	$0.09	+0.5%	2027-07-01
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes	Held	20	94.9¢	95.3¢	$19.06	$0.08	+0.4%	2027-05-16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 25%-30%? No	Held	20	88¢	88.4¢	$17.68	$0.08	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	63¢	63.5¢	$6.35	$0.05	+0.8%	2027-01-01
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? No	Held	10	97.3¢	97.7¢	$9.77	$0.04	+0.4%	2027-05-01
Valantis FDV above $500M one day after launch? No	Held	26.7	90.8¢	90.95¢	$24.28	$0.04	+0.2%	2028-01-01
Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? No	Held	15.51	91.1¢	90.85¢	$14.09	$0.04	-0.3%	2026-11-08
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31? No	Held	10	96.2¢	96.55¢	$9.65	$0.04	+0.4%	2027-01-01
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Held	18.9281	93.2¢	93.3¢	$17.66	$0.02	+0.1%	2026-12-31
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? No	Held	10	96.1¢	95.8¢	$9.58	$0.01	-0.3%	2027-01-01
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Held	10	94.7¢	94.65¢	$9.46	>-$0.01	-0.1%	2027-01-26
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? No	Held	10	93¢	92.95¢	$9.29	>-$0.01	-0.1%	2027-01-01
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No	Held	10.3	96.25¢	93.45¢	$9.63	-$0.02	-2.9%	2027-06-19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6% or more? No	Held	20	93.1¢	93¢	$18.60	-$0.02	-0.1%	2026-11-04
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? No	Held	10.4	91.01¢	89.2¢	$9.28	-$0.03	-2.0%	2026-08-19
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? No	Held	10.3	85.3¢	81.35¢	$8.38	-$0.04	-4.6%	2029-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more? No	Held	10	92.44¢	87.1¢	$8.71	-$0.05	-5.8%	2026-11-04
Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election? No	Held	10	83¢	82.5¢	$8.25	-$0.05	-0.6%	2026-06-10
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? No	Held	20	93.9¢	93.6¢	$18.72	-$0.06	-0.3%	2028-07-24
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No	Held	20	96¢	95.65¢	$19.13	-$0.07	-0.4%	2027-01-02
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	Held	15	98.2¢	97.7¢	$14.65	-$0.07	-0.5%	2027-04-19
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? No	Held	20	86¢	85.5¢	$17.10	-$0.10	-0.6%	2026-11-29
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	10	94.1¢	93.1¢	$9.31	-$0.10	-1.1%	2027-07-01
Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election? No	Held	20	42¢	41.5¢	$8.30	-$0.10	-1.2%	2026-10-28
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch? No	Held	11.22	91.77¢	90.95¢	$10.20	-$0.10	-0.9%	2028-01-01
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	20	94.4¢	93.7¢	$18.74	-$0.14	-0.7%	2027-01-21
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? Yes	Held	20	49.1¢	48.25¢	$9.65	-$0.17	-1.7%	2027-01-01
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? No	Held	10	70.6¢	68.6¢	$6.86	-$0.20	-2.8%	2026-11-04
Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No	Held	27.6	96.99¢	95.5¢	$26.36	-$0.20	-1.5%	2028-01-01
Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch? No	Held	14.97	89.63¢	87.75¢	$13.14	-$0.21	-2.1%	2028-01-01
Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? No	Held	20	97.5¢	96.4¢	$19.28	-$0.22	-1.1%	2026-09-14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 45% or more? No	Held	20	93.6¢	92.5¢	$18.50	-$0.22	-1.2%	2026-11-04
Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? No	Held	21.15	90.48¢	89.25¢	$18.88	-$0.26	-1.4%	2027-07-01
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? No	Held	10.3	93.97¢	89.45¢	$9.21	-$0.27	-4.8%	2028-01-01
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? No	Held	20	87¢	85.5¢	$17.10	-$0.30	-1.7%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%? No	Held	20	84¢	82.5¢	$16.50	-$0.30	-1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	56¢	53¢	$5.30	-$0.30	-5.4%	2027-01-01
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No	Held	15	95.2¢	92.95¢	$13.94	-$0.34	-2.4%	2026-10-27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%? No	Held	20	79.7¢	78¢	$15.60	-$0.34	-2.1%	2026-11-04
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? No	Held	20.6	47.17¢	45.5¢	$9.37	-$0.34	-3.5%	2027-06-30
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? No	Held	20	91¢	89.1¢	$17.82	-$0.38	-2.1%	2026-11-04
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Held	20.3	96.19¢	93.65¢	$19.01	-$0.40	-2.6%	2028-11-08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%? No	Held	20	85.4¢	83.35¢	$16.67	-$0.41	-2.4%	2026-11-04
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No	Held	20.3	94.11¢	89.8¢	$18.23	-$0.43	-4.6%	2027-01-01
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026? No	Held	7.3884	94.8¢	87.9¢	$6.49	-$0.43	-7.3%	2027-01-01
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? No	Held	8	90.1¢	84.6¢	$6.77	-$0.44	-6.1%	2026-11-05
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? No	Held	10	77¢	72.5¢	$7.25	-$0.45	-5.8%	2027-01-01
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? No	Held	10	75¢	70.5¢	$7.05	-$0.45	-6.0%	2027-01-18
Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? Yes	Held	20	70¢	67.5¢	$13.50	-$0.50	-3.6%	2027-06-15
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? Yes	Held	20	59¢	56.5¢	$11.30	-$0.50	-4.2%	2026-11-04
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Held	9.95	92.44¢	86.95¢	$8.65	-$0.51	-5.9%	2027-01-26
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? No	Held	20.3	92.63¢	89.65¢	$18.20	-$0.53	-3.2%	2028-01-01
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No	Held	20.6	93.92¢	90.4¢	$18.62	-$0.53	-3.7%	2026-11-29
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	21.2	88.37¢	84¢	$17.81	-$0.54	-5.0%	2026-11-04
Will Gianluigi Donnarumma (Man City) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? No	Held	20	87.3¢	84.4¢	$16.88	-$0.58	-3.3%	2027-06-15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 40%-45%? No	Held	20	88¢	85¢	$17.00	-$0.60	-3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No	Held	20	78¢	74.9¢	$14.98	-$0.62	-4.0%	2026-11-04
Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? No	Held	20	92.8¢	89.65¢	$17.93	-$0.63	-3.4%	2028-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%? No	Held	20	90.3¢	87.15¢	$17.43	-$0.63	-3.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	11.0638	66.82¢	60.9¢	$6.74	-$0.66	-8.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election? No	Held	20	97.1¢	93.6¢	$18.72	-$0.70	-3.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%? No	Held	20	88¢	84.5¢	$16.90	-$0.70	-4.0%	2026-11-04
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027? No	Held	20	44¢	40.5¢	$8.10	-$0.70	-8.0%	2028-01-01
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	94.1¢	86.7¢	$8.67	-$0.74	-7.9%	2027-01-01
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Held	10	91.6¢	84.15¢	$8.41	-$0.74	-8.1%	2027-01-26
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? No	Held	10	66¢	57.7¢	$5.77	-$0.83	-12.6%	2027-01-22
Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch? No	Held	20.2	97.58¢	92.95¢	$18.78	-$0.85	-4.7%	2028-01-01
Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch? No	Held	19.1	84¢	79.5¢	$15.18	-$0.86	-5.4%	2028-01-01
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No	Held	9.25	84¢	74.5¢	$6.89	-$0.87	-11.3%	2027-01-01
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? No	Held	20	97.2¢	92.75¢	$18.55	-$0.89	-4.6%	2026-10-29
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No	Held	20	97.1¢	92.6¢	$18.52	-$0.90	-4.6%	2027-01-01
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? No	Held	20	71¢	66.5¢	$13.30	-$0.90	-6.3%	2027-06-07
Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? O 4.5	Held	20	43¢	38.5¢	$7.70	-$0.90	-10.5%	—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more? No	Held	20.6	95.86¢	91.4¢	$18.83	-$0.90	-4.7%	2026-11-04
Will Omar Suleiman win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	94.4¢	89.85¢	$17.97	-$0.91	-4.8%	2027-02-07
Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? Yes	Held	21.21	50.28¢	40.5¢	$8.59	-$0.91	-19.5%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 18%-21%? No	Held	40	91.65¢	89.35¢	$35.74	-$0.92	-2.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%? No	Held	20	87¢	82.35¢	$16.47	-$0.93	-5.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? No	Held	10	94.7¢	85.35¢	$8.54	-$0.94	-9.9%	2027-01-01
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? No	Held	15	92¢	85.5¢	$12.82	-$0.97	-7.1%	2027-01-01
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027? No	Held	10	70¢	59.5¢	$5.95	-$1.05	-15.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No	Held	20	82¢	76.5¢	$15.30	-$1.10	-6.7%	2026-12-09
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch? No	Held	13	87¢	78.5¢	$10.21	-$1.10	-9.8%	2028-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	20	92.6¢	86.9¢	$17.38	-$1.14	-6.2%	2026-11-04
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	20	82¢	76.3¢	$15.26	-$1.14	-7.0%	2028-01-01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000? No	Held	20	80.8¢	75.1¢	$15.02	-$1.14	-7.1%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No	Held	20	92.1¢	86.2¢	$17.24	-$1.18	-6.4%	2026-11-04
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes	Held	10	66¢	53.5¢	$5.35	-$1.25	-18.9%	2027-01-01
Will Bubba Wallace win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? No	Held	20	98.3¢	91.45¢	$18.29	-$1.37	-7.0%	2026-11-08
Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31? No	Held	10	87¢	73.05¢	$7.30	-$1.40	-16.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%? No	Held	20	87.3¢	80¢	$16.00	-$1.46	-8.4%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000? No	Held	10.48	78¢	68.5¢	$7.18	-$1.47	-12.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes	Held	10	72¢	56.5¢	$5.65	-$1.55	-21.5%	2026-11-04
Will Ajax be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie? Yes	Held	22.6	32.48¢	25.5¢	$5.76	-$1.58	-21.5%	2027-08-01
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No	Held	9.5	93¢	76.35¢	$7.25	-$1.58	-17.9%	2027-01-01
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? No	Held	15	79¢	69.5¢	$10.43	-$1.63	-12.0%	2027-02-07
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No	Held	20	92.3¢	83.95¢	$16.79	-$1.67	-9.0%	2026-11-04
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	10	86.1¢	69.25¢	$6.92	-$1.69	-19.6%	2028-01-01
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No	Held	10	90¢	72.8¢	$7.28	-$1.72	-19.1%	2027-04-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 12%-15%? No	Held	20	86.5¢	77.7¢	$15.54	-$1.76	-10.2%	2026-11-04
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No	Held	10.3	89.88¢	95.55¢	$9.84	-$1.79	+6.3%	2027-04-01
Will Ed Miliband be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? No	Held	20	97.5¢	88.45¢	$17.69	-$1.81	-9.3%	2028-01-01
Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? No	Held	20	89.3¢	79.9¢	$15.98	-$1.88	-10.5%	2027-02-07
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? Yes	Held	20	42¢	32.5¢	$6.50	-$1.90	-22.6%	2026-10-18
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? No	Held	20	84.5¢	74.75¢	$14.95	-$1.95	-11.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	30	90.35¢	82.5¢	$24.75	-$2.09	-8.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? No	Held	20	86¢	75.5¢	$15.10	-$2.10	-12.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? No	Held	20	82¢	71.5¢	$14.30	-$2.10	-12.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%? No	Held	20	81¢	70.5¢	$14.10	-$2.10	-13.0%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	20	73¢	62.5¢	$12.50	-$2.10	-14.4%	2026-11-04
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? No	Held	19.91	51¢	38.5¢	$7.67	-$2.14	-24.5%	2028-01-01
Will Dalton Kincaid have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	20	95.2¢	84.5¢	$16.90	-$2.14	-11.2%	2027-01-27
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No	Held	13.5258	69.71¢	51¢	$6.90	-$2.14	-26.8%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 40%-45%? No	Held	20	86.4¢	75.15¢	$15.03	-$2.25	-13.0%	2026-11-04
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No	Held	10	85¢	62¢	$6.20	-$2.30	-27.1%	2027-01-18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 55%-60%? No	Held	19.9952	81¢	69.05¢	$13.81	-$2.39	-14.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 30%-35%? No	Held	20	88¢	76¢	$15.20	-$2.40	-13.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No	Held	20	78¢	66¢	$13.20	-$2.40	-15.4%	2026-11-04
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No	Held	20	90¢	77.5¢	$15.50	-$2.50	-13.9%	2026-11-29
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No	Held	20	96.6¢	83.8¢	$16.76	-$2.56	-13.3%	2027-07-01
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes	Held	15	90.8¢	71.2¢	$10.68	-$2.94	-21.6%	2028-01-01
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	35	32¢	23.5¢	$8.22	-$2.97	-26.6%	2026-11-04
Will Zay Flowers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? No	Held	20	94.6¢	79.5¢	$15.90	-$3.02	-16.0%	2027-01-27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%? No	Held	20	86.4¢	71.25¢	$14.25	-$3.03	-17.5%	2026-11-04
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No	Held	20	90.6¢	74.85¢	$14.97	-$3.15	-17.4%	2026-11-29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%? No	Held	20	85.3¢	68.8¢	$13.76	-$3.30	-19.3%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	9	88¢	79¢	$7.11	-$3.34	-10.2%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	40.6	87.88¢	79.35¢	$32.22	-$3.37	-9.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%? No	Held	20	87.1¢	70.2¢	$14.04	-$3.38	-19.4%	2026-11-04
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028? Yes	Held	20	56¢	39¢	$7.80	-$3.40	-30.4%	2026-12-31
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000? No	Held	20.6	71.76¢	78.5¢	$16.17	-$3.40	+9.4%	2026-11-04
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No	Held	20	84.7¢	67.4¢	$13.48	-$3.46	-20.4%	2026-11-29
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? No	Held	19.9155	63.78¢	46.1¢	$9.18	-$3.52	-27.7%	2027-04-01
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes	Held	20	72¢	53.5¢	$10.70	-$3.70	-25.7%	2026-11-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more? No	Held	20	61¢	42.5¢	$8.50	-$3.70	-30.3%	2026-11-04
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? Yes	Held	20.5502	39.23¢	27.9¢	$5.73	-$3.76	-28.9%	2027-07-19
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec? Yes	Held	20	57¢	38¢	$7.60	-$3.80	-33.3%	2026-10-10
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes	Held	20	56¢	35¢	$7.00	-$4.20	-37.5%	2027-04-01
Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? No	Held	20.6	65¢	33¢	$6.80	-$4.20	-49.2%	2027-06-30
Will Flop launch a token by March 31, 2027? No	Held	20	57¢	35.5¢	$7.10	-$4.30	-37.7%	2027-04-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 5%-10%? No	Held	20	85¢	63.45¢	$12.69	-$4.31	-25.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	20	81¢	58.35¢	$11.67	-$4.53	-28.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%? No	Held	18.33	92¢	64.6¢	$11.84	-$5.11	-29.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? No	Held	20	79.6¢	53.95¢	$10.79	-$5.13	-32.2%	2026-11-01
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? No	Held	20	83.9¢	57.05¢	$11.41	-$5.37	-32.0%	2026-11-08
Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? Yes	Held	20.76	60.04¢	26.05¢	$5.41	-$5.76	-56.6%	2027-06-07
Will Pavel Hagyari win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? No	Held	20	92.3¢	63.3¢	$12.66	-$5.80	-31.4%	2026-10-25
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? No	Held	20	93.4¢	63.65¢	$12.73	-$5.95	-31.9%	2027-06-07
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? Yes	Held	15	80¢	39.5¢	$5.92	-$6.08	-50.6%	2027-01-01
Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	19.9932	57¢	26.5¢	$5.30	-$6.10	-53.5%	2027-01-27
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? No	Held	40	59¢	43.5¢	$17.40	-$6.20	-26.3%	2026-12-01
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? No	Held	20	60¢	26.5¢	$5.30	-$6.70	-55.8%	2026-09-07
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat? No	Held	39.9971	79.5¢	61.5¢	$24.60	-$7.20	-22.6%	2026-11-04
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No	Held	20	67.27¢	26.5¢	$5.30	-$8.15	-60.6%	2027-04-01
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No	Held	15	96.7¢	36.1¢	$5.42	-$9.09	-62.7%	2026-10-18
Will the Falcons win the season series against the Buccaneers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	25	86.93¢	50.15¢	$12.54	-$9.20	-42.3%	2027-01-27
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? No	Held	20	93.2¢	28.7¢	$5.74	-$12.90	-69.2%	2026-11-01
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes	Held	172.927	24.82¢	15.5¢	$26.80	-$14.70	-37.6%	2027-01-01
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No	Held	50.4955	86.39¢	49.35¢	$24.92	-$18.04	-42.9%	2027-06-15
Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? No	Held	99.99	81.59¢	63¢	$62.99	-$18.60	-22.8%	2026-10-18
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat? No	Held	159.7024	20.53¢	7.55¢	$12.06	-$20.74	-63.2%	2026-11-04
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? Yes	Held	120	60.66¢	5.9¢	$7.08	-$65.72	-90.3%	2026-09-07

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