Wallet ledger

0xf152…64aa

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$198.0K

Win rate

57%

Realized edge

+0.042

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.042 across 42 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.09, +0.17]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (4 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves	Open	8,076	51¢	$665	+16%	2026-09-07
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians	Open	3,880	43¢	-$67	-4%	2026-09-11
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees	Open	63,380	52¢	-$2.3K	-7%	2026-09-05
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers	Open	50,000	52¢	-$14.7K	-57%	2026-08-30

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →