ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xf031…c80c
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
47
Realized PnL
-$2.62M
Win rate
45%
Realized edge
+0.011
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.011 across 47 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.12, +0.15]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (49 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 658,497 | 71¢ | $62.6K | +13% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | $3.0K | +3% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 67,439 | 7¢ | $705 | +14% | 2027-03-31 | |
| Open | 52,684 | 87¢ | $212 | +0% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 5,839 | 6¢ | $88 | +25% | 2027-03-31 | |
| Open | 47,132 | 46¢ | -$3.6K | -16% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 18,109 | 50¢ | -$9.0K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 53,716 | 41¢ | -$13.7K | -62% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 37,386 | 49¢ | -$15.5K | -85% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 43,379 | 43¢ | -$15.9K | -85% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.1K | -99% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -99% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 36,728 | 50¢ | -$18.3K | -100% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 130,783 | 50¢ | -$53.0K | -81% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 160,845 | 50¢ | -$71.6K | -89% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$79.0K | -79% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 167,622 | 50¢ | -$81.4K | -97% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 198,424 | 44¢ | -$86.3K | -98% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 198,957 | 50¢ | -$97.9K | -98% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.3K | -99% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 381,439 | 26¢ | -$99.6K | -99% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.7K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.9K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.9K | -100% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 200,000 | 50¢ | -$99.9K | -100% | 2027-05-30 |