Wallet ledger

0xe5a2…3c41

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$159

Win rate

48%

Realized edge

+0.011

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.011 across 81 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.03, +0.05]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (3 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m? Yes	Open	5	75¢	$1	+31%	2026-08-23
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? Yes	Open	5	48¢	-$0	-15%	2026-08-23
Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? No	Open	5	43¢	-$2	-84%	2026-08-23

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →