Wallet ledger

0xe251…a237

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

361

Realized PnL

$392

Win rate

50%

Realized edge

-0.037

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.037 across 361 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.05, -0.02]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (4 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	234	73¢	$59	+35%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	153	83¢	$20	+16%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	136	31¢	-$37	-89%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	144	35¢	-$49	-96%	2026-08-24

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