ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xdbdd…a5de
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
1673
Realized PnL
-$23.3K
Win rate
54%
Realized edge
+0.040
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.040 across 1673 resolved positions, 95% CI [+0.02, +0.06]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (73 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
Portland Fire | Open | 2,501 | 63¢ | $928 | +59% | 2026-08-23 |
Guyana Amazon Warriors | Open | 1,331 | 70¢ | $399 | +43% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 948 | 75¢ | $237 | +33% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 756 | 71¢ | $219 | +41% | 2026-08-23 | |
Hubert Hurkacz | Open | 6,106 | 71¢ | $153 | +4% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 147 | 48¢ | $77 | +108% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 2,204 | 24¢ | $51 | +10% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 100 | 12¢ | $42 | +346% | 2026-08-18 | |
| Open | 65 | 58¢ | $27 | +72% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 34 | 20¢ | $27 | +400% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 43 | 36¢ | $27 | +178% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 57 | 56¢ | $25 | +78% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 114 | 78¢ | $25 | +28% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 52 | 52¢ | $25 | +92% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 41 | 40¢ | $24 | +150% | 2026-08-23 | |
Vaqueros de Bayamon | Open | 65 | 19¢ | $20 | +155% | 2026-08-29 |
Vaqueros de Bayamon | Open | 40 | 1¢ | $19 | +5400% | 2026-08-22 |
| Open | 40 | 1¢ | $19 | +5400% | 2026-08-22 | |
| Open | 50 | 75¢ | $12 | +33% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 22 | 68¢ | $7 | +46% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 10 | 40¢ | $6 | +150% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 10 | 50¢ | $4 | +80% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 11 | 66¢ | $4 | +51% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 19 | 86¢ | $3 | +16% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 11 | 5¢ | $3 | +490% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | +100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 5 | 58¢ | $2 | +72% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 6 | 17¢ | $2 | +197% | 2026-07-29 | |
| Open | 5 | 14¢ | $2 | +257% | 2026-08-09 | |
| Open | 10 | 82¢ | $2 | +22% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 5 | 18¢ | $2 | +178% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | +79% | 2026-07-26 | |
| Open | 5 | 31¢ | $1 | +61% | 2026-07-25 | |
Balaji/Chandrasekar | Open | 5 | 87¢ | $1 | +15% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 5 | 39¢ | $1 | +28% | 2026-07-26 | |
KT Wiz | Open | 2 | 56¢ | $0 | +22% | 2026-06-21 |
Boston Red Sox | Open | 2 | 46¢ | $0 | +12% | 2026-09-05 |
| Open | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | +38% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 10 | 1¢ | -$0 | -95% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 5 | 55¢ | -$0 | -9% | 2026-07-25 | |
| Open | 10 | 3¢ | -$0 | -98% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 20 | 52¢ | -$0 | -3% | 2026-08-22 | |
| Open | 20 | 29¢ | -$0 | -7% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 5 | 9¢ | -$0 | -99% | 2026-08-23 | |
Washington Mystics | Open | 2 | 33¢ | -$1 | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 5 | 18¢ | -$1 | -100% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 8 | 13¢ | -$1 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 5 | 28¢ | -$1 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 11 | 57¢ | -$1 | -24% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 20 | 36¢ | -$2 | -21% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 7 | 33¢ | -$2 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 26 | 38¢ | -$5 | -53% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 15 | 40¢ | -$6 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 10 | 67¢ | -$7 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 115 | 7¢ | -$8 | -99% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 71 | 13¢ | -$9 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
Darwin Blanch | Open | 41 | 28¢ | -$11 | -100% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 212 | 41¢ | -$17 | -19% | 2026-08-18 | |
Portland Fire | Open | 86 | 55¢ | -$48 | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 149 | 33¢ | -$49 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 143 | 74¢ | -$56 | -53% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 529 | 19¢ | -$100 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 4,182 | 61¢ | -$172 | -7% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 854 | 30¢ | -$256 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
Yulia Putintseva | Open | 675 | 72¢ | -$272 | -56% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 1,208 | 38¢ | -$394 | -86% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 1,609 | 33¢ | -$530 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 4,617 | 33¢ | -$669 | -44% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 3,287 | 30¢ | -$984 | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 6,558 | 26¢ | -$1.7K | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 9,000 | 74¢ | -$2.0K | -29% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 3,346 | 78¢ | -$2.6K | -100% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 9,713 | 56¢ | -$3.4K | -62% | 2026-08-24 |