ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xd245…356a
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
1754
Realized PnL
-$4.9K
Win rate
43.7%
Realized edge
-2.8 pp
Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -2.8 pp across 1754 resolved positions, 95% CI [-5.0, -0.5], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (5 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 10 | 74¢ | -$0 | -6% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 25 | 66¢ | -$1 | -5% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 5 | 65¢ | -$1 | -25% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 20 | 69¢ | -$1 | -6% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 25 | 80¢ | -$4 | -18% | 2026-09-08 |