Wallet ledger

0xd06c…cdaf

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

188

Realized PnL

$38.6K

Win rate

44%

Realized edge

+0.051

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.051 across 188 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.01, +0.11]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (2 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Spirit Academy	Open	8,000	47¢	$4.2K	+113%	2026-08-25
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner RE.Arise	Open	4,336	33¢	$2.9K	+206%	2026-08-25

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →