Wallet ledger

0xce25…7fdc

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

256

Realized PnL

$202

Win rate

52%

Realized edge

-0.029

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.029 across 256 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, -0.01]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (14 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	766	73¢	$195	+35%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	300	72¢	$65	+30%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	195	68¢	$55	+41%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	201	75¢	$37	+25%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	118	68¢	$16	+20%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	66	75¢	$14	+29%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	56	70¢	$3	+9%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	58	26¢	-$4	-26%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	15	55¢	-$5	-57%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	18	43¢	-$7	-91%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	265	18¢	-$31	-64%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	145	31¢	-$36	-79%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	187	28¢	-$46	-88%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	759	35¢	-$258	-96%	2026-08-24

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →