Wallet positions

0xc8b9…b836

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

124

Realized PnL

$177.6K

Win rate

69.3%

Realized edge

+10.6 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +10.6 pp across 124 resolved positions, 95% CI [+4.8, +17.1], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

100 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:21:53 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes	Held	40,002.57	35.89¢	58.25¢	$23.3K	$8.9K	+62.3%	2026-06-03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	19,999.8092	46.15¢	65.5¢	$13.1K	$3.9K	+41.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? Yes	Held	3,256.85	0¢	91.5¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No	Held	17,480.5055	77¢	81.5¢	$14.2K	$2.1K	+5.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No	Held	15,959.474	85.31¢	96.75¢	$15.4K	$1.8K	+13.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? No	Held	1,847.51	0¢	93.65¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? Yes	Held	10,836.5886	71.71¢	87.5¢	$9.5K	$1.7K	+22.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	33,006.602	30.77¢	35.5¢	$11.7K	$1.6K	+15.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	9,665.4042	85¢	96.75¢	$9.4K	$1.1K	+13.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes	Held	7,956.35	40¢	53.5¢	$4.3K	$1.1K	+33.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	15,497.05	30¢	35.5¢	$5.5K	$852.34	+18.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No	Held	9,079.0376	81.22¢	90.5¢	$8.2K	$842.04	+11.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	27,828.79	63.27¢	65.5¢	$18.2K	$778.69	+3.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? No	Held	4,043.6153	38.99¢	53.5¢	$2.2K	$586.33	+37.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? Yes	Held	3,827.4244	81.7¢	96.1¢	$3.7K	$550.95	+17.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes	Held	1,956.46	55.25¢	82.5¢	$1.6K	$533.08	+49.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? Yes	Held	5,196.8143	87.2¢	97.45¢	$5.1K	$532.35	+11.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? No	Held	4,007.01	89.67¢	98.7¢	$4.0K	$473.27	+10.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? Yes	Held	2,959.98	77.25¢	91.5¢	$2.7K	$421.55	+18.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat? No	Held	4,115.0976	88.05¢	98.15¢	$4.0K	$415.26	+11.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? No	Held	4,266.2651	88.19¢	97.8¢	$4.2K	$409.89	+10.9%	2026-11-04
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? No	Held	1,491.6292	35.28¢	61.5¢	$917.35	$391.01	+74.3%	2026-09-14
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? Yes	Held	4,424.03	87.08¢	95.75¢	$4.2K	$383.32	+9.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? No	Held	2,471.7883	78.15¢	93.5¢	$2.3K	$379.18	+19.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No	Held	5,932.3424	87.95¢	94.25¢	$5.6K	$373.27	+7.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes	Held	4,851.76	87.05¢	94.65¢	$4.6K	$368.66	+8.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? Yes	Held	4,697.8738	88.11¢	95.65¢	$4.5K	$354.13	+8.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat? Yes	Held	3,893.2624	87.45¢	96.25¢	$3.7K	$342.53	+10.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes	Held	1,711.137	53.25¢	72.5¢	$1.2K	$329.26	+36.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes	Held	3,253.43	81.37¢	90.5¢	$2.9K	$296.96	+11.2%	2026-11-04
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? Yes	Redeemable	1,600.5634	81.42¢	100¢	$1.6K	$288.78	+22.8%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat? Yes	Held	2,958.9932	88.84¢	98.3¢	$2.9K	$279.80	+10.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? Yes	Held	2,978.41	88.36¢	97.65¢	$2.9K	$276.61	+10.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No	Held	1,384.5216	53.69¢	72¢	$996.86	$253.46	+34.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat? No	Held	3,697.9895	89.56¢	96.3¢	$3.6K	$248.90	+7.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat? No	Held	2,472.92	87.95¢	96.85¢	$2.4K	$219.91	+10.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? No	Held	5,662	84.69¢	88.2¢	$5.0K	$198.17	+4.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat? Yes	Held	3,133.8693	87.98¢	94.05¢	$2.9K	$190.07	+6.9%	2026-11-04
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	2,192.76	87.92¢	96.55¢	$2.1K	$189.05	+9.8%	2026-10-25
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat? No	Held	2,878.01	87.8¢	94.35¢	$2.7K	$188.45	+7.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat? No	Held	4,787.39	84.12¢	87.5¢	$4.2K	$161.65	+4.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? Yes	Held	3,784.54	88.32¢	92.4¢	$3.5K	$154.09	+4.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? Yes	Held	1,186.55	78.28¢	90.5¢	$1.1K	$144.98	+15.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat? No	Held	2,280.9101	88.34¢	94.5¢	$2.2K	$140.45	+7.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? Yes	Held	3,952.05	83.81¢	87.3¢	$3.5K	$137.64	+4.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? Yes	Held	2,304.18	86.54¢	92.5¢	$2.1K	$137.23	+6.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No	Held	726.9048	67¢	85.5¢	$621.50	$134.48	+27.6%	2026-11-04
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	836.77	81.21¢	95.4¢	$798.28	$118.72	+17.5%	2026-10-25
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? Yes	Held	1,057.74	49.95¢	60.5¢	$639.93	$111.57	+21.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? No	Held	7,464.96	29.01¢	30.5¢	$2.3K	$111.07	+5.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? No	Held	679.7628	71.91¢	88¢	$598.19	$109.36	+22.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes	Held	1,752.5266	76¢	81.5¢	$1.4K	$96.39	+7.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	550	78.54¢	94.25¢	$518.38	$86.38	+20.0%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? Yes	Held	1,739.97	80.6¢	85.5¢	$1.5K	$85.16	+6.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election? Yes	Held	871.16	79.24¢	87.5¢	$762.26	$71.89	+10.4%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? Yes	Held	7,305.1356	87.06¢	88¢	$6.4K	$68.08	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? Yes	Held	712.94	62.99¢	72.5¢	$516.88	$67.73	+15.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? Yes	Held	5,492.5885	83.69¢	84.5¢	$4.6K	$44.18	+1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat? Yes	Held	2,194.73	87.6¢	89.5¢	$2.0K	$41.70	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? No	Held	1,278.8977	87.99¢	90.6¢	$1.2K	$33.25	+3.0%	2026-11-04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima? Yes	Held	320	90¢	98.55¢	$315.36	$27.36	+9.5%	2026-10-26
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? Yes	Held	54.93	10¢	56¢	$30.76	$25.27	+460.0%	2026-11-03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? Yes	Held	300	90.73¢	97.35¢	$292.05	$19.85	+7.3%	2026-10-26
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? No	Held	995.05	87.57¢	89.5¢	$890.57	$19.18	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima? No	Held	132.56	87.45¢	99.25¢	$131.57	$15.64	+13.5%	2026-10-26
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? No	Held	1,004.63	83.99¢	85.5¢	$858.96	$15.07	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? Yes	Held	242.06	91.99¢	97.8¢	$236.73	$14.04	+6.3%	2026-10-26
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	242.92	23.34¢	28.5¢	$69.23	$12.53	+22.1%	2026-11-04
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? Yes	Held	50	72¢	96.95¢	$48.48	$12.47	+34.7%	2026-09-14
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat? Yes	Held	1,230.69	79¢	80¢	$984.55	$12.31	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? No	Held	1,112.02	83.92¢	85¢	$945.22	$11.94	+1.3%	2026-10-25
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? Yes	Held	140	91¢	98¢	$137.20	$9.80	+7.7%	2026-10-26
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	84.7475	60¢	70.5¢	$59.75	$8.90	+17.5%	2026-11-04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? Yes	Held	154.28	92.99¢	98.3¢	$151.66	$8.18	+5.7%	2026-10-26
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? No	Held	86.0816	50.6¢	59.5¢	$51.22	$7.66	+17.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? No	Held	60.61	68¢	78.5¢	$47.58	$6.36	+15.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No	Held	170.4301	5.99¢	9.5¢	$16.19	$5.96	+58.3%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	140.46	42¢	46¢	$64.61	$5.62	+9.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes	Held	83.88	6¢	10¢	$8.39	$3.36	+66.7%	2026-11-04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? No	Held	13	55¢	78.5¢	$10.21	$3.06	+42.7%	2026-10-26
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes	Held	201	25¢	26.5¢	$53.27	$3.02	+6.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	18.39	12¢	26.5¢	$4.87	$2.67	+120.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	105.03	7¢	9.4¢	$9.87	$2.52	+34.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No	Held	6.35	52.99¢	83.5¢	$5.30	$1.94	+57.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	43.26	6.5¢	8.7¢	$3.76	$0.95	+33.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? No	Held	7.82	83¢	92.5¢	$7.23	$0.74	+11.4%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	27.09	24¢	26.5¢	$7.18	$0.68	+10.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026? Yes	Held	12	81¢	84¢	$10.08	$0.36	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	3,397.1435	69.49¢	69.5¢	$2.4K	$0.18	+0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? Yes	Held	0.49	85¢	88.5¢	$0.43	$0.02	+4.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? No	Held	140.12	69.99¢	69.5¢	$97.38	-$0.70	-0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No	Held	390.37	78.69¢	78¢	$304.49	-$2.70	-0.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? No	Held	1,147.0289	68.43¢	67¢	$768.51	-$16.44	-2.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No	Held	2,399.2018	60.42¢	57.5¢	$1.4K	-$70.06	-4.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes	Held	3,262.3542	78.45¢	75.5¢	$2.5K	-$96.37	-3.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No	Held	3,093	61.97¢	58¢	$1.8K	-$122.82	-6.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? Yes	Held	4,424.63	61.57¢	56.5¢	$2.5K	-$224.34	-8.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? Yes	Held	6,751.0541	69.27¢	65.5¢	$4.4K	-$254.93	-5.5%	2026-11-04
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? No	Held	3,784.2241	41.74¢	16¢	$605.48	-$1.2K	-61.7%	2026-10-25
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	22,445.0682	65.56¢	57.5¢	$12.9K	-$1.8K	-12.3%	2026-11-04

Download this record (Researcher, or an address you have verified as your own):Record CSV JSON

Check available wallet history →